US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier

VLRS earnings intelligence

Volaris

Industrials · Airlines · USD reporting basis

Current earnings profile Mixed earnings transmission

Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.

Evidence100/100 · Deep

Next scheduled catalyst

Monday 26 October 2026

Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Sep 2026

52event risk

Elevated

Countdown75 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate-0.33 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth-760.0%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement7.8%average absolute next weekly close

Three-year earnings transmission

Delivered earnings power versus market price

Three-year relationship unavailable

Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window.

Beat rate58.3%7 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise+35.5%median 17.9%
Delivery streak11 consecutive misses
Average response-1.7%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation60%same directional sign
Surprise variability138.0 ptspopulation dispersion

Estimate delivery

Actual EPS versus consensus

Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.

Price acceptance

Surprise and next weekly close

The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.

Fundamental delivery

Quarterly revenue and net income

Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.

Transmission matrix

Does price confirm delivery?

Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.

Current business context

Growth, quality and valuation

As of 9 Aug 2026
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth9.1%year on year
Average surprise21.3%latest four quarters
SUE0.19standardised surprise
Net margin-5.7%trailing basis
Cash conversion-6.77xcash flow / net income
P/E-current snapshot
Data completeness86%alphavantage

Market context

Positioning into the event

Week ending 7 Aug 2026
Weekly close8.17 USDcompleted week
13-week return6.4%price momentum
Fair-value gap13.7%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-5.4exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided46.0%

Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.

Reported evidence ledger

Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance

Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.

12 quarters
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period21 Jul 202630 Jun 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-1.11 / -1.08USD
Surprise-2.8%Miss
EPS growth-101.8%year on year
Revenue / growth859000000+24.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.5% / -completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period27 Apr 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.62 / -0.69USD
Surprise+10.1%Beat
EPS growth-40.9%year on year
Revenue / growth770000000+13.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks-2.9% / -8.7%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Feb 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.04 / 0.26USD
Surprise-84.6%Miss
EPS growth-89.7%year on year
Revenue / growth882000000+5.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks-14.8% / -31.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period27 Oct 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.05 / -0.08USD
Surprise+162.5%Beat
EPS growth-84.4%year on year
Revenue / growth784000000-3.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks-3.2% / -8.0%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period21 Jul 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.55 / -0.74USD
Surprise+25.7%Beat
EPS growth-711.1%year on year
Revenue / growth693000000-4.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks+20.9% / +29.8%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period28 Apr 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.44 / -0.34USD
Surprise-29.4%Miss
EPS growth-251.7%year on year
Revenue / growth678000000-11.7% · USD
Next close / four weeks-15.8% / -6.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Feb 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.39 / 0.46USD
Surprise-15.3%Miss
EPS growth-59.4%year on year
Revenue / growth834876000-7.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks-16.6% / -28.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period22 Oct 202430 Sep 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.32 / 0.22USD
Surprise+45.5%Beat
EPS growth+194.1%year on year
Revenue / growth813000000-4.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.8% / +12.7%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period22 Jul 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.09 / 0.04USD
Surprise+125.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth726000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+3.9% / -8.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period22 Apr 202431 Mar 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.29 / -0.14USD
Surprise+307.1%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth768000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+10.5% / +12.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period26 Feb 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.96 / 0.38USD
Surprise+152.6%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth898973000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.8% / -2.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Oct 202330 Sep 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.34 / 0.20USD
Surprise-270.0%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth848000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+1.4% / +15.7%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign

Reproducible method

How the earnings dossier is measured

Descriptive, not predictive
Estimate delivery

Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.

Price response

The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.

Event risk

Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.

Data discipline

Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.

Evidence context