- The trend backdrop is active with a 16-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
CONFIPET
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Confidence Petroleum India Limited · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Latest close
81.28 INR
2.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 49.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 93.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a 6.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
70
out of 100
Latest Close
81.28 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
31.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
30.8%
16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.3%.
Indicator stack
62/68
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
58/100
23 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 49.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 93.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a 6.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9212-week average 0.88
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.92Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.3% over four weeks, 31.9% over 12 weeks, and 66.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 16 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak16 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership65.55Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change0.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength98/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Value88/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Quality63/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth79/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework46/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 29.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 10.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 11.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 14.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 3.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 8.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 6.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 49.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 7.7% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 7413.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.1% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 23 relevant articles.
3 positive · 20 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+35.7%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-9.3%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+2.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses5
Recent vol7.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.9% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Energy
4-week rank13 / 37
Group average7.0%
Trend breadth59.5%
Trend59.5%active weekly trend signals
MD62.2%positive activity pressure
RS70.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
4-week rank7 / 14
Group average9.9%
Trend breadth57.1%
Trend57.1%active weekly trend signals
MD85.7%positive activity pressure
RS64.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape67/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 67/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis90/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.92; No reversal markers Factors85/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 28; Small Cap Core rank 22 SVQF46/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 857.5 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is positive across 23 relevant articles.
Confidence Petroleum India Limited Reports Earnings Results for the First Quarter Ended June 30, 2026 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 81.28 INR | 2.0% | 54.41 INR | 67.69 INR | 1.01 | 65.55 | 12.6M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 79.66 INR | 1.7% | 52.84 INR | 67.62 INR | 1.03 | 65.58 | 18.2M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 78.30 INR | 7.1% | 51.43 INR | 67.59 INR | 0.99 | 68.95 | 12.3M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 73.12 INR | -4.4% | 50.05 INR | 67.59 INR | 0.96 | 55.94 | 8.3M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 76.45 INR | 3.1% | 48.76 INR | 67.61 INR | 1.00 | 65.22 | 9.6M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 74.17 INR | 3.2% | 47.35 INR | 67.60 INR | 1.01 | 61.42 | 4.5M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 71.87 INR | 2.0% | 46.08 INR | 67.62 INR | 1.08 | 59.21 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 70.44 INR | 0.0% | 44.95 INR | 67.67 INR | 1.18 | 57.98 | 4.1M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 70.42 INR | -9.3% | 43.93 INR | 67.68 INR | 1.22 | 61.70 | 1.8M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 77.61 INR | 14.5% | 42.92 INR | 67.69 INR | 1.34 | 81.26 | 3.9M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 67.77 INR | 17.8% | 41.70 INR | 67.62 INR | 1.29 | 58.63 | 12.3M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 57.51 INR | -6.7% | 40.83 INR | 67.61 INR | 1.29 | 34.35 | 14.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 61.61 INR | 12.6% | 40.29 INR | 67.67 INR | 1.35 | 44.38 | 27.6M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 54.72 INR | 0.1% | 39.58 INR | 67.67 INR | 1.31 | 25.88 | 8.8M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.