Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
US Equity · NASDAQ · Earnings Dossier
AAL earnings intelligence
American Airlines GroupIndustrials · Airlines · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Delivery strong, expectations demanding
Results have usually cleared estimates, but price has not consistently rewarded the delivery.
Evidence100/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
Thursday 22 October 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Sep 2026
48event risk
Elevated
Countdown71 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate-0.13 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth+23.5%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement5.9%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Three-year relationship unavailable
Earnings power must be positive through the latest visible week.
Beat rate83.3%10 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise+70.1%median 26.8%
Delivery streak22 consecutive beats
Average response-0.8%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation50%same directional sign
Surprise variability124.2 ptspopulation dispersion
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth7.5%year on year
Average surprise5.4%latest four quarters
SUE0.49standardised surprise
Net margin-0.6%trailing basis
Cash conversion-25.96xcash flow / net income
P/E-current snapshot
Data completeness79%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close15.94 USDcompleted week
13-week return19.4%price momentum
Fair-value gap20.7%price versus current fair value
Relative strength2.5exchange benchmark
Trend signalActiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateNegative41.1%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period23 Jul 202630 Jun 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.15 / 0.03USD
Surprise+400.0%Beat
EPS growth-84.2%year on year
Revenue / growth16735000000+16.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks-3.4% / -completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period23 Apr 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.40 / -0.46USD
Surprise+13.0%Beat
EPS growth+32.2%year on year
Revenue / growth13912000000+10.8% · USD
Next close / four weeks-5.3% / -3.7%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period27 Jan 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.16 / 0.35USD
Surprise-54.3%Miss
EPS growth-81.4%year on year
Revenue / growth13999000000+2.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-9.3% / -7.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period23 Oct 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.17 / -0.28USD
Surprise+39.3%Beat
EPS growth-156.7%year on year
Revenue / growth13691000000+0.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks+16.2% / +7.6%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Jul 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.95 / 0.77USD
Surprise+23.4%Beat
EPS growth-12.8%year on year
Revenue / growth14392000000+0.4% · USD
Next close / four weeks-8.1% / +5.3%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Apr 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.59 / -0.67USD
Surprise+11.9%Beat
EPS growth-73.5%year on year
Revenue / growth12551000000-0.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks+3.1% / +25.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period23 Jan 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.86 / 0.66USD
Surprise+30.3%Beat
EPS growth+196.6%year on year
Revenue / growth13660000000+4.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks-7.2% / -12.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Oct 202430 Sep 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.30 / 0.17USD
Surprise+76.5%Beat
EPS growth-21.1%year on year
Revenue / growth13647000000+1.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks+0.5% / +9.9%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period25 Jul 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.09 / 1.05USD
Surprise+3.8%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth14334000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+0.4% / -5.0%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period25 Apr 202431 Mar 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.34 / -0.29USD
Surprise-17.2%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth12570000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.6% / +4.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period25 Jan 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.29 / 0.08USD
Surprise+262.5%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth13062000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+10.8% / +7.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period19 Oct 202330 Sep 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.38 / 0.25USD
Surprise+52.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth13482000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-5.5% / +0.7%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.