TOR ยท EQUITY ยท ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

TA

TransAlta Corporation

CA ยท Utilities ยท Utilities - Independent Power Producers

EMD SCORE38/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Cautious

The balance of evidence is weakening and risk control deserves more attention. Conditions are cautious and have weakened over the latest four completed weeks.

Deterioration60% directional agreement87% evidence confidence
Completed week
28 Aug 2026
Latest close
CAD 16.95
Evidence
156 weeks

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

1 supportive ยท 4 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks ยท bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.
8 Sep 2023โ€“28 Aug 2026
CONSTRUCTIVE PRESSURE CAUTIOUS PRESSURE EMD PRICE ยท CAD +100+500-50-100 25.6116.347.07 8 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 65/100 ยท close 12.47 15 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 12.08 22 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 11.79 29 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 11.30 6 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 11.09 13 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 10.75 20 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 10.11 27 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 9.73 3 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 10.29 10 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 10.89 17 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 10.98 24 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 10.56 1 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 10.64 8 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 10.51 15 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 10.34 22 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 10.55 29 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 10.58 5 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 10.30 12 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 9.97 19 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 9.75 26 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 9.71 2 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 9.25 9 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 9.07 16 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 8.92 23 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 9.50 1 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 8.95 8 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 9.03 15 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 21/100 ยท close 8.24 22 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 8.48 29 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 8.39 5 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 8.35 12 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 8.07 19 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 8.59 26 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 8.75 3 May 2024 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 9.33 10 May 2024 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 9.41 17 May 2024 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 9.50 24 May 2024 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 9.37 31 May 2024 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 9.52 7 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 9.61 14 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 9.27 21 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 9.39 28 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 9.43 5 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 9.17 12 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 9.77 19 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 9.40 26 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 65/100 ยท close 9.84 2 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 10.82 9 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 10.73 16 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 81/100 ยท close 11.20 23 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 11.48 30 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 81/100 ยท close 11.60 6 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 11.86 13 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 12.12 20 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 94/100 ยท close 12.98 27 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 90/100 ยท close 13.68 4 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 92/100 ยท close 14.15 11 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 88/100 ยท close 13.87 18 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 14.12 25 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 13.80 1 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 14.03 8 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 14.02 15 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 14.14 22 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 88/100 ยท close 14.67 29 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 15.56 6 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 95/100 ยท close 18.73 13 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 90/100 ยท close 18.72 20 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 19.50 27 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 90/100 ยท close 20.14 3 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 20.09 10 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 18.75 17 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 92/100 ยท close 20.28 24 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 18.97 31 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 16.39 7 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 15.20 14 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 14.60 21 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 62/100 ยท close 15.19 28 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 14.75 7 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 13.19 14 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 13.48 21 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 13.82 28 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 13.35 4 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 11.43 11 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 11.87 18 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 11.88 25 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 12.28 2 May 2025 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 12.60 9 May 2025 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 11.86 16 May 2025 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 12.52 23 May 2025 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 12.37 30 May 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 13.27 6 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 14.03 13 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 14.92 20 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 14.96 27 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 14.48 4 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 14.35 11 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 15.46 18 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 16.77 25 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 72/100 ยท close 16.62 1 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 16.90 8 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 16.45 15 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 16.86 22 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 70/100 ยท close 16.57 29 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 16.75 5 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 16.90 12 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 17.39 19 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 18.70 26 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 18.85 3 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 20.06 10 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 90/100 ยท close 21.67 17 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 23.04 24 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 23.99 31 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 92/100 ยท close 24.62 7 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 21.62 14 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 20.32 21 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 70/100 ยท close 19.21 28 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 20.18 5 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 19.38 12 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 19.01 19 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 17.19 26 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 17.38 2 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 17.79 9 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 17.18 16 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 17.39 23 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 17.35 30 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 17.34 6 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 18.02 13 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 18.43 20 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 18.40 27 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 18.75 6 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 17.32 13 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 17.11 20 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 16.22 27 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 17.98 3 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 18.69 10 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 19.29 17 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 17.30 24 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 16.97 1 May 2026 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 16.94 8 May 2026 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 17.49 15 May 2026 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 17.63 22 May 2026 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 18.74 29 May 2026 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 19.65 5 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 17.69 12 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 18.76 19 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 64/100 ยท close 19.52 26 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 64/100 ยท close 19.57 3 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 65/100 ยท close 19.45 10 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 20.15 17 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 18.61 24 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 19.30 31 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 17.56 7 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 17.32 14 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 17.77 21 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 16.81 28 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 16.95 10 May 2024 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 9.41 12 Jul 2024 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 9.77 7 Nov 2025 ยท Down-cycle confirmed ยท close 21.62 8 Sep 20237 Mar 202528 Aug 2026
Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation
Cycle position 68%Current EMD -23.84-week EMD change -18.4156-week price range CAD 8.07โ€“24.62

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Each state uses completed-week information available at that point.

01

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

02

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

03

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. This is the profit-harvest area, with EMD watched for exhaustion and loss of support.

04

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS

What the latest week shows

Completed-week values

01

Underlying pressure

31/100-0.45

Cautious pressure beneath price
4-week change -0.84

02

Trend and deviation

10/100-6.6% vs Trend Line

Price structure is below its trend baseline
Trend gate inactive

03

Momentum and SMI

46/1004w -3.5% ยท 13w -13.7%

Momentum is applying downside pressure
SMI 0.57

04

Price-volume pressure

42/10042% constructive pressure

Volume is leaning against the close
Volume ratio 4.54x

05

Relative leadership

4/100-18.84

The ticker is lagging its benchmark
4-week change -4.69

06

Modeled Trend

85/100Modeled Trend 0.73

Modeled Trend is supportive
Smoothed Modeled Trend 0.59

Evidence context