US Equity · NASDAQ · Earnings Dossier

FCEL earnings intelligence

FuelCell Energy Inc

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts · USD reporting basis

Current earnings profile Mixed earnings transmission

Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.

Evidence99/100 · Deep

Next scheduled catalyst

Tuesday 8 September 2026

Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 31 Jul 2026

78event risk

High

Countdown27 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate-0.35 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth+65.7%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement13.8%average absolute next weekly close

Three-year earnings transmission

Delivered earnings power versus market price

Three-year relationship unavailable

Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window.

Beat rate58.3%7 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise+2.5%median 3.7%
Delivery streak11 consecutive misses
Average response+3.3%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation58%same directional sign
Surprise variability23.2 ptspopulation dispersion

Estimate delivery

Actual EPS versus consensus

Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.

Price acceptance

Surprise and next weekly close

The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.

Fundamental delivery

Quarterly revenue and net income

Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.

Transmission matrix

Does price confirm delivery?

Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.

Current business context

Growth, quality and valuation

As of 9 Aug 2026
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth29.7%year on year
Average surprise11.9%latest four quarters
SUE0.02standardised surprise
Net margin-132.7%trailing basis
Cash conversion0.44xcash flow / net income
P/E-current snapshot
Data completeness79%alphavantage

Market context

Positioning into the event

Week ending 7 Aug 2026
Weekly close20.43 USDcompleted week
13-week return49.1%price momentum
Fair-value gap17.9%price versus current fair value
Relative strength64.9exchange benchmark
Trend signalActiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided46.1%

Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.

Reported evidence ledger

Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance

Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.

12 quarters
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period8 Jun 202630 Apr 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.53 / -0.43USD
Surprise-23.3%Miss
EPS growth+69.7%year on year
Revenue / growth35589000-4.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks-2.3% / +62.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period9 Mar 202631 Jan 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.52 / -0.68USD
Surprise+23.5%Beat
EPS growth+63.9%year on year
Revenue / growth30531000+60.7% · USD
Next close / four weeks-12.8% / -13.2%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period18 Dec 202531 Oct 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.93 / -1.03USD
Surprise+9.7%Beat
EPS growth+53.3%year on year
Revenue / growth55016000+11.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-4.8% / -13.5%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period9 Sep 202531 Jul 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-1.02 / -1.63USD
Surprise+37.4%Beat
EPS growth+47.4%year on year
Revenue / growth46743000+97.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks+69.6% / +152.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period6 Jun 202530 Apr 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-1.75 / -1.38USD
Surprise-26.8%Miss
EPS growth+16.7%year on year
Revenue / growth37406000+66.8% · USD
Next close / four weeks+18.0% / +7.8%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period11 Mar 202531 Jan 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-1.44 / -1.35USD
Surprise-6.7%Miss
EPS growth-15.2%year on year
Revenue / growth18997000+13.8% · USD
Next close / four weeks-6.2% / -32.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period19 Dec 202431 Oct 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-1.99 / -1.60USD
Surprise-24.4%Miss
EPS growth+15.3%year on year
Revenue / growth49326000+119.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks-8.5% / -4.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period5 Sep 202431 Jul 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-1.94 / -2.27USD
Surprise+14.5%Beat
EPS growth+31.0%year on year
Revenue / growth23695000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+8.0% / -1.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period10 Jun 202430 Apr 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-2.10 / -2.12USD
Surprise+0.9%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth22420000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-5.7% / -27.0%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 Mar 202431 Jan 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-1.25 / -2.15USD
Surprise+41.9%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth16691000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-8.9% / -4.0%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period19 Dec 202331 Oct 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-2.35 / -2.51USD
Surprise+6.4%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth22462000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+7.1% / -21.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period11 Sep 202331 Jul 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-2.81 / -2.27USD
Surprise-23.8%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-13.9% / -13.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign

Reproducible method

How the earnings dossier is measured

Descriptive, not predictive
Estimate delivery

Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.

Price response

The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.

Event risk

Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.

Data discipline

Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.

Evidence context