NYSE ยท Technology ยท US stocks

YMM Investment Case

Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd ADR

Weekly closeUnavailableDate unavailable
Quarterly results through2026-06-30Annual year-end 2025-12-31
Next resultsNot announcedCheck the company calendar
SM Virtual Analyst ยท Published assessment
Model ratingNot rated
Price targetNot published

A background review must record this assessment before a rating is published.

Automated model assessment. Assumptions and risks are shown below.

Investment view

The assessment, supporting evidence and main risks.

Publication status

Assessment withheld

A background review must record this assessment before a rating is published.

Outstanding checks and valuation methods โ†“

More sales are becoming operating profit, but year-to-date profit is lower.

More sales are becoming operating profit, but year-to-date profit is lower.

Company observations use the financial and market dates shown in the evidence. They may be newer than the published assessment.

Review conditions
The business

Year-to-date profit is lower

Across 2 completed quarters since 2025-12-31, net income was 2,317.2m versus 2,513.1m in the matching prior-year periods (CNY). Check whether the latest quarter changes that direction.

Source figures : Year-to-date profit is lower
All company findings
Margins
More sales are becoming operating profit

The latest quarterly operating margin was 43.9%, +8.7 percentage points from a year earlier. Compare the sales and margin contributions below.

Check the supporting chart
Financial year so far
Year-to-date profit is lower

Across 2 completed quarters since 2025-12-31, net income was 2,317.2m versus 2,513.1m in the matching prior-year periods (CNY). Check whether the latest quarter changes that direction.

Check the supporting chart
Sales
Quarterly sales are growing

Revenue changed +4.1% from the same quarter last year, through 2026-06-30. The previous quarterโ€™s year-on-year change was +5.5%.

Check the supporting chart
Results versus estimates
Recent results beat most estimates

Of the latest 4 comparable quarters, 3 beat the estimate and 1 missed it. Check how price responded; a beat alone is not a reason to buy.

Check the supporting chart
Shares outstanding
The share count grew

Weighted diluted shares changed +0.1%. Compare this with buyback spending; splits and acquisitions can also change the count.

Check the supporting chart

Valuation comments use the starting assumptions. Related findings can reflect the same underlying change; they are not separate votes or a probability of success.

SM Virtual Analyst is an automated review of stored company results and market data. The views below describe the available evidence and identify what to check next.

Business and operations

Revenue, profit, cash generation and the operating measures behind them.

Business assumptions

Follow the operating evidence, compare results with recorded forecasts, and check what funds growth.

Forecast progress โ†“
Assumptions behind the price
The published assessment changes through a formal review. The tests below show how different conditions could affect the business.
Reported results
Separate prices, volumes, costs and investment. A market price relationship alone does not establish a change in company value.
Next results ยท Date not announced
Compare what the company reports with the assumptions recorded beforehand. A temporary benefit needs an end date.

Financial results

The latest reporting periods, earnings quality and the longer financial record.

The business

Company results and cash generation

Start with the latest quarters, then check whether the longer record supports the same view.

Annual results ยท 2025-12-31
Quarterly results

The current financial year

Compare completed quarters with the same periods a year earlier. Annual year-end: 2025-12-31.

Latest quarter ยท 2026-06-30
Reported 2026-08-19
Revenue4.7%2 matched quarters vs last year
Operating profit6.1%2 matched quarters vs last year
Net income-7.8%2 matched quarters vs last year
Operating cash126.5%2 matched quarters vs last year
Cash after capital spending122.3%2 matched quarters vs last year

Quarterly sales

Same-quarter comparison

Reported revenue in CNY. Growth can include acquisitions, exchange-rate changes and price changes.

Quarterly profit

Operating profit shows the business before financing and tax. Net income can also reflect asset sales and other one-off items.

Operating profit changes

Latest quarter against the same quarter last year. The sales effect holds the old margin fixed; the remaining change comes from the margin. These two amounts add up to the change in operating profit.

Quarterly profit and cash

Cash can move sharply between quarters. Check the four-quarter comparison and working-capital changes before drawing a conclusion.

Working capital and sales

Same quarter one year earlier. Receivables and inventory are balances at the reporting date; sales cover the quarter. Faster growth can tie up cash, but acquisitions and payment timing can also explain a change.

Quarterly results and year-to-date figures
2 completed quarters since 2025-12-31

Year-to-date comparisons require every completed quarter since the annual year-end and a matching prior-year period. Missing periods are not treated as zero. Figures may include subsequent restatements.

Annual results commentary

Cash covered reported profit

Operating cash flow was 1.05 times net income. Working capital and non-cash charges can explain the difference.

See the figures โ†“

The share count grew

Weighted diluted shares changed +0.1%. Compare this with buyback spending; splits and acquisitions can also change the count.

See the figures โ†“
Longer view

Annual financial history

Sales and operating profit

Reported financial years. Amounts in CNY.

Profit and cash margins

The proportion of sales left as operating profit and cash after capital spending.

Profit compared with cash

Cash after capital spending still has to cover debt repayments and other commitments.

Buybacks, dividends and acquisitions

Cash spent, shown as positive amounts. Compare buybacks with changes in the diluted share count.

Diluted share count

Weighted diluted shares from the annual statements. Share splits, acquisitions and employee awards can also change the total.

Working capital

Inventory and receivables as a percentage of annual sales. Increasing amounts can tie up cash; business seasonality also matters.

Financial statements and sources
Financial yearRevenueOperating profitNet incomeOperating cashCash after capital spendingDiluted sharesPublished
2019-12-312473061000.0-1020602000.0-1523657000.0-923965000.0-934383000.0โ€”Date unavailable
2020-12-312580820000.0-3614603000.0-3470932000.0574742000.0521678000.0โ€”Date unavailable
2021-12-314657019000.0-3795943000.0-3654528000.0-211419000.0-254639000.0โ€”2022-03-01
2022-12-316733644000.0-162002000.0406762000.0-15520000.0-101206000.0โ€”2023-03-08
2023-12-318436159000.0997429000.02212888000.02269646000.02169302000.01058117573.02024-03-07
2024-12-3111238638000.02474980000.03069849000.02970125000.02895158000.01045111102.02025-03-05
2025-12-3112489859000.04146198000.04408169000.04626880000.04497166000.01046408634.02026-03-12

Amounts use each statementโ€™s reported currency. Historical figures can include later restatements. Weighted diluted shares are an annual earnings measure, not the current share count used for valuation.

Share price and peers

Performance, earnings and valuation compared with the market and other companies.

Earnings and price

Earnings and share price

Compare reported earnings, the marketโ€™s response and changes in expectations.

Reported earnings and estimates

3 beats and 1 misses across the last 4 comparable quarters. Earnings-release figures may use an adjusted basis and differ from the financial statements.

Earnings announcements and price comparisons

Weekly prices are matched only after a recorded results date. A reporting-week move includes other news. EPS from earnings releases may differ from statutory diluted EPS. Historical revisions can change this comparison; it is not a trading backtest.

Valuation and target

The published target, its assumptions and alternative valuation methods.

Target & rating

Target publication requirements

More sales are becoming operating profit, but year-to-date profit is lower. More sales are becoming operating profit, but year-to-date profit is lower.

Method and rating rules โ†“
Valuation methodCash flow across the cycle

Loss periods, gaps or differences in the earnings basis make P/E less useful here. This assessment uses operating profit, capital spending and the balance sheet instead. Loss years remain in the margin history.

No investment rating is assigned.

The assessment checks earnings and, where suitable, an alternative cash-flow approach. It still needs current financials, complete inputs and a model suitable for automatic publication. โ€œNot ratedโ€ means those requirements are not met; it does not mean Hold.

  • A background review must record this assessment before a rating is published.
Supporting evidence

More sales are becoming operating profit

The latest quarterly operating margin was 43.9%, +8.7 percentage points from a year earlier. Compare the sales and margin contributions below.

Review the evidence โ†“

Quarterly sales are growing

Revenue changed +4.1% from the same quarter last year, through 2026-06-30. The previous quarterโ€™s year-on-year change was +5.5%.

Review the evidence โ†“
Risks and outstanding checks

Year-to-date profit is lower

Across 2 completed quarters since 2025-12-31, net income was 2,317.2m versus 2,513.1m in the matching prior-year periods (CNY). Check whether the latest quarter changes that direction.

Review the evidence โ†“
Method, rating rules and data checks

Methods are considered by business suitability and completeness of evidence. The model does not select whichever produces the highest target.

Valuation methods checked
MethodInput checksOutstanding requirements
Earnings and historical valuationIncompleteA positive weekly close from the last 14 days is required. Four consecutive quarters of revenue and profit in USD are required, matching the share-price currency. The latest quarter and financial snapshot must agree, with statements no more than 150 days old and factor prices no more than 14 days old. At least three consecutive annual results in USD are needed to check whether recent profit margins are repeatable. P/E is usable in 0 of 0 weeks. At least 52 usable weeks and 70% coverage are required; excluding too many loss or missing weeks would bias the target. Positive trailing earnings-release EPS must cover the same four quarters as the statements and be available at the latest weekly close. 52 consecutive weekly price changes are required. Each of the latest four quarters needs a comparable revenue figure from a year earlier.
Cash flow across the cycle ยท SelectedIncompleteA positive weekly close from the last 14 days is required. The latest quarter and financial snapshot must agree, with statements no more than 150 days old and factor prices no more than 14 days old. 52 consecutive weekly price changes are required. At least three consecutive annual USD results with sales, operating profit and capital spending are required. Four consecutive quarters of operating profit and sales, with year-on-year revenue comparisons, are needed. Recorded cash-flow, investment, debt, cash, preferred stock, minority interests and share-count inputs are required; missing amounts are not assumed to be zero. Missing: revenue (trailing twelve months), ebit (trailing twelve months), ebitda (trailing twelve months), capital expenditure (trailing twelve months), interest expense (trailing twelve months), operating cash flow (trailing twelve months), fcf (trailing twelve months). Four matching quarters of operating income and reported depreciation are required. An unrelated EBITDA-minus-EBIT difference is not treated as depreciation.

Cash flow across the cycle

This method keeps both weak and strong years in view. It values cash from the operations after tax, capital spending and working capital, then deducts net debt and other ownership claims.

The central operating margin is the median of up to five annual margins plus the latest four-quarter margin, including losses. It is reached over three years. Sales growth starts at the median of four quarterly year-on-year changes.

Starting sales growth is limited to โˆ’10% to +15% and moves towards 2% by year five. Depreciation must have a matching reported period and exclude impairment charges. An unrelated EBITDA-minus-EBIT difference is not used. The spending floor moves towards the median recorded capital-spending ratio, with a floor at depreciation. This historical total does not identify maintenance separately from expansion spending. Total capital spending must also cover depreciation plus the assets needed for extra sales. Working capital is funded in proportion to extra sales; falling sales do not automatically release cash.

The central required return is 12%, an SM assumption rather than a measured cost of capital. The weaker case uses 14% with no continuing growth; the stronger case uses 10% with 2.5% continuing growth. Recovery margins, growth and spending also change in each scenario.

Cash after the target date is discounted to that date. Earlier positive cash is assumed distributed, so it is not added to the target. Any earlier deficit after debt interest increases net debt. The model holds the share count and other ownership claims constant. It does not assume future buybacks, asset sales or a refinancing.

This is a going-concern cash-flow model. It cannot establish asset sale proceeds or restructuring recoveries. A negative equity result is shown as zero, reflecting limited liability rather than a liquidation estimate.

Rating criteria

Buy requires at least 15% upside, a higher threshold for volatile stocks, and satisfactory cash, debt and weaker-case checks. Sell requires at least 15% central price downside. Hold covers the remaining rated cases. Failed data checks produce โ€œNot ratedโ€.

For Buy, operating cash must cover at least 80% of statement profit and cash after capital spending must be positive. Debt must be covered by cash, or net debt / EBITDA must be no more than 3 with interest cover of at least 3. The cash-flow method uses the central longer-run operating margin for these debt tests. A loss-making company must still have positive operating cash and cash after capital spending for Buy eligibility.

Publication safeguards. Model estimates below one quarter or above four times the current price require a separate valuation review. Cash-flow estimates also require review when more than 90% of their absolute present value comes from after year five. These are SM review thresholds; they do not cap the calculated value or move it towards the market price.

This is an automated research assessment. The policy has not yet been validated against subsequent stock returns. It does not account for your portfolio, tax position or investment needs.

New data refreshes the evidence. A formal review determines whether the published assessment changes. Editing the valuation controls below changes your scenario only. Saving your case preserves this dated assessment alongside your assumptions.

Data checks ยท reviewed 2026-09-22
CheckStatusEvidence
Recent priceReview neededA positive weekly close from the last 14 days is required.
Current financialsReview neededThe latest quarter and financial snapshot must agree, with statements no more than 150 days old and factor prices no more than 14 days old.
Price riskReview needed52 consecutive weekly price changes are required.
Operating historyReview neededAt least three consecutive annual USD results with sales, operating profit and capital spending are required.
Quarterly operating resultsReview neededFour consecutive quarters of operating profit and sales, with year-on-year revenue comparisons, are needed.
Cash-flow and ownership inputsReview neededRecorded cash-flow, investment, debt, cash, preferred stock, minority interests and share-count inputs are required; missing amounts are not assumed to be zero. Missing: revenue (trailing twelve months), ebit (trailing twelve months), ebitda (trailing twelve months), capital expenditure (trailing twelve months), interest expense (trailing twelve months), operating cash flow (trailing twelve months), fcf (trailing twelve months).
Depreciation basisReview neededFour matching quarters of operating income and reported depreciation are required. An unrelated EBITDA-minus-EBIT difference is not treated as depreciation.
Matching currencyPassedUSD statements and share price.
Price observationsReview neededPrices must be positive, finite, in date order and have no duplicate weeks.
Price dateReview neededThe latest completed close must be no more than 14 days old.
Statement currencyReview neededValuation cash flows and the share price must use the same currency; amounts are not silently converted.
Depositary share basisReview neededAn ADR or ADS needs a sourced conversion between ordinary shares and the quoted depositary shares. A plausible price or P/E alone does not verify that conversion.
Financial periodReview neededThe valuation needs a financial period no more than 150 days old.

Model version: sm-assessment-14-operating-capital. Published price: $ on . The upside above uses the latest close. Review policy and original record โ†“

Price and valuation assumptions

A current target is not published. The outstanding checks must be resolved before a price disagreement can be assessed.

Required before a comparison

  • A background review must record this assessment before a rating is published.
Outstanding checks and valuation method โ†“
Review conditions

Conditions for a review

Numerical review thresholds have not been recorded for this assessment.

New results, restatements, material disclosures and unresolved share changes require review. A sustained price change can change the rating comparison without changing the target. Company evidence, risk and uncertainty must still support the classification. Dividends are assessed separately where verified.

Risk and portfolio

Funding needs, adverse conditions and the effect of a holding on your portfolio.

Business risks

Business and financing risks

Review borrowing and company disclosures alongside interest rates and commodity markets.

Debt and cash

Balance-sheet figures from 2026-09-18. Cash may be needed to run the business.

If borrowing costs rise

Illustration: interest rates rise by 1 percentage point on the stated portion of debt. Existing fixed rates and hedges may delay or reduce the effect. This is not a debt-maturity schedule.

Portfolio fit

Portfolio comparison

Compare your current mix with a proposed holding in YMM. Holdings entered here are used for this calculation and are not saved.

Current weights must total 100%. The purchase reduces all existing weights proportionally. Up to 15 US stocks; at least 52 shared weeks of prices are required.

Review and sources

Results against forecasts, your saved research, review decisions and data checks.

Awaiting first reviewFirst review pending

A background review must record this assessment before a rating is published.

Next scheduled reviewPendingEarlier if material company evidence changes
Last data checkPendingReview rules & record โ†“
Report guide

Understand the business. Review sales, profit and cash generation. Open the evidence link beneath each conclusion.

Test the assumptions. A valuation is a scenario. Change growth, margins and the discount rate to see how much the result depends on them.

Keep track. Save your own reasons and conditions. Revisit them after results. Figures show their observation dates. Data notes explain unavailable information.

Data notes ยท 5 to review
  • Financial totals have been checked against their reporting periods. Only matching twelve-month figures are used; unsupported measures remain blank.
  • Financial history is shown in its reported currency; it must not be compared directly with USD prices.
  • Price-to-earnings comparisons need confirmed matching reporting and share-price currencies; that comparison is omitted for this listing.
  • A required data check failed. Review the data and model checks before using a valuation.
  • Analyst forecast history is not yet available. Earnings-release history and reported financial results are shown where recorded.
Forecasts and results

Forecasts and reported results

Follow the forecasts behind the current assessment. Earlier versions remain in the full record. Price movements alone do not settle the business case.

Full forecast record โ†“

No forecast matching the current assessment has been recorded. Earlier forecasts, if any, remain in the full record. The published assessment and its review conditions remain available below.

Forecasts are frozen when recorded. Actuals use the matching full financial year or four reported quarters, on the forecast's stated profit basis. Dated results are retained; restatements are recorded separately. Forecasts made after the period began are identified. Revisions, overlapping periods and preview records are not independent evidence of forecasting skill.

Next results

Next results and saved research

Set measurable conditions for your investment case, then compare them with new company data.

Reporting date not available

Margin and cash conditions use the latest trailing statements where available. Revenue growth compares reported annual years. Factor figures through 2026-09-18.

Quarterly sales growth+4.1%

Through 2026-06-30. Compare the next quarter with the same period a year earlier. Check whether growth speeds up or slows down.

Quarterly operating margin+43.9%

Through 2026-06-30. Check whether the next results retain the latest margin. Separate recurring improvements from one-off gains.

Sales growth this financial year+4.7%

Through 2026-06-30. Check the cumulative result as each new quarter is added. Compare the same number of quarters last year.

Revenue+11.1%

Compare growth with the previous year and the current forecast.

Operating margin+33.2%

Check whether operating profit keeps pace with sales.

Cash generation1.05ร—

Check whether profit is turning into operating cash.

Save your investment case

Keep a dated copy of your reasoning, valuation assumptions and conditions. New saves preserve earlier versions.

Conditions to follow
Sign in to save

Your saved versions

Conditions are checked against the latest available figures when you open this report. This does not place trades or send email alerts.

Sign in to keep your research and review changes over time.

A dated investment case

Assessment changes

The report can be explored now. A formal background review records the first rating and its reasons.

View analyst record โ†—
When we review a rating
Regular review

Every 90 days

Recheck the business, assumptions and valuation. The target keeps its original end date until that horizon expires. A routine data refresh does not issue a new rating.

Earlier review

When the evidence changes

New results, revised financial statements, a material company disclosure, a change in the valuation method or failing cash and debt checks trigger a review. Same-period guidance revisions require at least 5% for EPS or 10% for other measures. Consensus EPS revisions require 10% and at least three analysts.

Price movements

Wait for a sustained change

A price-only signal must persist for 14 days across separate completed weeks. Rating changes normally wait at least 30 days and must clear five-percentage-point entry and exit bands. A direct Buy-to-Sell or Sell-to-Buy change requires material company evidence.

Data and events

Suspend an unreliable call

Missing essential data, an unresolved material event or a share-basis change can suspend a call immediately. An expired target or data check more than three days overdue is not shown as an active rating. Original assessments remain in the record.

A reviewed target normally changes only by 5% or more; a rating change or an expired horizon can also require a new assessment. These are explicit research-policy thresholds, not statistically proven trading rules. Policy sm-review-2-research.

Forecast record

Forecast accuracy

Forecast errors in sales, operating profit and cash are recorded separately from share-price outcomes. Preview records never enter live accuracy figures.

There are no completed live operating forecasts to assess yet. A useful record takes time; historical fits and preview scenarios are not substituted for it.

Forecasts are frozen when recorded. Actuals use the matching full financial year or four reported quarters, on the forecast's stated profit basis. Dated results are retained; restatements are recorded separately. Forecasts made after the period began are identified. Revisions, overlapping periods and preview records are not independent evidence of forecasting skill. Read the share-price assessment record โ†—

Data and model checks

Data validation

Automated checks cover dates, units and accounting relationships. A matched filing fact confirms that reported amount and basis; it does not establish recurring earnings or validate a forecast.

Operating company

Value operating cash flow or comparable earnings; deduct debt and other ownership claims where appropriate.

11 of 19 checks passed. 0 financial cells have a matched filing basis; 93 other recorded cells have not been matched to a standard filing fact here. Missing company-specific measures and forecast coverage are explained in their sections.

Dates, accounting checks and input reconciliation
CheckStatusWhat it checks
Price observationsReview neededPrices must be positive, finite, in date order and have no duplicate weeks.
Historical price basisPassedNo material split or distribution discontinuity was found between the two price histories.
Price dateReview neededThe latest completed close must be no more than 14 days old.
Business modelPassedValue operating cash flow or comparable earnings; deduct debt and other ownership claims where appropriate.
Earnings and share unitsReview neededEarnings, profit and weighted shares are reconciled before per-share growth is used. Unverified comparisons are omitted for 2022-12-31, 2025-09-30, 2025-12-31, 2026-03-31, 2026-06-30.
Balance-sheet totalsReview neededAssets must reconcile to liabilities and equity, allowing separately reported minority interests and 1% rounding tolerance. Check 2024-06-30, 2024-09-30, 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31, 2026-03-31.
Consolidated depreciationPassedDepreciation from a cash-flow reconciliation is distinguished from expense components. Conflicting amounts are excluded until the statement establishes their scope. No unresolved component-versus-total conflict was found.
Statement currencyReview neededValuation cash flows and the share price must use the same currency; amounts are not silently converted.
Publication datesPassedFuture financial periods and future filing dates cannot enter the assessment.
Known reporting datesPassed0 of the latest four quarters have no stored publication date. These cannot support a point-in-time claim.
Cash-flow identitiesPassedOperating cash plus negative capital spending must equal cash after capital spending. All comparable stored periods reconcile within 1%.
Depositary share basisReview neededAn ADR or ADS needs a sourced conversion between ordinary shares and the quoted depositary shares. A plausible price or P/E alone does not verify that conversion.
Operating-profit basisPassed4 of the latest four quarters have an explicit reported operating-income basis. EBIT may include non-operating items; it is not automatically treated as operating income.
Filed and stored totalsReview needed7 trailing input totals differ from the stored snapshot. The matched filed totals are used in this report; original figures remain in the reconciliation table.
Ownership source reconciliationPassedNo unresolved ownership source conflicts were found.
Financial periodReview neededThe valuation needs a financial period no more than 150 days old.
Corporate-action basisPassedA split after the financial period needs a reviewed reconciliation of shares, earnings per share and the quoted price.
Share countPassedPer-share enterprise and book values require a positive current share count.
Ownership and debt amountsPassedDebt, cash, preferred stock and minority interests cannot be negative.
Trailing totals used in this report ยท USD
InputStored snapshotMatched filed quarters
Revenue12727182461
Gross profit ttm8404980408
Operating income4272035759
Ebitda ttm4715322746
Net income4198650293
Capital spending-68169000
Interest expense0
Sources and dates

Financial statements, completed weekly prices, analyst estimates and SEC filings where available. Forecast collection dates and fiscal periods are shown beside the figures.

Financial history may include restatements. This report describes current evidence; it is not a historical backtest. Estimates and model values can change.

Important information

SM Virtual Analyst is an automated research report for general information. Its model ratings and price targets are not personal investment advice, an offer to trade, or a guarantee of value or return. The report does not consider your financial circumstances, objectives, tax position or capacity for loss.

Reported figures can be delayed, incomplete, corrected or restated. Source checks confirm specific reported amounts and accounting relationships; they do not audit a company, establish recurring earnings or prove that a forecast is accurate. Missing information is not assumed to be zero unless a particular illustration expressly says so.

Valuations depend on the stated business model, assumptions and available data. Scenario ranges are illustrations, not probabilities, confidence intervals or limits on loss. Ratings use the disclosed review policy; they are not an independently validated prediction of future returns. Past performance and historical comparisons do not predict future results. An investment can lose its entire value.

Prices, financial periods, publication dates, model versions and review dates are shown in the report. The dated published assessment is separate from editable valuation illustrations. Unless expressly stated otherwise, price comparisons exclude dividends, fees and taxes. Check the latest company filings and subsequent events before making a decision, and seek qualified advice when needed.

Price & value

How the valuation works

For operating companies, the model estimates five years of after-tax operating profit, deducts the investment needed for growth and discounts the resulting cash. It adds a value for later years, deducts net debt and other ownership claims, then divides by the current share count.

For banks and insurers, it uses common equity and the earnings above the assumed cost of equity. Retained earnings fund growth; negative growth does not automatically release capital.

The discount rate expresses the annual return required for the risk. Higher rates reduce present value. Growth and margins move independently in the grid, so some combinations may be unrealistic. Check capital requirements and company guidance.

The starting scenario is an illustration based on recent results. A share price can be consistent with many combinations of assumptions. Values below zero are shown as zero equity value.

What changed

How to read the estimates

Each line follows the estimate for one financial year or quarter. Changing the selected period changes the earnings being forecast.

The analyst range shows the lowest and highest available estimates. It is not a probability interval. The analyst count shows coverage, not certainty.

Recent historical estimates supplied with a new collection are labelled separately from observations we recorded ourselves. Neither is treated as management guidance. Percentage revisions are left blank when the earlier estimate was zero or negative.

Forecasts more than seven days old are marked for review. A rising estimate does not guarantee that the share price will rise.

Evidence context