GER ยท ETF ยท ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

BCFQ

UBS (Irl) Fund Solutions plc - EUR Overnight Rate SF UCITS ETF (EUR) A-acc

DE

EMD SCORE58/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Constructive

The balance of evidence is supportive, with some confirmation still incomplete. Conditions remain positive, but momentum has eased.

Constructive fade33% directional agreement79% evidence confidence
Completed week
28 Aug 2026
Latest close
EUR 5.15
Evidence
63 weeks

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

4 supportive ยท 2 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks ยท bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.
20 Jun 2025โ€“28 Aug 2026
CONSTRUCTIVE PRESSURE CAUTIOUS PRESSURE EMD PRICE ยท EUR +100+500-50-100 5.185.084.99 20 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 5.01 27 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 5.01 4 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 5.01 11 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 5.02 18 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 5.02 25 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 5.02 1 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 5.02 8 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 5.02 15 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 5.03 22 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 5.03 29 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 5.03 5 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 5.03 12 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 5.04 19 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 5.04 26 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 5.04 3 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 5.04 10 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 5.04 17 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 5.05 24 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 5.05 31 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 5.05 7 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 5.05 14 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 5.05 21 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 5.06 28 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 5.06 5 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 5.06 12 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 5.06 19 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 5.07 26 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 5.07 2 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 61/100 ยท close 5.07 9 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 5.07 16 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 5.08 23 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 5.08 30 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 5.08 6 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 5.08 13 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 5.08 20 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 5.09 27 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 5.09 6 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 5.09 13 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 5.09 20 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 69/100 ยท close 5.10 27 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 5.10 3 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 5.10 10 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 5.10 17 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 5.10 24 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 5.11 1 May 2026 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 5.11 8 May 2026 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 5.11 15 May 2026 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 5.11 22 May 2026 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 5.12 29 May 2026 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 5.12 5 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 5.12 12 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 5.13 19 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 5.13 26 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 5.13 3 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 5.13 10 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 5.13 17 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 5.14 24 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 5.14 31 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 5.14 7 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 5.14 14 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 5.15 21 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 61/100 ยท close 5.15 28 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 5.15 20 Jun 202523 Jan 202628 Aug 2026
Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation
Cycle position 88%Current EMD +15.84-week EMD change -16.8156-week price range EUR 5.01โ€“5.15

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Each state uses completed-week information available at that point.

01

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

02

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

03

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. This is the profit-harvest area, with EMD watched for exhaustion and loss of support.

04

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS

What the latest week shows

Completed-week values

01

Underlying pressure

99/1002.31

Strengthening beneath price
4-week change +0.12

02

Trend and deviation

70/100+0.7% vs Trend Line

Price structure supports the trend
Trend gate active

03

Momentum and SMI

65/1004w +0.2% ยท 13w +0.7%

Momentum is supportive
SMI 0.98

04

Price-volume pressure

15/10015% constructive pressure

Volume is leaning against the close
Volume ratio 137.53x

05

Relative leadership

24/100-6.91

The ticker is lagging its benchmark
4-week change -2.77

06

Modeled Trend

86/100Modeled Trend 0.94

Modeled Trend is supportive
Smoothed Modeled Trend 0.43

Evidence context