Original assessment ยท live

DHI: Not rated

Published 14 Sep 2026, 08:49 BST. This is the frozen version, not the current recommendation.

TargetNot published
Target date2027-09-14
Price known at publication$137.892026-09-11

Why this assessment was issued

First recorded assessment. Current data checks do not support an active rating.

A target is not published until the required checks pass. Cash generation, debt, cash and interest cover are needed before a rating is issued.

Supporting evidence

More cash remains for each dollar of profit

Cash after capital spending / profit: 1.0ร— for DHI, against 0.9ร— across 12 comparable peers.

Quarterly sales are growing

Revenue changed +0.0% from the same quarter last year, through 2026-06-30. The previous quarterโ€™s year-on-year change was -2.3%.

Opposing evidence

Year-to-date profit is lower

Across 3 completed quarters since 2025-09-30, net income was 2,147.6m versus 2,679.9m in the matching prior-year periods (USD). Check whether the latest quarter changes that direction.

Quarterly profit fell

Net income was 904.9m, compared with 1,024.6m in the same quarter last year. Amounts are in USD.

Original assumptions and checks
eps10.51
cash2078700000.0
debt7183600000.0
years1.2073921971252566
growth-2.7607643191978726
margin9.154150387257532
profit3052900000.0
cash_okFalse
debt_okFalse
growths[-3.2471557395077233, -9.537632996190727, -2.274372898888022, 0.015175000270972738]
revenue33349900000.0
downside24.460782272568427
leverage1.2782062196404427
multiple11.641726618705036
free_cash3202200000.0
buy_hurdle16.71551543117912
volatility33.43103086235824
history_end2026-09-11
reward_risk0.2289004889435005
annual_years5
usable_weeks157
history_start2023-09-15
history_weeks157
financial_date2026-06-30
interest_coverNot available
operating_cash3352600000.0
uncapped_growth-2.7607643191978726
current_multiple13.119885823025689
projected_margin11.268624076326086
historical_margin13.38309776539464

Recent price ยท Passed. Weekly close dated 2026-09-11.

Suitable business model ยท Passed. Value operating cash flow or comparable earnings; deduct debt and other ownership claims where appropriate.

Four quarters ยท Passed. Four quarters ending 2026-06-30.

Current financials ยท Passed. Statements through 2026-06-30; factor prices dated 2026-09-11.

Annual record ยท Passed. 5 consecutive annual profit margins, including loss years.

Comparable earnings history ยท Passed. P/E is usable in 157 of 157 weeks. At least 52 usable weeks and 70% coverage are required; excluding too many loss or missing weeks would bias the target.

Earnings and price dates ยท Passed. Earnings-release EPS $10.51, for four quarters ending 2026-06-30.

Price risk ยท Passed. Risk uses the latest 52 weekly price changes.

Comparable sales growth ยท Passed. Growth uses the median of four quarterly year-on-year comparisons.

Positive statement earnings ยท Passed. Trailing statement profit is positive.

Earnings reconciliation ยท Passed. Release EPS is $10.51; statement-derived EPS is $10.91. The difference is within the 5% review threshold; this does not prove there are no unusual items.

Statement totals ยท Passed. The latest four quarters agree with the trailing snapshot within 5%.

Cash and borrowing ยท Review needed. Cash generation, debt, cash and interest cover are needed before a rating is issued.

Policy sm-review-2-research ยท Model sm-assessment-9-financial-integrity ยท Data c7271be7b409.

Open current research โ†—

Evidence context