SAO ยท EQUITY ยท ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

BGIP3

Banco do Estado de Sergipe S.A.

BR ยท Financial Services ยท Banks - Regional

EMD SCORE46/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Balanced

Constructive and cautious evidence are close enough to require confirmation. Conditions remain cautious, although the latest readings are improving.

Early repair0% directional agreement68% evidence confidence
Completed week
18 Sep 2026
Latest close
BRL 49.90
Evidence
156 weeks

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

2 supportive ยท 2 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks ยท bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.
29 Sep 2023โ€“18 Sep 2026
CONSTRUCTIVE PRESSURE CAUTIOUS PRESSURE EMD PRICE ยท BRL +100+500-50-100 63.8640.0516.23 29 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 20.36 6 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 20.07 13 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 62/100 ยท close 20.57 20 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 21.00 27 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 21.00 3 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 65/100 ยท close 21.00 10 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 20.13 17 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 19.84 24 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 61/100 ยท close 20.13 1 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 20.06 8 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 20.06 15 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 20.06 22 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 65/100 ยท close 20.66 29 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 20.95 5 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 20.72 12 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 69/100 ยท close 21.00 19 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 70/100 ยท close 21.46 26 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 21.57 2 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 21.61 9 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 21.22 16 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 20.99 23 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 20.57 1 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 69/100 ยท close 22.39 8 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 22.11 15 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 22.03 22 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 21.62 29 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 21.62 5 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 70/100 ยท close 21.94 12 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 70/100 ยท close 22.03 19 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 20.10 26 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 19.57 3 May 2024 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 19.46 10 May 2024 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 19.46 17 May 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 18.79 24 May 2024 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 19.30 31 May 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 18.78 7 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 19.32 14 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 26.13 21 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 19.78 28 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 20.00 5 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 20.00 12 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 19.44 19 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 19.44 26 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 19.42 2 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 19.38 9 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 20.10 16 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 22.51 23 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 21.33 30 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 21.01 6 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 20.80 13 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 22.16 20 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 62/100 ยท close 22.13 27 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 22.41 4 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 21.33 11 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 21.33 18 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 21.33 25 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 21.75 1 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 21.75 8 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 20.96 15 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 21.75 22 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 69/100 ยท close 21.75 29 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 69/100 ยท close 21.75 6 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 20.91 13 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 20.50 20 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 20.91 27 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 20.80 3 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 20.80 10 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 20.44 17 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 21.34 24 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 21.33 31 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 81/100 ยท close 23.83 7 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 23.27 14 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 23.27 21 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 72/100 ยท close 22.55 28 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 22.99 7 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 23.16 14 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 23.16 21 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 65/100 ยท close 22.39 28 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 72/100 ยท close 24.16 4 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 24.25 11 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 25.36 18 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 25.36 25 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 25.36 2 May 2025 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 27.66 9 May 2025 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 29.51 16 May 2025 ยท EMD 88/100 ยท close 29.51 23 May 2025 ยท EMD 88/100 ยท close 29.51 30 May 2025 ยท EMD 81/100 ยท close 28.92 6 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 28.92 13 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 32.27 20 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 29.65 27 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 70/100 ยท close 27.36 4 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 32.26 11 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 32.26 18 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 32.26 25 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 94/100 ยท close 32.74 1 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 32.74 8 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 32.74 15 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 32.74 22 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 32.74 29 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 34.13 5 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 94/100 ยท close 39.65 12 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 34.12 19 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 72/100 ยท close 30.62 26 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 30.24 3 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 28.58 10 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 28.58 17 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 28.58 24 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 28.52 31 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 28.52 7 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 31.35 14 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 33.19 21 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 32.85 28 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 34.77 5 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 40.43 12 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 34.58 19 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 34.58 26 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 34.63 2 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 37.16 9 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 39.89 16 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 40.67 23 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 43.13 30 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 96/100 ยท close 50.24 6 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 88/100 ยท close 50.24 13 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 50.96 20 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 88/100 ยท close 50.96 27 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 96/100 ยท close 54.18 6 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 92/100 ยท close 61.31 13 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 61.31 20 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 60.39 27 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 60.38 3 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 60.38 10 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 58.07 17 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 95/100 ยท close 60.99 24 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 59.22 1 May 2026 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 59.98 8 May 2026 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 59.12 15 May 2026 ยท EMD 70/100 ยท close 53.30 22 May 2026 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 51.75 29 May 2026 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 51.50 5 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 52.60 12 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 53.21 19 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 65/100 ยท close 52.43 26 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 52.43 3 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 49.74 10 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 48.01 17 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 47.47 24 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 47.30 31 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 47.30 7 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 45.71 14 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 46.38 21 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 46.38 28 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 46.38 4 Sep 2026 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 46.37 11 Sep 2026 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 49.90 18 Sep 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 49.90 1 Mar 2024 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 22.39 14 Jun 2024 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 26.13 16 Aug 2024 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 22.51 31 Jan 2025 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 23.83 15 May 2026 ยท Down-cycle confirmed ยท close 53.30 29 Sep 202328 Mar 202518 Sep 2026
Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation
Cycle position 85%Current EMD -7.64-week EMD change +6.7156-week price range BRL 18.78โ€“61.31

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Each state uses completed-week information available at that point.

01

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

02

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

03

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. This is the profit-harvest area, with EMD watched for exhaustion and loss of support.

04

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS

What the latest week shows

Completed-week values

01

Underlying pressure

31/100-0.47

Cautious pressure beneath price
4-week change +0.80

02

Trend and deviation

12/100-6.0% vs Trend Line

Price structure is below its trend baseline
Trend gate inactive

03

Momentum and SMI

61/1004w +7.6% ยท 13w -4.8%

Momentum is supportive
SMI 0.12

04

Price-volume pressure

50/10050% constructive pressure

Volume is confirming the close
Volume ratio 0.00x

05

Relative leadership

54/1000.89

Leadership is supportive
4-week change -1.27

06

Modeled Trend

61/100Modeled Trend 0.10

Modeled Trend is supportive
Smoothed Modeled Trend 0.27

Evidence context