SAO ยท EQUITY ยท ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

R1CL34

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.

BR ยท Consumer Cyclical ยท Travel Services

EMD SCORE33/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Cautious

The balance of evidence is weakening and risk control deserves more attention. Conditions are cautious and have weakened over the latest four completed weeks.

Deterioration60% directional agreement87% evidence confidence
Completed week
18 Sep 2026
Latest close
BRL 45.59
Evidence
156 weeks

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

1 supportive ยท 4 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks ยท bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.
29 Sep 2023โ€“18 Sep 2026
CONSTRUCTIVE PRESSURE CAUTIOUS PRESSURE EMD PRICE ยท BRL +100+500-50-100 72.6242.3512.07 29 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 62/100 ยท close 16.07 6 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 16.04 13 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 15.31 20 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 15.31 27 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 15.31 3 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 15.58 10 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 15.85 17 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 17.87 24 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 17.84 1 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 18.29 8 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 20.55 15 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 20.74 22 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 20.57 29 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 20.57 5 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 20.82 12 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 20.74 19 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 93/100 ยท close 21.58 26 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 21.45 2 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 21.00 9 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 20.18 16 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 20.45 23 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 21.25 1 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 21.14 8 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 22.12 15 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 81/100 ยท close 22.81 22 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 23.67 29 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 24.24 5 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 24.03 12 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 22.70 19 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 23.09 26 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 24.81 3 May 2024 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 24.61 10 May 2024 ยท EMD 88/100 ยท close 25.27 17 May 2024 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 25.21 24 May 2024 ยท EMD 94/100 ยท close 26.83 31 May 2024 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 26.80 7 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 94/100 ยท close 28.40 14 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 27.79 21 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 28.09 28 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 31.02 5 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 29.94 12 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 92/100 ยท close 31.49 19 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 32.86 26 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 30.24 2 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 31.03 9 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 30.48 16 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 30.11 23 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 31.18 30 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 32.89 6 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 30.57 13 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 32.53 20 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 90/100 ยท close 33.45 27 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 34.64 4 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 33.81 11 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 38.43 18 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 39.64 25 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 39.84 1 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 41.55 8 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 94/100 ยท close 44.85 15 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 47.06 22 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 92/100 ยท close 48.83 29 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 92/100 ยท close 51.51 6 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 93/100 ยท close 54.43 13 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 51.79 20 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 88/100 ยท close 50.84 27 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 50.22 3 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 49.08 10 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 81/100 ยท close 48.29 17 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 51.50 24 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 72/100 ยท close 48.10 31 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 88/100 ยท close 54.44 7 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 53.63 14 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 52.21 21 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 48.91 28 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 49.89 7 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 42.83 14 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 42.50 21 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 43.13 28 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 41.79 4 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 36.55 11 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 39.59 18 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 39.61 25 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 42.05 2 May 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 43.02 9 May 2025 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 45.07 16 May 2025 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 48.15 23 May 2025 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 47.40 30 May 2025 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 51.56 6 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 53.94 13 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 69/100 ยท close 51.65 20 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 52.18 27 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 59.15 4 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 88/100 ยท close 62.99 11 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 66.90 18 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 94/100 ยท close 68.53 25 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 68.71 1 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 60.38 8 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 72/100 ยท close 58.10 15 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 59.56 22 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 65.13 29 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 94/100 ยท close 69.38 5 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 67.10 12 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 63.57 19 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 59.98 26 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 61.39 3 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 59.22 10 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 59.01 17 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 57.27 24 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 62/100 ยท close 60.70 31 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 54.88 7 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 48.32 14 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 49.13 21 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 50.69 28 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 49.75 5 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 49.66 12 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 53.47 19 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 58.14 26 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 56.06 2 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 54.62 9 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 59.27 16 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 52.61 23 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 53.49 30 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 60.07 6 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 65/100 ยท close 63.93 13 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 59.19 20 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 57.69 27 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 55.96 6 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 51.58 13 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 51.03 20 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 50.44 27 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 48.95 3 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 51.51 10 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 49.09 17 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 50.84 24 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 47.38 1 May 2026 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 46.38 8 May 2026 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 47.75 15 May 2026 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 46.75 22 May 2026 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 45.04 29 May 2026 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 51.42 5 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 52.77 12 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 52.70 19 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 57.92 26 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 61/100 ยท close 59.22 3 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 55.36 10 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 52.12 17 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 53.39 24 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 51.58 31 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 61/100 ยท close 57.66 7 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 58.48 14 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 65/100 ยท close 55.85 21 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 53.38 28 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 52.17 4 Sep 2026 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 48.16 11 Sep 2026 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 47.81 18 Sep 2026 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 45.59 8 Dec 2023 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 20.55 1 Aug 2025 ยท Down-cycle confirmed ยท close 60.38 12 Sep 2025 ยท Down-cycle confirmed ยท close 63.57 29 Sep 202328 Mar 202518 Sep 2026
Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation
Cycle position 58%Current EMD -33.14-week EMD change -45.1156-week price range BRL 15.31โ€“69.38

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Each state uses completed-week information available at that point.

01

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

02

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

03

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. This is the profit-harvest area, with EMD watched for exhaustion and loss of support.

04

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS

What the latest week shows

Completed-week values

01

Underlying pressure

27/100-0.68

Cautious pressure beneath price
4-week change -1.28

02

Trend and deviation

3/100-11.7% vs Trend Line

Price structure is below its trend baseline
Trend gate inactive

03

Momentum and SMI

29/1004w -14.6% ยท 13w -21.3%

Momentum is applying downside pressure
SMI 0.32

04

Price-volume pressure

44/10044% constructive pressure

Volume is leaning against the close
Volume ratio 0.29x

05

Relative leadership

3/100-21.74

The ticker is lagging its benchmark
4-week change -16.57

06

Modeled Trend

82/100Modeled Trend 0.65

Modeled Trend is supportive
Smoothed Modeled Trend 0.49

Evidence context