Evidence in favour
- Participation spans 14 named insiders rather than one filing source.
- The latest qualifying evidence is fresh, dated 04 Aug 2026.
Company insider dossier
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock insider intelligence
BAER filings assessed for conviction, transaction quality, insider breadth, clustering, freshness, and price confirmation.
22/100
Concentrated distribution
64/100 confidence- Exchange
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Security & Protection Services
- Latest evidence
- 4 Aug 2026
Investment committee read
Concentrated distribution
Priced common-share disposals are concentrated enough to warrant review, but they are not treated as a standalone bearish forecast.
Review exposure and filing contextDecision risks
- Qualifying disposal events outnumber acquisitions, although disposals receive a lower directional weight.
- Most filings are awards, derivatives, unpriced common shares, or other securities and remain contextual.
Price confirmation map
Weekly price with common-share events
Acquisitions and disposals are aligned to the nearest completed weekly bar.
Feb 2025Aug 2026
Weekly closeCommon-share acquisitionCommon-share disposal
Market confirmation
Price and trend context
- Latest close
- 1.26 USD
- One-week move
- -35.1%
- Four-week move
- -35.1%
- Fair-value gap
- -60.3%
- Trend signal
- Inactive
- Relative strength
- -44.9
Directional balance
Controlled event mix
0.0%acquisition
- Acquisition events
- 0
- Disposal events
- 3
- Net value
- -$6.5M
Cadence
Twelve-week filing pressure
Volume shows attention. Controlled events determine direction.
025 May
901 Jun
008 Jun
015 Jun
022 Jun
729 Jun
006 Jul
013 Jul
020 Jul
027 Jul
603 Aug
010 Aug
Named participants
Insider conviction by person
ANDREWS, ADOLPHUS WILLIAMChief Operating Officer500 events
DAVIS, SAMUEL CARLCEO & President500 events
DROHAN, DANDirector500 events
FASCITELLI, ELIZABETH CDirector500 events
FREEDMAN, ERNEST MICHAELDirector500 events
HELLER, DEANDirector500 events
HOWARD, HUGH WYMAN IIIDirector500 events
KELTER, JEFFREY EDirector500 events
MOGFORD, JUSTIN DGeneral Counsel & Corp. Sec.500 events
PASRICHA, MEGHANDirector500 events
SAVAGE, ROBERT F JRDirector500 events
SCHELLENBERG, DAVIDDirector500 events
Evidence quality
Security and transaction context
Role architecture
Who is participating
Transaction evidence
Auditable BAER filing ledger
Showing 1 to 28 of 28.
BLACKSTONE, HOLDINGS I L.P.10% Owner
DisposalCommon equity
1853665 sharesCommon Stock
$3.2MDirectional evidence
BLACKSTONE, HOLDINGS II L.P.10% Owner
DisposalCommon equity
1853665 sharesCommon Stock
$3.2MDirectional evidence
BLACKSTONE, HOLDINGS I L.P.10% Owner
DisposalCommon equity
32019 sharesCommon Stock
$54.4KDirectional evidence
BLACKSTONE, HOLDINGS II L.P.10% Owner
DisposalCommon equity
32019 sharesCommon Stock
$54.4KDirectional evidence
BLACKSTONE, HOLDINGS I L.P.10% Owner
DisposalCommon equity
14316 sharesCommon Stock
$24.3KDirectional evidence
BLACKSTONE, HOLDINGS II L.P.10% Owner
DisposalCommon equity
14316 sharesCommon Stock
$24.3KDirectional evidence
DROHAN, DANDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
27514 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
FASCITELLI, ELIZABETH CDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
27514 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
FREEDMAN, ERNEST MICHAELDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
27514 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
HELLER, DEANDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
27514 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
PASRICHA, MEGHANDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
27514 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
SAVAGE, ROBERT F JRDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
27514 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
SCHELLENBERG, DAVIDDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
27514 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
DROHAN, DANDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
45156 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
FASCITELLI, ELIZABETH CDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
45156 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
FREEDMAN, ERNEST MICHAELDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
45156 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
HELLER, DEANDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
45156 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
HOWARD, HUGH WYMAN IIIDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
45156 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
KELTER, JEFFREY EDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
158049 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
PASRICHA, MEGHANDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
45156 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
SAVAGE, ROBERT F JRDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
45156 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
SCHELLENBERG, DAVIDDirector
AcquisitionCommon equity
45156 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
ANDREWS, ADOLPHUS WILLIAMChief Operating Officer
AcquisitionCommon equity
265547 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
DAVIS, SAMUEL CARLCEO & President
AcquisitionCommon equity
1000000 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
DAVIS, SAMUEL CARLCEO & President
AcquisitionCommon equity
265547 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
DAVIS, SAMUEL CARLCEO & President
AcquisitionCommon equity
318657 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
MOGFORD, JUSTIN DGeneral Counsel & Corp. Sec.
AcquisitionCommon equity
238993 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
MOGFORD, JUSTIN DGeneral Counsel & Corp. Sec.
AcquisitionCommon equity
212438 sharesCommon Stock
Not reportedContext evidence
Reading the dossier
Direction and confidence are separate
Conviction
The 0 to 100 score classifies deduplicated priced common-share evidence. Fifty is balanced or non-directional.
Confidence
Confidence rises with controlled event depth, named-insider breadth, fresh evidence, normalized values, and a longer observation span.
Disposals
Selling is not treated as the mirror image of buying. It carries less directional weight because taxes, diversification, compensation, and planned transactions can all create sales.
Price confirmation
The market chart tests whether the filing thesis is being confirmed or rejected by price, fair-value position, relative strength, and the current trend state.
Independent market research for education. This classification is not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, or an execution instruction.