US Equity · NASDAQ · Earnings Dossier

ATER earnings intelligence

Aterian Inc

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · USD reporting basis

Current earnings profile Delivery strong, expectations demanding

Results have usually cleared estimates, but price has not consistently rewarded the delivery.

Evidence94/100 · Deep

Next scheduled catalyst

Wednesday 12 August 2026

Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Jun 2026

95event risk

High

Countdown0 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate-provider consensus
Estimate growth-versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement11.9%average absolute next weekly close

Three-year earnings transmission

Delivered earnings power versus market price

Three-year relationship unavailable

Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window.

Beat rate77.8%7 beats in 9 measured quarters
Average surprise+7.9%median 24.6%
Delivery streak11 consecutive misses
Average response-2.5%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation43%same directional sign
Surprise variability77.7 ptspopulation dispersion

Estimate delivery

Actual EPS versus consensus

Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.

Price acceptance

Surprise and next weekly close

The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.

Fundamental delivery

Quarterly revenue and net income

Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.

Transmission matrix

Does price confirm delivery?

Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.

Current business context

Growth, quality and valuation

As of 9 Aug 2026
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth-43.1%year on year
Average surprise36.9%latest four quarters
SUE1.18standardised surprise
Net margin-39.6%trailing basis
Cash conversion0.35xcash flow / net income
P/E-current snapshot
Data completeness79%alphavantage

Market context

Positioning into the event

Week ending 7 Aug 2026
Weekly close0.49 USDcompleted week
13-week return-55.1%price momentum
Fair-value gap-77.7%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-49.6exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateNegative44.4%

Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.

Reported evidence ledger

Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance

Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.

12 quarters
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period15 May 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.69 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-33.3%year on year
Revenue / growth18000-99.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks+10.9% / -5.5%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period23 Mar 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.79 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-293.9%year on year
Revenue / growth15132000-38.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-6.6% / +18.6%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period13 Nov 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.28 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-3.7%year on year
Revenue / growth19021000-27.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks+2.0% / -3.2%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period13 Aug 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.63 / -0.54USD
Surprise-16.7%Miss
EPS growth-10.5%year on year
Revenue / growth19462000-30.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-20.1% / -17.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period14 May 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.52 / -0.69USD
Surprise+24.6%Beat
EPS growth+30.7%year on year
Revenue / growth15360000-24.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks-14.6% / -30.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period18 Mar 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.20 / -0.63USD
Surprise+68.1%Beat
EPS growth-101.2%year on year
Revenue / growth24607000-24.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.9% / -16.8%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period11 Nov 202430 Sep 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.27 / -0.95USD
Surprise+71.6%Beat
EPS growth+65.8%year on year
Revenue / growth26239000-33.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks-15.5% / -15.3%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Aug 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.57 / -0.94USD
Surprise+39.4%Beat
EPS growth+89.4%year on year
Revenue / growth27984000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+24.5% / +7.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 May 202431 Mar 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.75 / -1.32USD
Surprise+43.2%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth20214000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+17.2% / +10.5%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period12 Mar 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.10 / -0.13USD
Surprise+23.1%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth32755000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-29.1% / -57.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Nov 202330 Sep 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.79 / -0.96USD
Surprise+17.7%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth39668000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+0.3% / +5.0%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Aug 202330 Jun 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-5.40 / -1.80USD
Surprise-200.0%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+1.5% / -17.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign

Reproducible method

How the earnings dossier is measured

Descriptive, not predictive
Estimate delivery

Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.

Price response

The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.

Event risk

Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.

Data discipline

Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.

Evidence context