Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
A target is not published until the required checks pass. Conflicting dated amounts need reconciliation before a target can be published: net ppe.
The assessment, supporting evidence and main risks.
A target is not published until the required checks pass. Conflicting dated amounts need reconciliation before a target can be published: net ppe.
Outstanding checks and valuation methods ↓Year-to-date profit has improved, but price has outpaced earnings.
Company observations use the financial and market dates shown in the evidence. They may be newer than the published assessment.
Across 2 completed quarters since 2025-12-31, net income was 495.8m versus 387.4m in the matching prior-year periods (USD). Check whether the latest quarter changes that direction.
Over 1 year (2025-09-12 to 2026-09-11), price changed +55.9% and trailing EPS changed +12.3%. A wider gap changes the earnings multiple; it does not establish fair value.
Across 2 completed quarters since 2025-12-31, net income was 495.8m versus 387.4m in the matching prior-year periods (USD). Check whether the latest quarter changes that direction.
Enterprise value / EBITDA is 19.8× for EXPD, versus a peer median of 11.0×. Its operating margin is 9.8% versus 3.4%. Business mix and growth expectations can explain the difference.
Over one year, the stock changed +55.9% against +13.7% for Industrials (XLI). The gap is +42.2 percentage points. These are price returns, before dividends.
Enterprise value / EBITDA is 19.8× for EXPD, versus a peer median of 11.0×. Its operating margin is 9.8% versus 3.4%. Business mix and growth expectations can explain the difference.
Check the supporting chartReturn on invested capital: 53.8% for EXPD, against 8.3% across 11 comparable peers.
Check the supporting chartCash after capital spending / profit: 1.0× for EXPD, against 1.3× across 7 comparable peers.
Check the supporting chartNet debt / EBITDA: -0.4× for EXPD, against 2.7× across 11 comparable peers.
Check the supporting chartOver one year, the stock changed +55.9% against +13.7% for Industrials (XLI). The gap is +42.2 percentage points. These are price returns, before dividends.
Check the supporting chartAcross 2 completed quarters since 2025-12-31, net income was 495.8m versus 387.4m in the matching prior-year periods (USD). Check whether the latest quarter changes that direction.
Check the supporting chartRevenue changed +32.1% from the same quarter last year, through 2026-06-30. The previous quarter’s year-on-year change was +4.4%.
Check the supporting chartNet income was 266.2m, compared with 183.6m in the same quarter last year. Amounts are in USD.
Check the supporting chartOver the latest four quarters, operating cash was 1.06 times net income. Review receivables, inventory and non-cash charges before judging the gap.
Check the supporting chartOver 1 year (2025-09-12 to 2026-09-11), price changed +55.9% and trailing EPS changed +12.3%. A wider gap changes the earnings multiple; it does not establish fair value.
Check the supporting chartThe latest quarterly operating margin was 10.0%, +0.6 percentage points from a year earlier. Compare the sales and margin contributions below.
Check the supporting chartOf the latest 4 comparable quarters, 4 beat the estimate and 0 missed it. Check how price responded; a beat alone is not a reason to buy.
Check the supporting chartWeighted diluted shares changed -3.9%. Compare this with buyback spending; splits and acquisitions can also change the count.
Check the supporting chartDebt less cash was -464.2m at 2026-06-30.
Check the supporting chartValuation comments use the starting assumptions. Related findings can reflect the same underlying change; they are not separate votes or a probability of success.
SM Virtual Analyst is an automated review of stored company results and market data. The views below describe the available evidence and identify what to check next.
Revenue, profit, cash generation and the operating measures behind them.
Follow the operating evidence, compare results with recorded forecasts, and check what funds growth.
Sales, profitability and cash after investment, compared with the financial history.
Expeditors (Expeditors International of Washington) is an American worldwide logistics and freight forwarding company headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
The same twelve-month reporting period. Cash after capital spending is before dividends, buybacks and debt repayments.
Latest reported margin 9.8% · Annual-history median 10.1%
Compare annual results with the latest trailing period. The periods may overlap. The median describes the available history; it is not an assumed future margin.
The latest reporting periods, earnings quality and the longer financial record.
Start with the latest quarters, then check whether the longer record supports the same view.
Compare completed quarters with the same periods a year earlier. Annual year-end: 2025-12-31.
Reported revenue in USD. Growth can include acquisitions, exchange-rate changes and price changes.
Operating profit shows the business before financing and tax. Net income can also reflect asset sales and other one-off items.
Latest quarter against the same quarter last year. The sales effect holds the old margin fixed; the remaining change comes from the margin. These two amounts add up to the change in operating profit.
Cash can move sharply between quarters. Check the four-quarter comparison and working-capital changes before drawing a conclusion.
Same quarter one year earlier. Receivables and inventory are balances at the reporting date; sales cover the quarter. Faster growth can tie up cash, but acquisitions and payment timing can also explain a change.
Year-to-date comparisons require every completed quarter since the annual year-end and a matching prior-year period. Missing periods are not treated as zero. Figures may include subsequent restatements.
Annual revenue changed +4.4% between the latest two reported years.
See the figures ↓Operating profit was 9.5% of revenue, a change of -0.3 percentage points.
See the figures ↓Operating cash flow was 1.24 times net income. Working capital and non-cash charges can explain the difference.
See the figures ↓Weighted diluted shares changed -3.9%. Compare this with buyback spending; splits and acquisitions can also change the count.
See the figures ↓Reported financial years. Amounts in USD.
The proportion of sales left as operating profit and cash after capital spending.
Cash after capital spending still has to cover debt repayments and other commitments.
Cash spent, shown as positive amounts. Compare buybacks with changes in the diluted share count.
Weighted diluted shares from the annual statements. Share splits, acquisitions and employee awards can also change the total.
Inventory and receivables as a percentage of annual sales. Increasing amounts can tie up cash; business seasonality also matters.
Financial year ending 2025-12-31. Reported categories may overlap; they are not assumed to add up to total revenue.
| Category | Revenue (USD) |
|---|---|
| Customs Brokerage And Other Services ↗ | 4271167000 |
| Airfreight Services ↗ | 3982882000 |
| Ocean Freight And Ocean Services ↗ | 2814960000 |
| Financial year | Revenue | Operating profit | Net income | Operating cash | Cash after capital spending | Diluted shares | Published |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-31 ↗ | 8138365000.0 | 796563000.0 | 618199000.0 | 572804000.0 | 525330000.0 | 177833000.0 | 2021-02-19 |
| 2019-12-31 ↗ | 7942417000.0 | 766692000.0 | 590395000.0 | 771689000.0 | 724667000.0 | 174209000.0 | 2022-03-15 |
| 2020-12-31 ↗ | 9584393000.0 | 940437000.0 | 696140000.0 | 654969000.0 | 607426000.0 | 170896000.0 | 2023-03-01 |
| 2021-12-31 ↗ | 16523517000.0 | 1909326000.0 | 1415492000.0 | 868494000.0 | 832247000.0 | 171250000.0 | 2024-02-23 |
| 2022-12-31 ↗ | 17071284000.0 | 1824371000.0 | 1357399000.0 | 2129675000.0 | 2042851000.0 | 164427000.0 | 2025-02-21 |
| 2023-12-31 ↗ | 9300110000.0 | 939933000.0 | 752883000.0 | 1053191000.0 | 1013877000.0 | 150186000.0 | 2026-02-25 |
| 2024-12-31 ↗ | 10600515000.0 | 1041323000.0 | 810073000.0 | 723361000.0 | 682895000.0 | 141722000.0 | 2026-02-25 |
| 2025-12-31 ↗ | 11069009000.0 | 1052546000.0 | 810332000.0 | 1006501000.0 | 953400000.0 | 136249000.0 | 2026-02-25 |
Amounts use each statement’s reported currency. Historical figures can include later restatements. Weighted diluted shares are an annual earnings measure, not the current share count used for valuation.
Separate the operating result, financing, tax and share count. Compare the same quarter a year apart.
Its contribution was $101.88m. The bridge reconciles the two quarters; it does not by itself establish whether the change will repeat.
See the figures ↓At the old share count, current profit would produce EPS of $1.95. The changed share count contributes $+0.08 per share. This does not attribute all changes in shares to buybacks.
See the figures ↓The latest quarter reported $266.23m net income and $178.64m operating cash. The difference includes non-cash expenses and working capital; one quarter can be seasonal.
See the figures ↓USD. Components add up to the total change. Non-operating items can include interest, investment income and other gains or charges.
Reported diluted EPS is checked against profit divided by weighted diluted shares. Split periods are excluded. The share-count effect is measured after the profit change.
USD. Cash timing can differ from profit recognition. Use several quarters to check whether a difference persists.
No reviewed schedule of unusual profit items is recorded. Reported profit is not assumed to be recurring profit.
Growth from pricing, volume, acquisitions and currency is identified only when the company provides a matching breakdown. A financial bridge explains the arithmetic, not the business cause. Gains are positive and charges negative in the unusual-item schedule.
Compare the cash generated by the business with investment, acquisitions, dividends and buybacks.
Cash after capital spending is before acquisitions, dividends and buybacks. A full remaining-cash figure is shown only when all those amounts are matched; missing payments are never zero. A shortfall may be met by cash balances, borrowing or asset sales. These figures do not establish the funding source or the return on new investment.
These cash measures show funding needs. They do not calculate the return on new investment. That requires comparable invested capital, after-tax operating profit and a supported required return. Acquisitions, disposals and accounting changes need separate treatment. Check the return-on-capital comparison in Peers & sector where those inputs are available.
Performance, earnings and valuation compared with the market and other companies.
Separate the company’s move from the wider market. Then examine the change in earnings and the price paid for them.
Both series start at 100 on the same date. Completed weekly prices; dividends are excluded. A sector fund represents its own holdings and weighting, which differ from the equally weighted sector statistics above.
At the old earnings multiple, the latest trailing EPS would imply $138.65. The actual close was $192.60.
2025-09-12 to 2026-09-11. The earnings contribution holds the starting P/E fixed; the remaining change comes from the P/E. This is an accounting comparison, not a fair-value estimate or proof of why investors traded.
0.0% from the highest weekly close; 70.2% above the lowest.
Position in the range is useful context. It does not establish whether the business is cheap or expensive.
Compare reported earnings, the market’s response and changes in expectations.
Weekly prices are matched only after a recorded results date. A reporting-week move includes other news. EPS from earnings releases may differ from statutory diluted EPS. Historical revisions can change this comparison; it is not a trading backtest.
4 beats and 0 misses across the last 4 comparable quarters. Earnings-release figures may use an adjusted basis and differ from the financial statements.
From the weekly close before the announcement to the first weekly close after it, and to approximately four weeks later. These are weekly-window returns, not a one-day reaction. Other news also affects price.
P/E is available for 157 of 157 weekly observations. There are no missing earnings observations in this displayed period. Select Trailing EPS to inspect the earnings behind the ratio.
P/E at 2026-09-11: 28.0× · Median across positive-earnings weeks: 23.9×. Loss-making weeks are excluded from this median.
Uses earnings-release EPS, which can differ from the statement EPS used in peer factors. A low multiple can reflect weaker expected earnings.
Price return excludes dividends. Earnings growth and multiple changes require positive EPS at both ends of the comparison.
Weekly prices are matched only after a recorded results date. A reporting-week move includes other news. EPS from earnings releases may differ from statutory diluted EPS. Historical revisions can change this comparison; it is not a trading backtest.
Compare the price of the business with what it earns. Then check whether the wider sector is helping.
Enterprise value / EBITDA is 19.8× for EXPD, versus a peer median of 11.0×. Its operating margin is 9.8% versus 3.4%. Business mix and growth expectations can explain the difference.
EXPD is the larger teal dot. Each other dot is a named peer. Move right for greater profitability; move up for a higher valuation multiple.
EXPD is shown in teal. The comparison uses 12 selected peers out of 19 other covered listings in Integrated Freight & Logistics.
Active US common listings in the same industry; up to 12 peers nearest in market value. Identified preferred shares, warrants, rights and units are excluded. Matching company names and labelled share classes count once, using the listing with the largest stored market value; the target's other identified classes are excluded. This metadata screen is not a complete issuer-identity check. Medians require at least three companies per measure. All use the same published week and factor universe. Financial periods can differ and are shown below. This is a comparison of current constituents, not a backtest.
These figures cover other active US listings in the same sector and publication week. Sector membership is broader than the selected industry peers.
Percentage measures from the same published week. Profitability, growth and price performance describe different things; they are not added together.
Operating marginEXPD 9.8% · Sector median 7.0%521 other listings with this measure
Revenue growth over one yearEXPD 6.8% · Sector median 7.0%526 other listings with this measure
Adjusted-price change over one yearEXPD 57.6% · Sector median 6.7%530 other listings with this measure
Comparisons use stored statement-based factors. Earnings-release EPS can use a different basis from these financial statements. Missing measures and unprofitable earnings multiples are omitted. Financial periods differ across issuers; matching publication weeks does not make their businesses identical.
Compare the trade-offs across closely sized businesses in the same industry. This list is not an investment ranking.
The trade-off is less favourable operating margin, net debt / ebitda, sales growth.
JBHT financial period 2026-06-30. Published prices 2026-09-11. Differences in product mix, geography and accounting can limit comparability.
Read JBHT's case ↗| Measure | EXPD | JBHT |
|---|---|---|
| EV / EBITDA | 19.85× | 15.85× |
| Operating margin | 9.83% | 7.52% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.37× | 0.68× |
| Sales growth | 6.77% | 5.28% |
The trade-off is less favourable ev / ebitda, operating margin, net debt / ebitda, sales growth.
CHRW financial period 2026-06-30. Published prices 2026-09-11. Differences in product mix, geography and accounting can limit comparability.
Read CHRW's case ↗| Measure | EXPD | CHRW |
|---|---|---|
| EV / EBITDA | 19.85× | 21.08× |
| Operating margin | 9.83% | 4.90% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.37× | 1.95× |
| Sales growth | 6.77% | -0.09% |
The trade-off is less favourable operating margin, net debt / ebitda.
FDX financial period 2026-05-31. Published prices 2026-09-11. Differences in product mix, geography and accounting can limit comparability.
Read FDX's case ↗| Measure | EXPD | FDX |
|---|---|---|
| EV / EBITDA | 19.85× | 9.41× |
| Operating margin | 9.83% | 6.99% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.37× | 2.70× |
| Sales growth | 6.77% | 7.73% |
The trade-off is less favourable operating margin, net debt / ebitda, sales growth.
UPS financial period 2026-06-30. Published prices 2026-09-11. Differences in product mix, geography and accounting can limit comparability.
Read UPS's case ↗| Measure | EXPD | UPS |
|---|---|---|
| EV / EBITDA | 19.85× | 10.48× |
| Operating margin | 9.83% | 7.31% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.37× | 2.30× |
| Sales growth | 6.77% | -0.33% |
The trade-off is less favourable ev / ebitda, operating margin, sales growth.
LSTR financial period 2026-06-30. Published prices 2026-09-11. Differences in product mix, geography and accounting can limit comparability.
Read LSTR's case ↗| Measure | EXPD | LSTR |
|---|---|---|
| EV / EBITDA | 19.85× | 23.94× |
| Operating margin | 9.83% | 3.44% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.37× | -0.65× |
| Sales growth | 6.77% | 3.77% |
The trade-off is less favourable operating margin, net debt / ebitda.
GXO financial period 2026-06-30. Published prices 2026-09-11. Differences in product mix, geography and accounting can limit comparability.
Read GXO's case ↗| Measure | EXPD | GXO |
|---|---|---|
| EV / EBITDA | 19.85× | 11.61× |
| Operating margin | 9.83% | 3.28% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.37× | 5.83× |
| Sales growth | 6.77% | 12.55% |
The published target, its assumptions and alternative valuation methods.
A higher valuation comes with stronger profitability. Year-to-date profit has improved, but price has outpaced earnings.
A sufficiently complete, positive earnings record allows the stock's own P/E history to be used.
The assessment checks earnings and, where suitable, an alternative cash-flow approach. It still needs current financials, complete inputs and a model suitable for automatic publication. “Not rated” means those requirements are not met; it does not mean Hold.
Across 2 completed quarters since 2025-12-31, net income was 495.8m versus 387.4m in the matching prior-year periods (USD). Check whether the latest quarter changes that direction.
Review the evidence ↓Return on invested capital: 53.8% for EXPD, against 8.3% across 11 comparable peers.
Review the evidence ↓Over 1 year (2025-09-12 to 2026-09-11), price changed +55.9% and trailing EPS changed +12.3%. A wider gap changes the earnings multiple; it does not establish fair value.
Review the evidence ↓Cash after capital spending / profit: 1.0× for EXPD, against 1.3× across 7 comparable peers.
Review the evidence ↓Methods are considered by business suitability and completeness of evidence. The model does not select whichever produces the highest target.
| Method | Input checks | Outstanding requirements |
|---|---|---|
| Earnings and historical valuation · Selected | Passed | Required inputs are available. Publication safeguards apply separately. |
| Cash flow across the cycle | Incomplete | Recorded cash-flow, investment, debt, cash, preferred stock, minority interests and share-count inputs are required; missing amounts are not assumed to be zero. Missing: interest expense (trailing twelve months). |
The model estimates earnings for the 12-month period ending on the target date, then applies a P/E from this stock's own weekly history. It uses the same earnings-release EPS basis for both. Other valuation methods below remain separate comparisons.
Sales growth starts at the median of the latest four quarterly year-on-year changes, limited to −20% to +30%. The central net margin moves halfway towards the median of up to five annual results. Projected statement profit changes are applied proportionally to trailing release EPS, assuming a constant share count and earnings basis. Reporting lag is included in the projection period.
The central multiple is the median usable historical P/E. Ordinary weaker and stronger cases vary growth, margin and P/E around the central assumptions using observed dispersion and the stated business-specific minimum bands. The combined sales contraction and multiple shock is a separate severe stress. These are explicit SM assumptions, not analyst consensus.
Historical profits may contain unusual items. Neither a historical median nor the reconciliation thresholds establish recurring earnings. Changes in the business, dilution, acquisitions or accounting treatment can invalidate the assumptions.
Buy: at least 15.0% price upside (the higher of 15% or half the stock's annualised volatility), upside at least as large as the weaker-case decline, and passing cash and debt checks. Sell: at least 15% central price downside. Hold: the remaining rated cases. Dividends, fees and tax are excluded.
For Buy, operating cash must cover at least 80% of statement profit and cash after capital spending must be positive. Debt must be covered by cash, or net debt / EBITDA must be no more than 3 with interest cover of at least 3.
Publication safeguards. Model estimates below one quarter or above four times the current price require a separate valuation review. Cash-flow estimates also require review when more than 90% of their absolute present value comes from after year five. These are SM review thresholds; they do not cap the calculated value or move it towards the market price.
This is an automated research assessment. The policy has not yet been validated against subsequent stock returns. It does not account for your portfolio, tax position or investment needs.
New data refreshes the evidence. A formal review determines whether the published assessment changes. Editing the valuation controls below changes your scenario only. Saving your case preserves this dated assessment alongside your assumptions.
| Check | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Recent price | Passed | Weekly close dated 2026-09-11. |
| Suitable business model | Passed | Value operating cash flow or comparable earnings; deduct debt and other ownership claims where appropriate. |
| Four quarters | Passed | Four quarters ending 2026-06-30. Open evidence ↓ |
| Current financials | Passed | Statements through 2026-06-30; factor prices dated 2026-09-11. |
| Annual record | Passed | 5 consecutive annual profit margins, including loss years. Open evidence ↓ |
| Comparable earnings history | Passed | P/E is usable in 157 of 157 weeks. At least 52 usable weeks and 70% coverage are required; excluding too many loss or missing weeks would bias the target. Open evidence ↓ |
| Earnings and price dates | Passed | Earnings-release EPS $6.87, for four quarters ending 2026-06-30. |
| Price risk | Passed | Risk uses the latest 52 weekly price changes. |
| Comparable sales growth | Passed | Growth uses the median of four quarterly year-on-year comparisons. |
| Positive statement earnings | Passed | Trailing statement profit is positive. |
| Earnings reconciliation | Passed | Release EPS is $6.87; statement-derived EPS is $7.07. The difference is within the 5% review threshold; this does not prove there are no unusual items. Open evidence ↓ |
| Statement totals | Passed | The latest four quarters agree with the trailing snapshot within 5%. |
| Cash and borrowing | Passed | Cash generation, debt and interest-cover figures are available. Open evidence ↓ |
| Ownership source reconciliation | Review needed | Conflicting dated amounts need reconciliation before a target can be published: net ppe. |
Model version: sm-assessment-12-rating-balance. Published price: $192.60 on 2026-09-11. The upside above uses the latest close. Review policy and original record ↓
A current target is not published. The outstanding checks must be resolved before a price disagreement can be assessed.
| Measure | At publication | Latest | Improvement threshold | Deterioration threshold | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterly sales growth | 32.07% | 32.07% | ≥ 37.07% | ≤ 27.07% | Within starting range |
| Quarterly operating margin | 9.98% | 9.98% | ≥ 11.98% | ≤ 7.98% | Within starting range |
| Operating cash / profit | 1.06× | 1.06× | ≥ 1.26× | ≤ 0.86× | Within starting range |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.37× | -0.37× | ≤ -0.87× | ≥ 0.13× | Within starting range |
New results, restatements, material disclosures and unresolved share changes require review. A sustained price change can change the rating comparison without changing the target. Company evidence, risk and uncertainty must still support the classification. Dividends are assessed separately where verified.
Funding needs, adverse conditions and the effect of a holding on your portfolio.
Review borrowing and company disclosures alongside interest rates and commodity markets.
Balance-sheet figures from 2026-09-11. Cash may be needed to run the business.
Illustration: interest rates rise by 1 percentage point on the stated portion of debt. Existing fixed rates and hedges may delay or reduce the effect. This is not a debt-maturity schedule.
Each dot is one shared week. Bond and commodity funds are price proxies; their returns also reflect fund construction and expenses.
Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. A relationship can change and may reflect broader market movements. It does not prove a customer, currency or commodity exposure.
We generate the major portion of our air and ocean freight revenues by purchasing transportation services on a volume basis from direct (asset-based) carriers and then reselling that space to our customers. The rate billed to our customers (the sell rate) is recognized as revenues and the rate we pay to the carrier (the buy rate) is recognized in operating expenses as the directly related cost of transportation and other expenses. By consolidating shipments from multiple customers and concentrating our buying power, we are able to negotiate favorable buy rates from the direct carriers, while a…Read in the filing ↗
Our worldwide operations require that we transact in a multitude of currencies other than the U.S. dollar. That exposes us to the inherent risks of volatile international currency markets and governmental interference. Some of the countries where we maintain offices and/or have agency relationships maintain strict currency control regulations that influence our ability to hedge foreign currency exposure. We try to compensate for these exposures by accelerating international currency settlements among our offices or agents.Read in the filing ↗
Compare your current mix with a proposed holding in EXPD. Holdings entered here are used for this calculation and are not saved.
Shows contributions to variance using shared weekly observations. A negative contribution means a holding offset some movements over this period.
Results against forecasts, your saved research, review decisions and data checks.
The published assessment is suspended. See the data checks and review record.
Understand the business. Review sales, profit and cash generation. Open the evidence link beneath each conclusion.
Test the assumptions. A valuation is a scenario. Change growth, margins and the discount rate to see how much the result depends on them.
Keep track. Save your own reasons and conditions. Revisit them after results. Figures show their observation dates. Data notes explain unavailable information.
Follow the forecasts behind the current assessment. Earlier versions remain in the full record. Price movements alone do not settle the business case.
No forecast matching the current assessment has been recorded. Earlier forecasts, if any, remain in the full record. The published assessment and its review conditions remain available below.
Forecasts are frozen when recorded. Actuals use the matching full financial year or four reported quarters, on the forecast's stated profit basis. Dated results are retained; restatements are recorded separately. Forecasts made after the period began are identified. Revisions, overlapping periods and preview records are not independent evidence of forecasting skill.
Set measurable conditions for your investment case, then compare them with new company data.
Margin and cash conditions use the latest trailing statements where available. Revenue growth compares reported annual years. Factor figures through 2026-09-11.
Through 2026-06-30. Compare the next quarter with the same period a year earlier. Check whether growth speeds up or slows down.
Through 2026-06-30. Check whether the next results retain the latest margin. Separate recurring improvements from one-off gains.
Through 2026-06-30. Check the cumulative result as each new quarter is added. Compare the same number of quarters last year.
Compare growth with the previous year and the current forecast.
Check whether operating profit keeps pace with sales.
Check whether profit is turning into operating cash.
Check whether debt is falling relative to earnings.
Keep a dated copy of your reasoning, valuation assumptions and conditions. New saves preserve earlier versions.
Conditions are checked against the latest available figures when you open this report. This does not place trades or send email alerts.
Sign in to keep your research and review changes over time.
Current data checks do not support an active rating. The reasons for withholding a target have changed.
| Measure | At publication | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterly sales growth | 32.07% | 32.07% | Within starting range |
| Quarterly operating margin | 9.98% | 9.98% | Within starting range |
| Operating cash / profit | 1.06× | 1.06× | Within starting range |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.37× | -0.37× | Within starting range |
Recheck the business, assumptions and valuation. The target keeps its original end date until that horizon expires. A routine data refresh does not issue a new rating.
New results, revised financial statements, a material company disclosure, a change in the valuation method or failing cash and debt checks trigger a review. Same-period guidance revisions require at least 5% for EPS or 10% for other measures. Consensus EPS revisions require 10% and at least three analysts.
A price-only signal must persist for 14 days across separate completed weeks. Rating changes normally wait at least 30 days and must clear five-percentage-point entry and exit bands. A direct Buy-to-Sell or Sell-to-Buy change requires material company evidence.
Missing essential data, an unresolved material event or a share-basis change can suspend a call immediately. An expired target or data check more than three days overdue is not shown as an active rating. Original assessments remain in the record.
A reviewed target normally changes only by 5% or more; a rating change or an expired horizon can also require a new assessment. These are explicit research-policy thresholds, not statistically proven trading rules. Policy sm-review-2-research.
| Published | Rating | Target | Target date | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 · 2 ↗ | Not rated | Suspended / unavailable | 2027-09-15 | Current data checks do not support an active rating. The reasons for withholding a target have changed. |
| 2026-09-15 · 1 ↗ | Not rated | Suspended / unavailable | 2027-09-15 | First recorded assessment. Current data checks do not support an active rating. |
Current data checks do not support an active rating.
The reasons for withholding a target have changed.
A new earnings release is available.
The available valuation method changed; check it at the next formal valuation review.
Current data checks do not support an active rating.
First recorded assessment.
Current data checks do not support an active rating.
Forecast errors in sales, operating profit and cash are recorded separately from share-price outcomes. Preview records never enter live accuracy figures.
There are no completed live operating forecasts to assess yet. A useful record takes time; historical fits and preview scenarios are not substituted for it.
Forecasts are frozen when recorded. Actuals use the matching full financial year or four reported quarters, on the forecast's stated profit basis. Dated results are retained; restatements are recorded separately. Forecasts made after the period began are identified. Revisions, overlapping periods and preview records are not independent evidence of forecasting skill. Read the share-price assessment record ↗
Automated checks cover dates, units and accounting relationships. A matched filing fact confirms that reported amount and basis; it does not establish recurring earnings or validate a forecast.
Value operating cash flow or comparable earnings; deduct debt and other ownership claims where appropriate.
17 of 18 checks passed. 117 financial cells have a matched filing basis; 0 other recorded cells have not been matched to a standard filing fact here. Missing company-specific measures and forecast coverage are explained in their sections.
| Check | Status | What it checks |
|---|---|---|
| Price observations | Passed | Prices must be positive, finite, in date order and have no duplicate weeks. |
| Historical price basis | Passed | No material split or distribution discontinuity was found between the two price histories. |
| Price date | Passed | The latest completed close must be no more than 14 days old. |
| Business model | Passed | Value operating cash flow or comparable earnings; deduct debt and other ownership claims where appropriate. |
| Earnings and share units | Passed | Earnings, profit and weighted shares are reconciled before per-share growth is used. No conflicting per-share comparisons were found. |
| Balance-sheet totals | Passed | Assets must reconcile to liabilities and equity, allowing separately reported minority interests and 1% rounding tolerance. No conflicting complete balance sheets were found. |
| Consolidated depreciation | Passed | Depreciation from a cash-flow reconciliation is distinguished from expense components. Conflicting amounts are excluded until the statement establishes their scope. No unresolved component-versus-total conflict was found. |
| Statement currency | Passed | Valuation cash flows and the share price must use the same currency; amounts are not silently converted. |
| Publication dates | Passed | Future financial periods and future filing dates cannot enter the assessment. |
| Known reporting dates | Passed | 0 of the latest four quarters have no stored publication date. These cannot support a point-in-time claim. |
| Cash-flow identities | Passed | Operating cash plus negative capital spending must equal cash after capital spending. All comparable stored periods reconcile within 1%. |
| Operating-profit basis | Passed | 4 of the latest four quarters have an explicit reported operating-income basis. EBIT may include non-operating items; it is not automatically treated as operating income. |
| Filed and stored totals | Passed | 0 trailing input totals differ from the stored snapshot. The matched filed totals are used in this report; original figures remain in the reconciliation table. |
| Ownership source reconciliation | Review needed | Conflicting dated amounts need reconciliation before a target can be published: net ppe. |
| Financial period | Passed | The valuation needs a financial period no more than 150 days old. |
| Corporate-action basis | Passed | A split after the financial period needs a reviewed reconciliation of shares, earnings per share and the quoted price. |
| Share count | Passed | Per-share enterprise and book values require a positive current share count. |
| Ownership and debt amounts | Passed | Debt, cash, preferred stock and minority interests cannot be negative. |
SM Virtual Analyst is an automated research report for general information. Its model ratings and price targets are not personal investment advice, an offer to trade, or a guarantee of value or return. The report does not consider your financial circumstances, objectives, tax position or capacity for loss.
Reported figures can be delayed, incomplete, corrected or restated. Source checks confirm specific reported amounts and accounting relationships; they do not audit a company, establish recurring earnings or prove that a forecast is accurate. Missing information is not assumed to be zero unless a particular illustration expressly says so.
Valuations depend on the stated business model, assumptions and available data. Scenario ranges are illustrations, not probabilities, confidence intervals or limits on loss. Ratings use the disclosed review policy; they are not an independently validated prediction of future returns. Past performance and historical comparisons do not predict future results. An investment can lose its entire value.
Prices, financial periods, publication dates, model versions and review dates are shown in the report. The dated published assessment is separate from editable valuation illustrations. Unless expressly stated otherwise, price comparisons exclude dividends, fees and taxes. Check the latest company filings and subsequent events before making a decision, and seek qualified advice when needed.
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