Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier
ALK earnings intelligence
Alaska Air Group IncIndustrials · Airlines · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Mixed earnings transmission
Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.
Evidence100/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
Thursday 22 October 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Sep 2026
46event risk
Elevated
Countdown71 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate0.56 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth-46.7%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement5.0%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Three-year relationship unavailable
Earnings power must be positive through the latest visible week.
Beat rate66.7%8 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise+41.1%median 6.1%
Delivery streak11 consecutive beats
Average response+0.1%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation82%same directional sign
Surprise variability82.0 ptspopulation dispersion
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth9.8%year on year
Average surprise71.5%latest four quarters
SUE0.49standardised surprise
Net margin-1.2%trailing basis
Cash conversion-13.66xcash flow / net income
P/E-current snapshot
Data completeness79%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close49.96 USDcompleted week
13-week return22.3%price momentum
Fair-value gap7.5%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-7.3exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided53.8%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period21 Jul 202630 Jun 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.92 / -0.97USD
Surprise+5.2%Beat
EPS growth-151.7%year on year
Revenue / growth4065000000+9.7% · USD
Next close / four weeks+1.4% / -completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period20 Apr 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-1.68 / -1.59USD
Surprise-5.7%Miss
EPS growth-118.2%year on year
Revenue / growth3300000000+5.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks-8.4% / -18.6%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period22 Jan 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.43 / 0.11USD
Surprise+290.9%Beat
EPS growth-55.7%year on year
Revenue / growth3632000000+2.8% · USD
Next close / four weeks+1.7% / +10.5%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period23 Oct 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.05 / 1.10USD
Surprise-4.5%Miss
EPS growth-53.3%year on year
Revenue / growth3766000000+22.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks-7.5% / -11.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period23 Jul 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.78 / 1.54USD
Surprise+15.6%Beat
EPS growth-30.2%year on year
Revenue / growth3704000000+27.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.9% / +7.9%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period23 Apr 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.77 / -0.77USD
Surprise0.0%In-Line
EPS growth+16.3%year on year
Revenue / growth3137000000+40.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-7.2% / +18.7%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period22 Jan 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.97 / 0.47USD
Surprise+106.4%Beat
EPS growth+223.3%year on year
Revenue / growth3534000000+38.4% · USD
Next close / four weeks+5.4% / +14.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period31 Oct 202430 Sep 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.25 / 2.22USD
Surprise+1.4%Beat
EPS growth+23.0%year on year
Revenue / growth3072000000+8.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks+8.1% / +15.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period17 Jul 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.55 / 2.38USD
Surprise+7.1%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth2897000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.2% / -9.7%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period18 Apr 202431 Mar 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.92 / -1.05USD
Surprise+12.4%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth2232000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+9.0% / +6.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period25 Jan 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.30 / 0.18USD
Surprise+66.7%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth2553000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+5.5% / +7.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period19 Oct 202330 Sep 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.83 / 1.87USD
Surprise-2.1%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth2839000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-3.2% / +3.6%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.