- The trend backdrop is active with a 16-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
CNB
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Carnaby Resources Limited · Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining
Latest close
0.87 AUD
17.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 62.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 17.6%, after a 55.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
69
out of 100
Latest Close
0.87 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
17.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
55.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
47.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
80.8%
42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.1x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.12% based on similar historical setup states.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
17.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 55.4%.
Indicator stack
89/53
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 38.12%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
47/100
12 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 62.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 17.6%, after a 55.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6912-week average 0.68
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.69Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 55.4% over four weeks, 47.5% over 12 weeks, and 145.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 16 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak16 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-26.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership73.84Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change228.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 02 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 24%
Model confidence 13%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength68/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Value64/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Quality62/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Momentum63/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Growth63/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 0/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment47/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
2 positive · 9 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility19.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+54.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-12.5%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+17.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses11
Recent vol19.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.5% / -6.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth21.0%
Trend21.0%active weekly trend signals
MD27.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Other Precious Metals & Mining
4-week rank1 / 85
Group average-0.3%
Trend breadth8.2%
Trend8.2%active weekly trend signals
MD25.9%positive activity pressure
RS15.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape66/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 66/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis82/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.69; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 38.12%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.12% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors63/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 28; Small Cap Core rank 44 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment47/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
Australian Shares Jump; Evolution Mining to Acquire Carnaby Resources in AU$213 Million Deal Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.87 AUD | 17.6% | 0.54 AUD | 0.51 AUD | 0.28 | 73.84 | 27.0M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.74 AUD | 54.2% | 0.52 AUD | 0.51 AUD | -0.03 | 55.56 | 52.0M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.48 AUD | -2.0% | 0.52 AUD | 0.51 AUD | -0.19 | 4.83 | 2.2M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.49 AUD | -12.5% | 0.52 AUD | 0.52 AUD | 0.07 | 7.10 | 2.2M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.56 AUD | -6.7% | 0.51 AUD | 0.52 AUD | 0.38 | 22.49 | 3.0M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.60 AUD | 5.3% | 0.51 AUD | 0.52 AUD | 0.51 | 31.19 | 167.4K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.57 AUD | -12.3% | 0.50 AUD | 0.53 AUD | 0.82 | 26.55 | 511.1K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.65 AUD | 1.6% | 0.50 AUD | 0.53 AUD | 1.06 | 44.27 | 474.1K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.64 AUD | -4.5% | 0.49 AUD | 0.53 AUD | 1.08 | 44.05 | 533.2K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.67 AUD | -8.2% | 0.48 AUD | 0.54 AUD | 1.25 | 55.99 | 7.1M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.73 AUD | 32.7% | 0.47 AUD | 0.54 AUD | 0.79 | 70.53 | 2.3M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.55 AUD | -6.8% | 0.46 AUD | 0.54 AUD | 0.42 | 31.76 | 4.9M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.59 AUD | 24.2% | 0.45 AUD | 0.54 AUD | 0.17 | 43.39 | 9.4M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.47 AUD | -1.0% | 0.45 AUD | 0.55 AUD | -0.41 | 15.39 | 2.2M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.