CBOE ยท ETF ยท ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

COSW

ROUNDHILL COST WEEKLYPAY ETF

US

EMD SCORE37/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Cautious

The balance of evidence is weakening and risk control deserves more attention. Conditions are cautious and have weakened over the latest four completed weeks.

Deterioration33% directional agreement67% evidence confidence
Completed week
28 Aug 2026
Latest close
USD 39.11
Evidence
45 weeks

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

1 supportive ยท 2 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks ยท bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.
24 Oct 2025โ€“28 Aug 2026
CONSTRUCTIVE PRESSURE CAUTIOUS PRESSURE EMD PRICE ยท USD +100+500-50-100 46.9841.7636.53 24 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 41.40 31 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 40.37 7 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 40.79 14 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 40.91 21 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 41.25 28 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 40.39 5 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 39.28 12 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 38.76 19 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 37.27 26 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 38.06 2 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 37.09 9 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 40.66 16 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 42.61 23 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 43.64 30 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 41.47 6 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 44.70 13 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 45.40 20 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 43.66 27 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 45.10 6 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 44.71 13 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 44.81 20 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 42.86 27 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 43.62 3 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 44.90 10 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 44.17 17 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 44.22 24 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 44.58 1 May 2026 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 44.57 8 May 2026 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 44.25 15 May 2026 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 46.42 22 May 2026 ยท EMD 64/100 ยท close 45.31 29 May 2026 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 41.53 5 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 42.13 12 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 42.46 19 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 40.71 26 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 40.34 3 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 40.13 10 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 38.12 17 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 39.17 24 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 38.74 31 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 39.43 7 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 39.23 14 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 39.92 21 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 39.22 28 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 39.11 9 Jan 2026 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 40.66 29 May 2026 ยท Down-cycle confirmed ยท close 41.53 24 Oct 202527 Mar 202628 Aug 2026
Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation
Cycle position 10%Current EMD -26.04-week EMD change -0.8156-week price range USD 37.09โ€“46.42

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Each state uses completed-week information available at that point.

01

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

02

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

03

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. This is the profit-harvest area, with EMD watched for exhaustion and loss of support.

04

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS

What the latest week shows

Completed-week values

01

Underlying pressure

10/100-1.28

Cautious pressure beneath price
4-week change +0.21

02

Trend and deviation

8/100-7.9% vs Trend Line

Price structure is below its trend baseline
Trend gate inactive

03

Momentum and SMI

48/1004w -0.8% ยท 13w -5.8%

Momentum is applying downside pressure
SMI 0.14

04

Price-volume pressure

45/10045% constructive pressure

Volume is leaning against the close
Volume ratio 0.61x

05

Modeled Trend

59/100Modeled Trend 0.11

Modeled Trend is supportive
Smoothed Modeled Trend 0.18

Evidence context