COMMODITIES ยท COMMODITY ยท ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

BRENT CRUDE OIL

US ยท Commodities ยท Energy

EMD SCORE46/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Balanced

Constructive and cautious evidence are close enough to require confirmation. Conditions are cautious and have weakened over the latest four completed weeks.

Deterioration50% directional agreement84% evidence confidence
Completed week
28 Aug 2026
Latest close
USD 88.29
Evidence
156 weeks

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

1 supportive ยท 3 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks ยท bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.
8 Sep 2023โ€“28 Aug 2026
CONSTRUCTIVE PRESSURE CAUTIOUS PRESSURE EMD PRICE ยท USD +100+500-50-100 115.7086.5257.34 8 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 90.65 15 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 93.93 22 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 93.27 29 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 95.31 6 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 84.58 13 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 90.89 20 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 92.16 27 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 90.48 3 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 84.89 10 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 81.43 17 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 80.61 24 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 80.58 1 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 78.88 8 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 75.84 15 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 76.55 22 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 79.07 29 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 77.04 5 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 78.76 12 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 78.29 19 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 78.56 26 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 83.55 2 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 77.33 9 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 82.19 16 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 83.47 23 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 81.62 1 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 83.55 8 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 82.08 15 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 62/100 ยท close 85.34 22 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 85.43 29 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 87.48 5 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 91.17 12 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 90.45 19 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 87.29 26 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 89.50 3 May 2024 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 82.96 10 May 2024 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 82.79 17 May 2024 ยท EMD 61/100 ยท close 83.98 24 May 2024 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 82.12 31 May 2024 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 81.62 7 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 79.62 14 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 82.62 21 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 85.24 28 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 86.41 5 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 64/100 ยท close 86.54 12 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 85.03 19 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 82.63 26 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 81.13 2 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 76.81 9 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 79.66 16 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 79.68 23 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 79.02 30 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 78.80 6 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 71.06 13 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 71.61 20 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 74.49 27 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 71.98 4 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 78.05 11 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 79.04 18 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 73.06 25 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 76.05 1 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 73.10 8 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 73.87 15 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 71.04 22 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 75.17 29 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 72.94 6 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 71.12 13 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 74.49 20 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 72.94 27 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 74.17 3 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 76.51 10 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 79.76 17 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 80.79 24 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 78.50 31 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 76.76 7 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 74.66 14 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 74.74 21 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 74.43 28 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 73.18 7 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 70.36 14 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 70.58 21 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 72.16 28 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 73.63 4 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 65.58 11 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 64.76 18 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 67.96 25 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 66.87 2 May 2025 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 61.29 9 May 2025 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 63.91 16 May 2025 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 65.41 23 May 2025 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 64.78 30 May 2025 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 63.90 6 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 66.47 13 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 74.23 20 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 77.01 27 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 67.77 4 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 68.29 11 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 70.36 18 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 69.28 25 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 68.44 1 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 69.67 8 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 66.59 15 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 65.85 22 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 67.73 29 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 68.12 5 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 65.50 12 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 66.99 19 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 66.68 26 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 70.13 3 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 64.53 10 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 62.73 17 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 61.29 24 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 65.94 31 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 65.07 7 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 63.63 14 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 64.39 21 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 62.56 28 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 63.20 5 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 63.75 12 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 61.12 19 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 60.47 26 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 60.64 2 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 60.75 9 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 63.34 16 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 64.13 23 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 65.88 30 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 70.69 6 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 68.05 13 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 67.75 20 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 65/100 ยท close 71.76 27 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 69/100 ยท close 72.48 6 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 92.69 13 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 88/100 ยท close 103.14 20 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 112.19 27 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 112.57 3 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 88/100 ยท close 109.03 10 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 95.20 17 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 90.38 24 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 105.33 1 May 2026 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 108.17 8 May 2026 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 101.29 15 May 2026 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 109.26 22 May 2026 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 103.54 29 May 2026 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 92.05 5 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 93.09 12 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 87.33 19 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 79.85 26 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 71.99 3 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 71.80 10 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 76.01 17 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 88.10 24 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 62/100 ยท close 96.78 31 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 90.12 7 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 83.55 14 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 88.52 21 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 94.39 28 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 88.29 6 Jun 2025 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 66.47 23 Jan 2026 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 65.88 10 Apr 2026 ยท Down-cycle confirmed ยท close 95.20 22 May 2026 ยท Down-cycle confirmed ยท close 103.54 8 Sep 20237 Mar 202528 Aug 2026
Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation
Cycle position 85%Current EMD -8.34-week EMD change -18.8156-week price range USD 60.47โ€“112.57

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Each state uses completed-week information available at that point.

01

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

02

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

03

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. This is the profit-harvest area, with EMD watched for exhaustion and loss of support.

04

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS

What the latest week shows

Completed-week values

01

Underlying pressure

40/100-0.35

Cautious pressure beneath price
4-week change +0.08

02

Trend and deviation

22/100-2.8% vs Trend Line

Price structure is below its trend baseline
Trend gate inactive

03

Momentum and SMI

52/1004w -2.0% ยท 13w -4.1%

Momentum is supportive
SMI 0.36

04

Price-volume pressure

46/10046% constructive pressure

Volume is leaning against the close
Volume ratio 0.60x

05

Relative leadership

34/100-3.86

The ticker is lagging its benchmark
4-week change -7.75

06

Modeled Trend

77/100Modeled Trend 0.42

Modeled Trend is supportive
Smoothed Modeled Trend 0.51

Evidence context