ASX ยท EQUITY ยท ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

BOC

Bougainville Copper Limited

AU ยท Basic Materials ยท Other Precious Metals & Mining

EMD SCORE21/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Defensive

The latest completed-week readings are broadly cautious. Conditions are cautious and have weakened over the latest four completed weeks.

Deterioration67% directional agreement89% evidence confidence
Completed week
28 Aug 2026
Latest close
AUD 0.155
Evidence
156 weeks

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

0 supportive ยท 5 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks ยท bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.
8 Sep 2023โ€“28 Aug 2026
CONSTRUCTIVE PRESSURE CAUTIOUS PRESSURE EMD PRICE ยท AUD +100+500-50-100 1.610.84250.0725 8 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 0.35 15 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 0.33 22 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 0.315 29 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 0.305 6 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 0.30 13 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 0.32 20 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 0.335 27 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 0.38 3 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 0.455 10 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 0.41 17 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 0.435 24 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 0.385 1 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 62/100 ยท close 0.38 8 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 0.355 15 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 0.365 22 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 0.36 29 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 0.34 5 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 0.365 12 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 0.34 19 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 0.33 26 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 0.345 2 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 0.80 9 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 72/100 ยท close 0.475 16 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 0.54 23 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 0.53 1 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 0.705 8 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 0.69 15 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 0.64 22 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 0.6225 29 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 0.605 5 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 0.58 12 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 0.60 19 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 81/100 ยท close 0.61 26 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 0.685 3 May 2024 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 0.66 10 May 2024 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 0.59 17 May 2024 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 0.60 24 May 2024 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 0.595 31 May 2024 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 0.55 7 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 70/100 ยท close 0.59 14 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 0.565 21 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 0.49 28 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 0.485 5 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 0.48 12 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 0.47 19 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 0.47 26 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 0.51 2 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 0.47 9 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 0.46 16 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 0.44 23 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 0.46 30 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 0.455 6 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 0.435 13 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 0.435 20 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 0.46 27 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 0.495 4 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 0.47 11 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 0.465 18 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 0.465 25 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 0.49 1 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 0.47 8 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 0.455 15 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 0.445 22 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 0.46 29 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 0.455 6 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 0.455 13 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 0.43 20 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 0.43 27 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 0.42 3 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 0.4125 10 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 24/100 ยท close 0.355 17 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 0.37 24 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 22/100 ยท close 0.365 31 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 0.37 7 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 0.365 14 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 0.355 21 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 25/100 ยท close 0.355 28 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 0.355 7 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 24/100 ยท close 0.33 14 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 0.335 21 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 0.33 28 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 0.33 4 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 0.33 11 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 24/100 ยท close 0.30 18 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 0.335 25 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 0.34 2 May 2025 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 0.32 9 May 2025 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 0.32 16 May 2025 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 0.32 23 May 2025 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 0.50 30 May 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 0.375 6 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 0.39 13 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 0.38 20 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 0.375 27 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 0.54 4 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 72/100 ยท close 0.495 11 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 0.50 18 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 92/100 ยท close 0.60 25 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 0.69 1 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 92/100 ยท close 0.72 8 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 0.62 15 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 0.61 22 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 0.545 29 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 0.605 5 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 0.62 12 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 0.61 19 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 0.645 26 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 0.675 3 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 0.865 10 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 91/100 ยท close 0.95 17 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 1.53 24 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 1.18 31 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 97/100 ยท close 1.46 7 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 0.92 14 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 1.06 21 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 1.15 28 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 0.60 5 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 0.63 12 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 64/100 ยท close 0.67 19 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 0.65 26 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 0.655 2 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 0.75 9 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 0.89 16 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 72/100 ยท close 0.99 23 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 73/100 ยท close 1.06 30 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 65/100 ยท close 0.89 6 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 0.83 13 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 0.685 20 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 0.75 27 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 0.83 6 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 0.79 13 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 0.80 20 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 0.675 27 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 0.64 3 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 0.635 10 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 0.635 17 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 0.635 24 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 0.635 1 May 2026 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 0.635 8 May 2026 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 0.635 15 May 2026 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 0.635 22 May 2026 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 0.57 29 May 2026 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 0.615 5 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 0.595 12 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 0.64 19 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 21/100 ยท close 0.265 26 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 0.225 3 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 24/100 ยท close 0.22 10 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 0.26 17 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 24/100 ยท close 0.245 24 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 25/100 ยท close 0.23 31 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 23/100 ยท close 0.215 7 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 23/100 ยท close 0.205 14 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 23/100 ยท close 0.175 21 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 22/100 ยท close 0.17 28 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 21/100 ยท close 0.155 24 Oct 2025 ยท Down-cycle confirmed ยท close 1.18 7 Nov 2025 ยท Down-cycle confirmed ยท close 0.92 8 Sep 20237 Mar 202528 Aug 2026
Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation
Cycle position 6%Current EMD -57.04-week EMD change -2.3156-week price range AUD 0.155โ€“1.53

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Each state uses completed-week information available at that point.

01

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

02

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

03

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. This is the profit-harvest area, with EMD watched for exhaustion and loss of support.

04

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS

What the latest week shows

Completed-week values

01

Underlying pressure

16/100-0.89

Cautious pressure beneath price
4-week change +0.31

02

Trend and deviation

0/100-69.5% vs Trend Line

Price structure is below its trend baseline
Trend gate inactive

03

Momentum and SMI

16/1004w -27.9% ยท 13w -74.8%

Momentum is applying downside pressure
SMI 0.01

04

Price-volume pressure

23/10023% constructive pressure

Volume is leaning against the close
Volume ratio 1.86x

05

Relative leadership

0/100-77.51

The ticker is lagging its benchmark
4-week change -7.66

06

Modeled Trend

56/100Modeled Trend 0.08

Modeled Trend is supportive
Smoothed Modeled Trend 0.11

Evidence context