SAO ยท EQUITY ยท ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

M1RN34

Moderna, Inc.

BR ยท Healthcare ยท Biotechnology

EMD SCORE92/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Strongly constructive

The latest completed-week readings are broadly supportive. Conditions are positive and have strengthened over the latest four completed weeks.

Constructive build100% directional agreement100% evidence confidence
Completed week
18 Sep 2026
Latest close
BRL 40.20
Evidence
156 weeks

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

6 supportive ยท 0 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks ยท bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.
29 Sep 2023โ€“18 Sep 2026
CONSTRUCTIVE PRESSURE CAUTIOUS PRESSURE EMD PRICE ยท BRL +100+500-50-100 45.2024.664.12 29 Sep 2023 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 26.04 6 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 26.65 13 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 24.80 20 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 20.14 27 Oct 2023 ยท EMD 23/100 ยท close 18.06 3 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 19.16 10 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 23/100 ยท close 17.25 17 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 18.73 24 Nov 2023 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 19.26 1 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 19.30 8 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 19.99 15 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 21.60 22 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 22.86 29 Dec 2023 ยท EMD 41/100 ยท close 23.73 5 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 53/100 ยท close 26.81 12 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 50/100 ยท close 25.99 19 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 24.85 26 Jan 2024 ยท EMD 51/100 ยท close 24.66 2 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 23.96 9 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 21.65 16 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 44/100 ยท close 22.16 23 Feb 2024 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 23.83 1 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 23.33 8 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 25.50 15 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 25.99 22 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 65/100 ยท close 26.20 29 Mar 2024 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 26.45 5 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 26.48 12 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 72/100 ยท close 27.20 19 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 26.22 26 Apr 2024 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 27.89 3 May 2024 ยท EMD 86/100 ยท close 31.59 10 May 2024 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 30.37 17 May 2024 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 34.47 24 May 2024 ยท EMD 94/100 ยท close 43.00 31 May 2024 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 37.50 7 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 39.16 14 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 81/100 ยท close 37.24 21 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 36.44 28 Jun 2024 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 33.44 5 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 32.29 12 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 33.20 19 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 33.72 26 Jul 2024 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 34.47 2 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 24.75 9 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 23.36 16 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 24.19 23 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 22.57 30 Aug 2024 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 21.64 6 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 25/100 ยท close 20.06 13 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 25/100 ยท close 18.93 20 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 23/100 ยท close 18.00 27 Sep 2024 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 17.96 4 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 22/100 ยท close 16.39 11 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 16.23 18 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 24/100 ยท close 15.61 25 Oct 2024 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 15.28 1 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 16.33 8 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 18/100 ยท close 13.40 15 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 18/100 ยท close 11.37 22 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 11.88 29 Nov 2024 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 13.00 6 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 13.64 13 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 12.58 20 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 12.05 27 Dec 2024 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 12.40 3 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 12.84 10 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 12.73 17 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 10.58 24 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 12.03 31 Jan 2025 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 11.56 7 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 9.38 14 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 9.42 21 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 10.11 28 Feb 2025 ยท EMD 28/100 ยท close 9.10 7 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 10.35 14 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 9.88 21 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 9.48 28 Mar 2025 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 9.10 4 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 25/100 ยท close 7.30 11 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 7.56 18 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 26/100 ยท close 7.16 25 Apr 2025 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 7.69 2 May 2025 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 7.76 9 May 2025 ยท EMD 25/100 ยท close 6.90 16 May 2025 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 7.00 23 May 2025 ยท EMD 27/100 ยท close 7.41 30 May 2025 ยท EMD 34/100 ยท close 7.67 6 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 7.60 13 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 7.30 20 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 7.15 27 Jun 2025 ยท EMD 35/100 ยท close 7.31 4 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 8.22 11 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 54/100 ยท close 9.40 18 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 8.63 25 Jul 2025 ยท EMD 55/100 ยท close 9.50 1 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 37/100 ยท close 7.60 8 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 7.05 15 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 7.53 22 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 7.33 29 Aug 2025 ยท EMD 29/100 ยท close 6.53 5 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 6.74 12 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 30/100 ยท close 6.39 19 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 6.66 26 Sep 2025 ยท EMD 32/100 ยท close 6.48 3 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 48/100 ยท close 7.70 10 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 38/100 ยท close 7.32 17 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 7.09 24 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 42/100 ยท close 7.36 31 Oct 2025 ยท EMD 46/100 ยท close 7.57 7 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 31/100 ยท close 6.52 14 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 33/100 ยท close 6.53 21 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 36/100 ยท close 6.32 28 Nov 2025 ยท EMD 40/100 ยท close 6.75 5 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 49/100 ยท close 7.40 12 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 57/100 ยท close 8.10 19 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 63/100 ยท close 9.13 26 Dec 2025 ยท EMD 58/100 ยท close 8.53 2 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 60/100 ยท close 8.48 9 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 9.26 16 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 88/100 ยท close 10.96 23 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 12.79 30 Jan 2026 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 11.55 6 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 10.80 13 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 87/100 ยท close 11.52 20 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 12.68 27 Feb 2026 ยท EMD 90/100 ยท close 13.55 6 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 13.46 13 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 13.91 20 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 81/100 ยท close 13.31 27 Mar 2026 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 13.03 3 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 13.00 10 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 80/100 ยท close 12.65 17 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 81/100 ยท close 13.21 24 Apr 2026 ยท EMD 76/100 ยท close 12.80 1 May 2026 ยท EMD 62/100 ยท close 11.12 8 May 2026 ยท EMD 78/100 ยท close 12.93 15 May 2026 ยท EMD 66/100 ยท close 12.50 22 May 2026 ยท EMD 68/100 ยท close 12.04 29 May 2026 ยท EMD 71/100 ยท close 12.19 5 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 67/100 ยท close 12.44 12 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 69/100 ยท close 12.80 19 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 16.57 26 Jun 2026 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 17.30 3 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 85/100 ยท close 21.11 10 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 79/100 ยท close 17.21 17 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 83/100 ยท close 16.05 24 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 13.59 31 Jul 2026 ยท EMD 70/100 ยท close 13.99 7 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 74/100 ยท close 14.73 14 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 77/100 ยท close 16.12 21 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 89/100 ยท close 36.50 28 Aug 2026 ยท EMD 82/100 ยท close 36.24 4 Sep 2026 ยท EMD 84/100 ยท close 36.82 11 Sep 2026 ยท EMD 93/100 ยท close 37.00 18 Sep 2026 ยท EMD 92/100 ยท close 40.20 31 May 2024 ยท Down-cycle confirmed ยท close 37.50 7 Mar 2025 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 10.35 11 Jul 2025 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 9.40 25 Jul 2025 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 9.50 9 Jan 2026 ยท Up-cycle confirmed ยท close 9.26 29 Sep 202328 Mar 202518 Sep 2026
Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation
Cycle position 98%Current EMD +84.04-week EMD change +6.8156-week price range BRL 6.32โ€“43.00

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Each state uses completed-week information available at that point.

01

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

02

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

03

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. This is the profit-harvest area, with EMD watched for exhaustion and loss of support.

04

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS

What the latest week shows

Completed-week values

01

Underlying pressure

96/1001.71

Strengthening beneath price
4-week change +1.34

02

Trend and deviation

100/100+124.0% vs Trend Line

Price structure supports the trend
Trend gate active

03

Momentum and SMI

94/1004w +10.1% ยท 13w +142.6%

Momentum is supportive
SMI 0.73

04

Price-volume pressure

72/10072% constructive pressure

Volume is confirming the close
Volume ratio 4.77x

05

Relative leadership

100/100169.89

Leadership is supportive
4-week change -43.09

06

Modeled Trend

89/100Modeled Trend 0.79

Modeled Trend is supportive
Smoothed Modeled Trend 0.79

Evidence context