JPX ยท ETF ยท ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

1356

TOPIX Bear -2x ETF

JP

EMD SCORE32/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Cautious

The balance of evidence is weakening and risk control deserves more attention. Conditions remain cautious, although the latest readings are improving.

Early repair60% directional agreement87% evidence confidence
Completed week
28 Aug 2026
Latest close
JPY 102.80
Evidence
156 weeks

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

1 supportive ยท 4 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks ยท bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.
8 Sep 2023โ€“28 Aug 2026
CONSTRUCTIVE PRESSURE CAUTIOUS PRESSURE EMD PRICE ยท JPY +100+500-50-100 637.69354.0570.41 8 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 572.20 15 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 536.90 22 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 562.80 29 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 576.50 6 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 604.60 13 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 581.60 20 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 606.40 27 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 607.30 3 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 569.60 10 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 560.90 17 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 536.70 24 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 534.90 1 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 538.80 8 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 564.80 15 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 558.90 22 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 557.50 29 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 542.80 5 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 528.50 12 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 486.00 19 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 479.00 26 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 483.50 2 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 467.00 9 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 459.50 16 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 25/100 ยท close 434.60 23 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 23/100 ยท close 422.10 1 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 23/100 ยท close 407.30 8 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 402.10 15 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 25/100 ยท close 417.70 22 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 22/100 ยท close 374.20 29 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 380.40 5 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 397.80 12 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 25/100 ยท close 381.80 19 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 420.30 26 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 401.30 3 May 2024 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 387.10 10 May 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 387.30 17 May 2024 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 382.40 24 May 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 382.90 31 May 2024 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 373.90 7 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 379.10 14 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 379.90 21 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 387.00 28 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 362.30 5 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 344.00 12 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 340.60 19 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 347.60 26 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 389.20 2 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 434.00 9 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 417.10 16 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 350.40 23 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 348.70 30 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 341.70 6 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 370.80 13 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 377.40 20 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 357.10 27 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 320.80 4 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 334.10 11 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 329.80 18 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 334.70 25 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 353.00 1 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 344.50 8 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 320.30 15 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 327.80 22 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 330.60 29 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 334.80 6 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 322.40 13 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 317.30 20 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 328.10 27 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 25/100 ยท close 303.00 3 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 308.70 10 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 324.00 17 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 332.70 24 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 314.70 31 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 305.70 7 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 317.60 14 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 310.40 21 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 316.80 28 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 328.30 7 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 322.50 14 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 320.10 21 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 299.80 28 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 303.70 4 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 371.70 11 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 351.90 18 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 324.10 25 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 306.40 2 May 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 293.60 9 May 2025 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 283.60 16 May 2025 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 282.00 23 May 2025 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 283.00 30 May 2025 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 269.50 6 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 275.90 13 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 278.30 20 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 275.20 27 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 24/100 ยท close 261.20 4 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 263.50 11 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 263.80 18 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 261.90 25 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 23/100 ยท close 240.30 1 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 24/100 ยท close 240.20 8 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 21/100 ยท close 228.40 15 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 20/100 ยท close 215.80 22 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 216.80 29 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 220.10 5 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 23/100 ยท close 215.50 12 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 24/100 ยท close 208.10 19 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 209.80 26 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 204.70 3 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 25/100 ยท close 208.10 10 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 197.70 17 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 200.90 24 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 190.80 31 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 24/100 ยท close 181.20 7 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 185.10 14 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 178.40 21 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 184.30 28 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 175.10 5 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 176.50 12 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 23/100 ยท close 169.90 19 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 173.70 26 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 169.70 2 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 171.40 9 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 25/100 ยท close 160.60 16 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 22/100 ยท close 147.80 23 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 25/100 ยท close 150.50 30 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 25/100 ยท close 154.60 6 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 23/100 ยท close 143.70 13 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 134.40 20 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 134.90 27 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 21/100 ยท close 126.30 6 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 140.00 13 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 145.80 20 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 147.00 27 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 143.90 3 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 138.70 10 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 131.40 17 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 129.50 24 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 133.10 1 May 2026 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 132.10 8 May 2026 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 125.00 15 May 2026 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 122.60 22 May 2026 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 120.60 29 May 2026 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 116.30 5 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 116.80 12 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 120.30 19 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 110.20 26 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 114.70 3 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 24/100 ยท close 108.80 10 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 109.90 17 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 117.00 24 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 111.10 31 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 110.70 7 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 106.90 14 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 100.80 21 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 106.80 28 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 102.80 15 Sep 2023 ยท Down-cycle confirmed ยท close 536.90 10 Nov 2023 ยท Down-cycle confirmed ยท close 560.90 13 Mar 2026 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 145.80 8 Sep 20237 Mar 202528 Aug 2026
Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation
Cycle position 9%Current EMD -36.34-week EMD change +1.3156-week price range JPY 100.80โ€“607.30

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Each state uses completed-week information available at that point.

01

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

02

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

03

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. This is the profit-harvest area, with EMD watched for exhaustion and loss of support.

04

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS

What the latest week shows

Completed-week values

01

Underlying pressure

46/1000.36

Cautious pressure beneath price
4-week change +0.45

02

Trend and deviation

1/100-16.7% vs Trend Line

Price structure is below its trend baseline
Trend gate inactive

03

Momentum and SMI

32/1004w -7.1% ยท 13w -11.6%

Momentum is applying downside pressure
SMI 0.03

04

Price-volume pressure

41/10041% constructive pressure

Volume is leaning against the close
Volume ratio 0.67x

05

Relative leadership

0/100-43.72

The ticker is lagging its benchmark
4-week change -0.52

06

Modeled Trend

58/100Modeled Trend 0.12

Modeled Trend is supportive
Smoothed Modeled Trend 0.12

Evidence context