Move decomposition
Earnings contribution and valuation offset
The market move is separated into the change in trailing earnings power and the offset from relative valuation.
US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier
TG earnings intelligence
Tredegar CorporationIndustrials · Metal Fabrication · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Evidence is still developing
More reported quarters are needed before delivery consistency can be assessed reliably.
Evidence78/100 · Strong
Next scheduled catalyst
Friday 14 August 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Jun 2026
72event risk
High
Countdown2 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate-provider consensus
Estimate growth-versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement12.7%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Earnings power is leading market price; the spread is closing and has persisted through 6 updates. Both series begin at 100, so the gap isolates the relative change in price and trailing earnings power.
Market move78.2%2023-08-18 to 2026-08-07
Earnings move1955.8%trailing diluted EPS
Unresolved spread1877.6 ptsClosing
Current multiple10.8xprice divided by TTM EPS
Relationship pressure85/100Extreme
Model confidence78/100High
Relationship controls
What qualifies the headline spread
Persistent earnings lead
Earnings power has led market price across several updates.
Business quality supportive
Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive.
Starting-base sensitivity
The three-year earnings move begins from an unusually depressed level; compare the shorter horizons before relying on its scale.
Model qualification
The three-year starting earnings level was unusually depressed.
Model qualification
The earnings move is exceptionally large and should be read with its quality confirmation.
Beat rate-0 beats in 0 measured quarters
Average surprise-median -
Delivery streak0No measured streak
Average response+0.8%11 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation-same directional sign
Surprise variability-population dispersion
Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth44.8%year on year
Average surprise-latest four quarters
SUE-standardised surprise
Net margin4.3%trailing basis
Cash conversion1.93xcash flow / net income
P/E9.3xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness93%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close8.89 USDcompleted week
13-week return-14.1%price momentum
Fair-value gap26.8%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-1.7exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided47.3%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period7 Aug 202630 Jun 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.18 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+260.0%year on year
Revenue / growth216236000+20.7% · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 May 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.15 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-48.6%year on year
Revenue / growth186489000+13.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks-20.3% / -21.9%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period11 Mar 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.42 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+598.2%year on year
Revenue / growth184068000+268.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks-11.4% / -7.6%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 Nov 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.20 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+277.3%year on year
Revenue / growth194942000+33.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks+23.2% / +12.9%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Aug 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.05 / 0.00USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-80.4%year on year
Revenue / growth179116000+16.4% · USD
Next close / four weeks-12.9% / -6.8%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 May 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.29 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+204.6%year on year
Revenue / growth164738000+14.4% · USD
Next close / four weeks+2.8% / +2.8%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period12 Mar 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.06 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+105.8%year on year
Revenue / growth50003000-63.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks+4.0% / -4.1%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Nov 202430 Sep 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.11 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+92.2%year on year
Revenue / growth146064000-12.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks-13.1% / -12.0%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 Aug 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.26 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth153940000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+1.9% / +16.8%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period9 May 202431 Mar 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.10 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth143972000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+2.5% / -13.9%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period15 Mar 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-1.04 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth136167000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+39.4% / +51.2%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period9 Nov 202330 Sep 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-1.47 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth166192000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-7.7% / +2.1%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.