ALK NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Alaska Air Group Inc · Industrials · Airlines

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Latest close 47.45 USD
2.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 43.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.9%, after a -7.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 34/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 81d.

Setup score 31 out of 100
Latest Close 47.45 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.9% latest completed week
4W Return -7.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 7.7% 4 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -7.1%. Indicator stack 4/55 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 34/100 conviction; expected move 11.7%. News sentiment 55/100 67 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 81d Next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 43.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.9%, after a -7.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4812-week average 0.21

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.48Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.1% over four weeks, 16.2% over 12 weeks, and -7.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.9%
4W-7.1%
12W16.2%
26W-6.6%
52W-7.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year4
Trend breadth7.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.46Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-43.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.36Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-116.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 91%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength55/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality32/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Momentum23/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Growth70/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework7/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
18.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
20.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
94.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-1.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
16.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-1.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
9.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-16.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
11.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
11.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
10.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

ALK shows mixed options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.07, expected move of 11.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction34/100
Expected move11.7%
Put/call volume1.07
Pressure3
Speculation33
Volatility79
Trend agreement69
Open options detail
Insider activity13 / 0

13 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 67 relevant articles.

25 positive · 30 neutral · 12 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings81dNext report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move11.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.0%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-18.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses10
Recent vol7.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -5.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape28/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis33/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.48; No reversal markers Factors46/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 5; Small Cap Core rank 15 SVQF7/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 938.0 of 1007 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options51/100

ALK shows mixed options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.07, expected move of 11.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 11.7% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 67 relevant articles.

American Airlines Stock Draws Bulls After Earnings Beat Insiders13 / 0

13 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings81d

Next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

0 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202647.45 USD2.9%45.81 USD46.45 USD0.46-9.3613.5MOff
24 Jul 202646.13 USD1.4%45.95 USD46.45 USD0.57-11.4021.3MOff
17 Jul 202645.51 USD-7.9%46.13 USD46.46 USD0.67-13.5814.4MOff
10 Jul 202649.42 USD-3.3%46.34 USD46.52 USD0.79-8.2215.5MOff
3 Jul 202651.09 USD-5.1%46.41 USD46.54 USD0.82-4.3313.0MOff
26 Jun 202653.86 USD9.3%46.36 USD46.55 USD0.672.6616.5MOff
19 Jun 202649.26 USD4.1%45.99 USD46.55 USD0.43-8.5214.3MOff
12 Jun 202647.32 USD10.5%45.67 USD46.55 USD0.14-11.6318.6MOff
5 Jun 202642.82 USD-7.0%45.48 USD46.57 USD-0.30-19.9415.6MOff
29 May 202646.02 USD11.3%45.48 USD46.61 USD-0.45-16.7814.2MOff
22 May 202641.34 USD11.9%45.34 USD46.61 USD-0.67-24.6817.2MOff
15 May 202636.94 USD-9.5%45.42 USD46.63 USD-0.60-32.6912.9MOff
8 May 202640.84 USD5.9%45.77 USD46.68 USD-0.40-26.2219.1MOff
1 May 202638.55 USD-7.3%45.98 USD46.69 USD-0.42-29.4016.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.