US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier

CCL earnings intelligence

Carnival Corporation

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services · USD reporting basis

Current earnings profile Delivery and acceptance aligned

Results have usually cleared estimates and the next completed weekly close has, on average, confirmed the delivery.

Evidence99/100 · Deep

Next scheduled catalyst

Monday 5 October 2026

Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 31 Aug 2026

54event risk

Elevated

Countdown53 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate1.36 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth-4.9%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement6.6%average absolute next weekly close

Three-year earnings transmission

Delivered earnings power versus market price

Three-year relationship unavailable

Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window.

Beat rate100.0%12 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise+126.1%median 29.1%
Delivery streak1212 consecutive beats
Average response+1.8%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation46%same directional sign
Surprise variability214.3 ptspopulation dispersion

Estimate delivery

Actual EPS versus consensus

Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.

Price acceptance

Surprise and next weekly close

The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.

Fundamental delivery

Quarterly revenue and net income

Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.

Transmission matrix

Does price confirm delivery?

Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.

Current business context

Growth, quality and valuation

As of 9 Aug 2026
EPS growth21.5%year on year
Revenue growth5.2%year on year
Average surprise18.1%latest four quarters
SUE1.02standardised surprise
Net margin11.2%trailing basis
Cash conversion3.38xcash flow / net income
P/E12.9xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness100%alphavantage

Market context

Positioning into the event

Week ending 7 Aug 2026
Weekly close28.99 USDcompleted week
13-week return10.6%price momentum
Fair-value gap31.3%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-8.8exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week statePositive56.0%

Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.

Reported evidence ledger

Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance

Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.

12 quarters
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period23 Jun 202631 May 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.41 / 0.35USD
Surprise+17.1%Beat
EPS growth+17.1%year on year
Revenue / growth6663000000+5.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks-5.8% / -14.9%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period27 Mar 202628 Feb 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.20 / 0.18USD
Surprise+11.1%Beat
EPS growth+53.8%year on year
Revenue / growth6165000000+6.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks+6.3% / +21.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period19 Dec 202530 Nov 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.34 / 0.25USD
Surprise+36.0%Beat
EPS growth+142.9%year on year
Revenue / growth6330000000+6.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks+11.2% / +16.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Sep 202531 Aug 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.43 / 1.32USD
Surprise+8.3%Beat
EPS growth+12.6%year on year
Revenue / growth8153000000+3.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks-6.7% / -4.0%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Jun 202531 May 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.35 / 0.24USD
Surprise+45.8%Beat
EPS growth+218.2%year on year
Revenue / growth6328000000+9.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks+14.7% / +24.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period21 Mar 202528 Feb 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.13 / 0.02USD
Surprise+550.0%Beat
EPS growth+192.9%year on year
Revenue / growth5810000000+7.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.3% / -11.4%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period20 Dec 202430 Nov 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.14 / 0.07USD
Surprise+100.0%Beat
EPS growth+300.0%year on year
Revenue / growth5938000000+10.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks-3.2% / -6.3%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period30 Sep 202431 Aug 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.27 / 1.15USD
Surprise+10.4%Beat
EPS growth+47.7%year on year
Revenue / growth7896000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-2.8% / +12.8%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period25 Jun 202431 May 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.11 / -0.02USD
Surprise+650.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth5781000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+16.5% / +14.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period27 Mar 202429 Feb 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.14 / -0.18USD
Surprise+22.2%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth5407000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-4.3% / -17.3%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period21 Dec 202330 Nov 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.07 / -0.13USD
Surprise+46.2%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth5396000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+1.7% / -8.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Sep 202331 Aug 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.86 / 0.74USD
Surprise+16.2%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-5.6% / -21.5%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign

Reproducible method

How the earnings dossier is measured

Descriptive, not predictive
Estimate delivery

Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.

Price response

The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.

Event risk

Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.

Data discipline

Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.

Evidence context