ATER NASDAQ Week ended 18 Sep 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Aterian Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

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Latest close 0.6999 USD
-9.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.4%, after a 60.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 54/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 52d.

Setup score 34 out of 100
Latest Close 0.6999 USD 18 Sep 2026
1W Return -9.4% latest completed week
4W Return 60.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -44.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 19.2% 10 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -9.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 60.7%. Indicator stack 11/48 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 54/100 conviction; expected move 282.2%. News sentiment 51/100 8 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 52d Next report is scheduled for 12 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.4%, after a 60.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1912-week average 0.53

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.19Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 60.7% over four weeks, -44.0% over 12 weeks, and -29.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-9.4%
4W60.7%
12W-44.0%
26W16.6%
52W-29.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year10
Trend breadth19.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.39Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change60.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.28Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change58.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 18 Sep 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 82%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength73/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Value62/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Quality60/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Momentum62/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Growth61/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-25.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
56.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-32.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-7.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-81.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-60.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-615.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

ATER shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 282.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction54/100
Expected move282.2%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation12
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity2 / 0

2 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.

3 positive · 3 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings52dNext report is scheduled for 12 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move282.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-62.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility27.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+60.0%Week of 4 Sep.
Worst week-69.2%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week-9.4%Week of 18 Sep.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains12
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses1
Sharp losses10
Recent vol27.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol17.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew12.1% / -9.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape25/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis32/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 3/12.

Activity pressure 0.19; No reversal markers Factors64/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 58 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options36/100

ATER shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 282.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 282.2% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.

Aterian (NASDAQ: ATER) Granted Until March 1, 2027 to Meet Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Requirement Insiders2 / 0

2 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings52d

Next report is scheduled for 12 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
18 Sep 20260.6999 USD-9.4%0.8134 USD2.08 USD-0.39-22.281.9MOff
11 Sep 20260.7729 USD23.5%0.8092 USD2.10 USD-0.49-14.3053.1MOff
4 Sep 20260.6259 USD60.0%0.8047 USD2.12 USD-0.72-31.6151.5MOff
28 Aug 20260.3913 USD-10.1%0.8055 USD2.14 USD-0.94-57.62519.0KOff
21 Aug 20260.4354 USD-12.9%0.8156 USD2.16 USD-0.97-53.45939.7KOff
14 Aug 20260.5001 USD1.4%0.8262 USD2.19 USD-0.98-48.741.8MOff
7 Aug 20260.4934 USD20.3%0.8352 USD2.21 USD-0.52-49.571.1MOff
31 Jul 20260.4101 USD2.3%0.8462 USD2.24 USD-0.09-56.803.9MOff
24 Jul 20260.401 USD-69.2%0.8564 USD2.27 USD0.47-58.412.8MOn
17 Jul 20261.30 USD13.0%0.8664 USD2.31 USD1.0029.44633.8KOn
10 Jul 20261.15 USD-8.7%0.846 USD2.35 USD1.128.901.3MOn
3 Jul 20261.26 USD0.8%0.8333 USD2.38 USD1.2719.83388.5KOn
26 Jun 20261.25 USD-9.4%0.8178 USD2.42 USD1.2818.32968.7KOn
19 Jun 20261.38 USD15.0%0.8011 USD2.45 USD1.3422.861.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context