DAX
DAX closed at 25,839.33 on 2 Sep 2026. The current Trend state is positive, with structural momentum at 0.09%.
Price, Activity, Trend and Fair Value
The full completed-session structure is shown first. Regime shading makes expansion, transition and pressure visible without relying on a single signal.
What the evidence says now
Transition
Wait for stronger alignment before increasing exposure. Activity is aligned upward, with the latest close -0.7% from Trend and 4.4% from Fair Value.
Selective only
Demand confirmation before adding exposure.
Failed repair
A durable recovery through Trend is needed to improve the read.
Performance across investment horizons
Completed-session returns reveal whether leadership is broad across horizons or driven by a short-lived move.
Drawdown and variability
830 completed observations support this read.
-2.93%
-12.27%
15.84%
Levels that change the structural read
Momentum, Relative Strength and Market Dynamics
Three independent dimensions show whether direction, leadership and market behaviour agree. The chart normalises each path for visual comparison; the readout preserves the underlying values.
Drawdown and realised variability
Drawdown measures distance from the prior high; variability shows how difficult the path has become to hold.
Weekly architecture
The slower view tests whether the completed-session read is supported by a more durable market structure.
What followed similar architecture
Point-in-time matches use only information available at each completed observation. Results describe this index's history; they are not a forecast.
| Forward window | Independent samples | Median move | Positive outcomes | Best | Worst | Evidence read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next week | 49 | 0.00% | 51% | 3.92% | -5.74% | Usable descriptive sample |
| Next month | 49 | 1.14% | 63% | 7.38% | -4.44% | Usable descriptive sample |
| Next quarter | 47 | 4.71% | 83% | 17.49% | -6.88% | Usable descriptive sample |
Position within Europe
DAX ranks 9 of 16 on current architecture. Correlation with S&P 500 is 0.56.
NO73Month
4.30%RS
3.59Drawdown
-0.82% PSI 20
PT71Month
2.58%RS
0.82Drawdown
-1.52% BEL 20
BE70Month
2.08%RS
0.48Drawdown
-1.36% OMX Helsinki 25
FI70Month
2.36%RS
1.14Drawdown
-3.22% Austrian Traded Index
AT69Month
1.48%RS
1.77Drawdown
-1.31% OMX Copenhagen 25
DK69Month
4.01%RS
0.97Drawdown
-1.86% BIST 100
TR69Month
6.10%RS
-0.34Drawdown
-6.42% OMX Stockholm 30
SE58Month
-2.42%RS
-0.81Drawdown
-3.09%
What this dossier measures
The dossier uses completed daily and weekly index observations to describe price architecture, Activity alignment, Trend, Fair Value, relative leadership, momentum, risk and historical state behaviour. It uses only completed observations, does not predict the next move and does not issue an investment instruction. Exchange holidays and legitimate one-session publication lags are retained; feeds more than two weeks behind the current universe are excluded until they recover.