GER ยท ETF ยท ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

XUTL

Xtrackers II US Treasuries 10+ ETF 1D

DE

EMD SCORE41/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Cautious

The balance of evidence is weakening and risk control deserves more attention. Conditions remain cautious, although the latest readings are improving.

Early repair20% directional agreement74% evidence confidence
Completed week
28 Aug 2026
Latest close
EUR 25.38
Evidence
143 weeks

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

2 supportive ยท 3 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks ยท bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.
8 Dec 2023โ€“28 Aug 2026
CONSTRUCTIVE PRESSURE CAUTIOUS PRESSURE EMD PRICE ยท EUR +100+500-50-100 31.8828.1924.50 8 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 29.55 15 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 28.45 22 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 28.07 29 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 28.13 5 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 27.87 12 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 27.84 19 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 27.21 26 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 27.29 2 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 28.07 9 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 27.53 16 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 27.21 23 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 27.38 1 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 27.59 8 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 27.73 15 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 27.16 22 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 27.64 29 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 27.89 5 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 27.06 12 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 27.17 19 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 26.78 26 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 26.48 3 May 2024 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 26.76 10 May 2024 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 26.88 17 May 2024 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 27.04 24 May 2024 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 26.95 31 May 2024 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 26.80 7 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 27.32 14 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 28.38 21 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 28.19 28 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 27.84 5 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 27.64 12 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 27.69 19 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 27.60 26 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 27.66 2 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 28.96 9 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 69/100 ยท close 28.52 16 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 28.54 23 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 69/100 ยท close 28.41 30 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 28.49 6 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 88/100 ยท close 29.28 13 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 29.27 20 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 64/100 ยท close 28.77 27 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 75/100 ยท close 28.60 4 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 28.51 11 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 28.07 18 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 70/100 ยท close 28.35 25 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 64/100 ยท close 28.00 1 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 27.60 8 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 28.15 15 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 28.00 22 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 28.64 29 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 62/100 ยท close 29.08 6 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 61/100 ยท close 29.31 13 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 28.47 20 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 28.25 27 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 27.89 3 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 28.28 10 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 27.83 17 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 28.16 24 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 27.56 31 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 28.29 7 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 28.81 14 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 28.45 21 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 28.47 28 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 29.34 7 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 28.01 14 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 27.79 21 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 28.09 28 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 27.90 4 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 56/100 ยท close 28.60 11 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 25.42 18 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 26.01 25 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 26.27 2 May 2025 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 26.18 9 May 2025 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 26.20 16 May 2025 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 26.27 23 May 2025 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 25.31 30 May 2025 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 25.77 6 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 25.60 13 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 25.41 20 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 25.51 27 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 25.48 4 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 25.22 11 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 25.18 18 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 25.09 25 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 25.11 1 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 26.04 8 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 25.65 15 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 25.45 22 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 25.56 29 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 25.49 5 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 25.99 12 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 26.30 19 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 26.03 26 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 26.18 3 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 26.28 10 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 26.83 17 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 26.93 24 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 81/100 ยท close 31.49 31 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 26.99 7 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 26.88 14 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 26.61 21 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 26.98 28 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 26.96 5 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 26.42 12 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 25.95 19 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 26.20 26 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 26.03 2 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 26.04 9 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 26.46 16 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 26.61 23 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 26.12 30 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 25.78 6 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 26.02 13 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 52/100 ยท close 26.55 20 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 26.64 27 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 26.93 6 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 27.05 13 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 26.74 20 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 26.27 27 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 26.32 3 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 26.61 10 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 26.18 17 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 26.14 24 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 26.22 1 May 2026 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 25.94 8 May 2026 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 26.01 15 May 2026 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 25.67 22 May 2026 ยท EMD 47/100 ยท close 25.88 29 May 2026 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 26.18 5 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 26.34 12 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 43/100 ยท close 26.42 19 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 45/100 ยท close 26.82 26 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 65/100 ยท close 27.30 3 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 59/100 ยท close 26.77 10 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 61/100 ยท close 26.53 17 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 26.00 24 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 25.78 31 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 39/100 ยท close 25.16 7 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 25.26 14 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 25.06 21 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 24.90 28 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 25.38 10 Oct 2025 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 26.83 31 Oct 2025 ยท Down-cycle confirmed ยท close 26.99 8 Dec 202318 Apr 202528 Aug 2026
Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation
Cycle position 12%Current EMD -17.04-week EMD change +4.2156-week price range EUR 24.90โ€“31.49

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Each state uses completed-week information available at that point.

01

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

02

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

03

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. This is the profit-harvest area, with EMD watched for exhaustion and loss of support.

04

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS

What the latest week shows

Completed-week values

01

Underlying pressure

16/100-0.84

Cautious pressure beneath price
4-week change -0.67

02

Trend and deviation

21/100-3.0% vs Trend Line

Price structure is below its trend baseline
Trend gate inactive

03

Momentum and SMI

55/1004w +0.9% ยท 13w -3.1%

Momentum is supportive
SMI 0.22

04

Price-volume pressure

61/10061% constructive pressure

Volume is confirming the close
Volume ratio 1.79x

05

Relative leadership

13/100-11.54

The ticker is lagging its benchmark
4-week change -1.80

06

Modeled Trend

69/100Modeled Trend 0.35

Modeled Trend is supportive
Smoothed Modeled Trend 0.22

Evidence context