- The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
AALL34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
American Airlines Group Inc. · Industrials · Airlines
Latest close
81.64 BRL
4.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a -5.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
50
out of 100
Latest Close
81.64 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-5.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
30.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
48.1%
25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move -5.5%.
Indicator stack
40/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
52/100
27 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a -5.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6512-week average 0.42
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.65Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -5.5% over four weeks, 30.6% over 12 weeks, and 29.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.29Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-68.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership9.32Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-18.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.
7 positive · 15 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.7%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-12.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses10
Recent vol7.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.7% / -5.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Industrials
4-week rank70 / 100
Group average-0.9%
Trend breadth32.0%
Trend32.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS45.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Airlines
4-week rank4 / 7
Group average-4.6%
Trend breadth57.1%
Trend57.1%active weekly trend signals
MD85.7%positive activity pressure
RS57.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape48/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 48/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis62/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 8/12.
Activity pressure 0.65; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.
Japan Airlines (TSE:9201) Stock Top Line Strength Meets Sharp Earnings Squeeze Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 81.64 BRL | 4.9% | 70.39 BRL | 70.70 BRL | 0.29 | 9.32 | 7.2K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 77.82 BRL | 7.7% | 70.51 BRL | 70.67 BRL | 0.39 | 1.03 | 2.6K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 72.25 BRL | -5.7% | 70.74 BRL | 70.66 BRL | 0.58 | -4.17 | 5.2K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 76.63 BRL | -11.3% | 71.19 BRL | 70.71 BRL | 0.80 | 1.54 | 4.3K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 86.40 BRL | -5.2% | 71.54 BRL | 70.75 BRL | 0.91 | 11.41 | 2.2K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 91.13 BRL | -0.5% | 71.38 BRL | 70.75 BRL | 0.86 | 19.88 | 20 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 91.62 BRL | 10.4% | 71.04 BRL | 70.74 BRL | 0.70 | 21.58 | 242 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 82.97 BRL | 10.3% | 70.48 BRL | 70.70 BRL | 0.67 | 13.58 | 1 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 75.25 BRL | 8.8% | 70.05 BRL | 70.66 BRL | 0.68 | 1.77 | 1.3K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 69.18 BRL | -7.8% | 69.80 BRL | 70.69 BRL | 0.47 | -5.18 | 758 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 75.00 BRL | 7.3% | 69.91 BRL | 70.74 BRL | 0.44 | -0.33 | 24.8K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 69.87 BRL | 11.7% | 69.76 BRL | 70.73 BRL | 0.05 | -8.61 | 44.9K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 62.53 BRL | -4.0% | 69.90 BRL | 70.74 BRL | -0.30 | -18.93 | 12.4K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 65.16 BRL | 11.8% | 69.95 BRL | 70.82 BRL | -0.38 | -19.13 | 46.7K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.