NYSEARCA ยท ETF ยท ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

SMOG

VANECK ETF TR VANECK LOW CARBON ENERGY ETF

US

EMD SCORE42/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Cautious

The balance of evidence is weakening and risk control deserves more attention. Conditions are cautious and have weakened over the latest four completed weeks.

Deterioration50% directional agreement84% evidence confidence
Completed week
11 Sep 2026
Latest close
USD 139.24
Evidence
156 weeks

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

1 supportive ยท 3 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks ยท bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.
22 Sep 2023โ€“11 Sep 2026
CONSTRUCTIVE PRESSURE CAUTIOUS PRESSURE EMD PRICE ยท USD +100+500-50-100 158.84121.5984.34 22 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 102.94 29 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 99.91 6 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 95.41 13 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 96.17 20 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 90.50 27 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 89.92 3 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 95.92 10 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 92.01 17 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 98.51 24 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 98.45 1 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 99.67 8 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 99.68 15 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 104.41 22 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 104.94 29 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 107.22 5 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 102.31 12 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 99.60 19 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 93.62 26 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 92.38 2 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 91.86 9 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 92.57 16 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 93.99 23 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 91.36 1 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 95.57 8 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 95.66 15 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 93.56 22 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 94.49 29 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 95.29 5 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 92.49 12 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 91.51 19 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 88.33 26 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 91.99 3 May 2024 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 96.76 10 May 2024 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 97.23 17 May 2024 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 99.37 24 May 2024 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 99.46 31 May 2024 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 101.14 7 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 98.77 14 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 96.54 21 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 95.27 28 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 93.27 5 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 98.67 12 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 103.93 19 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 99.19 26 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 99.49 2 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 96.85 9 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 95.22 16 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 97.94 23 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 61/100 ยท close 100.26 30 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 99.69 6 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 97.71 13 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 102.80 20 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 65/100 ยท close 104.02 27 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 81/100 ยท close 109.66 4 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 107.26 11 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 62/100 ยท close 103.79 18 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 101.80 25 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 103.14 1 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 100.21 8 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 98.98 15 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 96.68 22 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 97.52 29 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 99.71 6 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 99.36 13 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 100.78 20 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 98.29 27 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 99.14 3 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 100.19 10 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 95.00 17 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 99.02 24 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 98.34 31 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 97.65 7 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 98.43 14 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 99.96 21 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 100.52 28 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 99.28 7 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 100.95 14 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 101.31 21 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 101.07 28 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 100.10 4 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 94.10 11 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 96.44 18 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 96.36 25 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 101.66 2 May 2025 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 102.35 9 May 2025 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 104.04 16 May 2025 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 110.12 23 May 2025 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 107.98 30 May 2025 ยท EMD 70/100 ยท close 106.91 6 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 106.93 13 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 108.74 20 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 105.98 27 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 108.22 4 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 111.97 11 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 110.58 18 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 114.20 25 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 116.48 1 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 69/100 ยท close 110.53 8 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 113.80 15 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 115.86 22 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 120.32 29 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 115.64 5 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 117.15 12 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 118.53 19 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 122.65 26 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 123.31 3 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 127.63 10 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 124.11 17 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 129.86 24 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 131.30 31 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 133.38 7 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 133.12 14 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 130.76 21 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 69/100 ยท close 124.81 28 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 131.07 5 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 131.46 12 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 130.77 19 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 131.19 26 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 132.19 2 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 132.08 9 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 132.41 16 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 134.28 23 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 137.46 30 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 70/100 ยท close 138.29 6 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 139.67 13 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 141.29 20 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 141.71 27 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 141.84 6 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 133.63 13 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 135.68 20 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 62/100 ยท close 132.34 27 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 132.73 3 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 139.12 10 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 144.81 17 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 81/100 ยท close 149.38 24 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 150.91 1 May 2026 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 154.85 8 May 2026 ยท EMD 81/100 ยท close 154.00 15 May 2026 ยท EMD 70/100 ยท close 150.82 22 May 2026 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 151.95 29 May 2026 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 154.34 5 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 61/100 ยท close 144.92 12 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 145.41 19 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 147.80 26 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 140.40 3 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 143.17 10 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 140.95 17 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 137.99 24 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 133.30 31 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 134.65 7 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 140.25 14 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 140.64 21 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 140.06 28 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 139.78 4 Sep 2026 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 139.99 11 Sep 2026 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 139.24 3 Nov 2023 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 95.92 17 Nov 2023 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 98.51 3 May 2024 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 96.76 5 Jul 2024 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 98.67 5 Jun 2026 ยท Down-cycle confirmed ยท close 144.92 22 Sep 202321 Mar 202511 Sep 2026
Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation
Cycle position 84%Current EMD -16.44-week EMD change -2.3156-week price range USD 88.33โ€“154.85

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Each state uses completed-week information available at that point.

01

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

02

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

03

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. This is the profit-harvest area, with EMD watched for exhaustion and loss of support.

04

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS

What the latest week shows

Completed-week values

01

Underlying pressure

25/100-0.86

Cautious pressure beneath price
4-week change +0.30

02

Trend and deviation

23/100-2.3% vs Trend Line

Price structure is below its trend baseline
Trend gate inactive

03

Momentum and SMI

51/1004w -1.0% ยท 13w -4.2%

Momentum is supportive
SMI 0.24

04

Price-volume pressure

46/10046% constructive pressure

Volume is leaning against the close
Volume ratio 0.55x

05

Relative leadership

23/100-7.29

The ticker is lagging its benchmark
4-week change +0.58

06

Modeled Trend

74/100Modeled Trend 0.36

Modeled Trend is supportive
Smoothed Modeled Trend 0.44

Evidence context