Move decomposition
Earnings contribution and valuation offset
The market move is separated into the change in trailing earnings power and the offset from relative valuation.
US Equity · NASDAQ · Earnings Dossier
ASO earnings intelligence
Academy Sports Outdoors IncConsumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Mixed earnings transmission
Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.
Evidence99/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
Tuesday 1 September 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 31 Jul 2026
48event risk
Elevated
Countdown20 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate2.07 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth+6.7%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement6.8%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Earnings power and market price are broadly aligned; their relationship is currently closing. Both series begin at 100, so the gap isolates the relative change in price and trailing earnings power.
Market move-13.6%2023-08-18 to 2026-08-07
Earnings move-18.4%trailing diluted EPS
Unresolved spread-4.8 ptsClosing
Current multiple8.0xprice divided by TTM EPS
Relationship pressure18/100Low
Model confidence96/100High
Relationship controls
What qualifies the headline spread
Beat rate33.3%4 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise-4.7%median -3.9%
Delivery streak11 consecutive beats
Average response+1.9%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation70%same directional sign
Surprise variability9.3 ptspopulation dispersion
Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth-1.2%year on year
Revenue growth3.8%year on year
Average surprise-0.8%latest four quarters
SUE-0.37standardised surprise
Net margin6.2%trailing basis
Cash conversion1.67xcash flow / net income
P/E7.8xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness100%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close48.13 USDcompleted week
13-week return-10.8%price momentum
Fair-value gap-7.7%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-19.3exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week statePositive56.1%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period9 Jun 202630 Apr 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.93 / 0.91USD
Surprise+2.2%Beat
EPS growth+22.4%year on year
Revenue / growth1442003000+6.7% · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.4% / -7.3%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period17 Mar 202631 Jan 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.97 / 2.05USD
Surprise-3.9%Miss
EPS growth+0.5%year on year
Revenue / growth1718471000+2.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-7.5% / +0.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period9 Dec 202531 Oct 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.14 / 1.06USD
Surprise+7.5%Beat
EPS growth+16.3%year on year
Revenue / growth1383696000+3.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks+10.5% / +4.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period2 Sep 202531 Jul 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.94 / 2.13USD
Surprise-8.9%Miss
EPS growth-4.4%year on year
Revenue / growth1599838000+3.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks-5.0% / -6.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period10 Jun 202530 Apr 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.76 / 0.89USD
Surprise-14.6%Miss
EPS growth-29.6%year on year
Revenue / growth1351409000-0.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks+0.2% / +9.0%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period20 Mar 202531 Jan 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.96 / 1.82USD
Surprise+7.7%Beat
EPS growth-11.3%year on year
Revenue / growth1676920000-6.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks+4.7% / -18.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period10 Dec 202431 Oct 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.98 / 1.27USD
Surprise-22.8%Miss
EPS growth-29.0%year on year
Revenue / growth1343330000-3.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks+7.8% / +13.0%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period10 Sep 202431 Jul 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.03 / 2.02USD
Surprise+0.5%In-Line
EPS growth-2.9%year on year
Revenue / growth1548980000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+10.1% / +6.8%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period11 Jun 202430 Apr 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.08 / 1.22USD
Surprise-11.5%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1364220000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-5.9% / -5.5%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period21 Mar 202431 Jan 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.21 / 2.30USD
Surprise-3.9%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1794828000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-9.9% / -16.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period30 Nov 202331 Oct 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.38 / 1.59USD
Surprise-13.2%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1397777000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+11.0% / +25.7%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period31 Aug 202331 Jul 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.09 / 2.00USD
Surprise+4.5%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+7.9% / -5.8%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.