NIFTY 50
NIFTY 50 closed at 24,055.80 on 1 Sep 2026. The current Trend state is defensive, with structural momentum at -0.02%.
Price, Activity, Trend and Fair Value
The full completed-session structure is shown first. Regime shading makes expansion, transition and pressure visible without relying on a single signal.
What the evidence says now
Defensive
Risk control takes priority while pressure remains aligned. Activity is rotating, with the latest close -0.9% from Trend and -0.8% from Fair Value.
Risk reduction
Repair is required before conditions improve.
Failed repair
A durable recovery through Trend is needed to improve the read.
Performance across investment horizons
Completed-session returns reveal whether leadership is broad across horizons or driven by a short-lived move.
Drawdown and variability
805 completed observations support this read.
-8.79%
-15.18%
13.04%
Levels that change the structural read
Momentum, Relative Strength and Market Dynamics
Three independent dimensions show whether direction, leadership and market behaviour agree. The chart normalises each path for visual comparison; the readout preserves the underlying values.
Drawdown and realised variability
Drawdown measures distance from the prior high; variability shows how difficult the path has become to hold.
Weekly architecture
The slower view tests whether the completed-session read is supported by a more durable market structure.
What followed similar architecture
Point-in-time matches use only information available at each completed observation. Results describe this index's history; they are not a forecast.
| Forward window | Independent samples | Median move | Positive outcomes | Best | Worst | Evidence read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next week | 51 | 0.33% | 59% | 4.79% | -4.55% | Usable descriptive sample |
| Next month | 51 | 0.73% | 59% | 8.94% | -12.37% | Usable descriptive sample |
| Next quarter | 49 | 2.25% | 57% | 14.65% | -11.45% | Usable descriptive sample |
Position within Asia Pacific
NIFTY 50 ranks 11 of 14 on current architecture. Correlation with S&P 500 is 0.25.
TW79Month
8.21%RS
3.44Drawdown
-2.63% Jakarta Composite
ID79Month
6.69%RS
5.54Drawdown
-28.06% Shanghai Composite
CN66Month
4.47%RS
0.03Drawdown
-6.55% KOSPI Composite
KR65Month
3.64%RS
-5.45Drawdown
-27.17% Straits Times Index
SG61Month
1.45%RS
2.42Drawdown
-1.11% S&P/NZX 50
NZ59Month
0.19%RS
-0.04Drawdown
-0.99% Nikkei 225
JP58Month
2.88%RS
-2.27Drawdown
-9.08% S&P/ASX 200
AU57Month
0.53%RS
0.38Drawdown
-2.47%
What this dossier measures
The dossier uses completed daily and weekly index observations to describe price architecture, Activity alignment, Trend, Fair Value, relative leadership, momentum, risk and historical state behaviour. It uses only completed observations, does not predict the next move and does not issue an investment instruction. Exchange holidays and legitimate one-session publication lags are retained; feeds more than two weeks behind the current universe are excluded until they recover.