- The trend backdrop is active with a 34-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
CMCX
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
CMC Markets Plc · Financial Services · Capital Markets
Latest close
690.0 GBP
3.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 59.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.4%, after a -7.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
70
out of 100
Latest Close
690.0 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
82.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
65.4%
34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- 15 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -7.9%.
Indicator stack
81/73
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 59.00%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 59.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.4%, after a -7.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9912-week average 0.98
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1515 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 15 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -7.9% over four weeks, 82.1% over 12 weeks, and 197.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 34 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak34 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.35Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-21.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership81.85Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-34.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength48/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Value5/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Quality85/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Momentum100/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Growth91/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework47/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 25.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 14.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 2.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 64.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 26.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 8.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 28.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 16.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 20.8% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -78.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.6% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -1.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
6 positive · 10 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility16.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+56.0%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-7.7%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week+3.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol16.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.9% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Financial Services
4-week rank98 / 100
Group average2.1%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD68.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Capital Markets
4-week rank13 / 15
Group average-1.4%
Trend breadth26.7%
Trend26.7%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS26.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape69/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis83/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.99; 15 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.00%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.00% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors58/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 35; Small Cap Core rank 95 SVQF47/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 139.0 of 260 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
FIS Earnings: Capital Markets Growth Is Soft, Management Trims Guidance Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 690.0 GBP | 3.4% | 433.4 GBP | 266.0 GBP | 1.35 | 81.85 | 1.9M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 667.0 GBP | -7.7% | 420.8 GBP | 262.4 GBP | 1.64 | 80.09 | 1.9M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 723.0 GBP | 3.1% | 408.7 GBP | 259.0 GBP | 1.85 | 101.78 | 4.0M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 701.0 GBP | -6.4% | 394.4 GBP | 255.2 GBP | 1.64 | 102.91 | 1.4M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 749.0 GBP | 8.6% | 381.0 GBP | 251.7 GBP | 1.71 | 124.13 | 3.1M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 689.8 GBP | 56.0% | 365.6 GBP | 247.9 GBP | 1.55 | 108.50 | 966.4K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 442.3 GBP | -2.6% | 352.2 GBP | 244.4 GBP | 1.56 | 38.99 | 574.4K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 454.1 GBP | -1.0% | 347.1 GBP | 242.6 GBP | 1.25 | 45.94 | 1.8M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 458.6 GBP | 2.2% | 341.5 GBP | 240.6 GBP | 1.03 | 47.30 | 656.4K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 448.7 GBP | 21.1% | 333.2 GBP | 238.8 GBP | 0.76 | 47.01 | 1.8M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 370.5 GBP | -5.7% | 325.3 GBP | 237.0 GBP | 0.45 | 22.14 | 845.1K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 393.0 GBP | 3.7% | 320.1 GBP | 235.8 GBP | 0.56 | 29.16 | 1.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 379.0 GBP | -1.6% | 314.3 GBP | 234.4 GBP | 0.48 | 28.41 | 865.7K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 385.0 GBP | 5.2% | 308.8 GBP | 233.1 GBP | 0.68 | 30.62 | 1.2M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.