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VSH beta and relative strength

Vishay Intertechnology Inc

VSH is weakening, but still above benchmark with very high sensitivity to SPY.

Week ending Latest completed weekly edition
Next update 15:40 UK ยท after Stage Analysis
One-year beta 2.73Very high sensitivity ยท Falling
Movement explained 25%50% weekly correlation
Relative strength+14.30Weakening, but still above benchmark
Downside beta 3.06Upside beta 2.09
One-year excess return+87.2%107.2% stock ยท 20.0% benchmark
Directional participation

VSH in rising and falling SPY weeks

These percentages count what actually happened in completed weeks. They describe historical participation, not certainty about the next move.

Latest 52-week reading Directional participation is mixed

The stock sometimes follows the benchmark, but neither direction has been consistently dependable.

71% of directional weeks moved the same way.
When SPY rose77%

VSH also rose in 77% of 31 rising benchmark weeks.

When SPY fell62%

VSH also fell in 62% of 21 falling benchmark weeks.

Market state now Range-bound market with normal movement
+3.0% over 13 weeks12.5% volatility

After 17 earlier matches by direction and movement level, more dependable when the benchmark rises.

Joined rising weeks82%
Joined falling weeks33%
Limited sample ยท 65% same-direction rate ยท 0.88 beta
Benchmark fit

VSH sensitivity to SPY

The benchmark relationship is partial and explains 25% of weekly movement over the latest year. Current beta is 2.73 and is falling.

Likely beta range1.43 to 4.04

A wider range means the beta estimate is less precise.

Beta stability72/100

How consistently rolling beta has held its level and direction.

Annualised alpha+43.2%

The weekly regression intercept annualised; it is historical, not expected return.

Tracking error61.2%

Annualised volatility of returns above or below the benchmark.

Relationship directionRelationship weakening

-14.5 point change in movement explained across two distinct 26-week windows.

Beta and benchmark fitBeta is useful with context
Weaker benchmark fitStronger benchmark fitLower sensitivityHigher sensitivity

The estimate carries information, but direction, stability or the likely range should be checked before relying on it.

Historical one-week sensitivity
If SPY rises 1%+2.09%historically associated VSH move
If SPY falls 1%-3.06%historically associated VSH move
Likely beta range 1.43 to 4.04 ยท width 2.61
Can the beta be trusted?Partial relationship
Movement explained25%
Stability72%
Directional agreement71%

Rolling beta

26-week estimates show whether market sensitivity is rising or falling.

Move across the chart to inspect a completed week.
Rolling betaMarket-like beta 1.00

Rolling relationship strength

Correlation shows direction; explained movement shows how useful the relationship has been.

Move across the chart to inspect a completed week.
CorrelationMovement explained
PeriodBetaCorrelationMovement explainedAlphaExcess returnTracking error
6 months2.5846%21%+69.2%+50.3%74.6%
1 year2.7350%25%+43.2%+87.2%61.2%
2 years2.1555%31%+3.2%+20.7%53.1%
3 years1.8652%27%-17.9%-55.5%45.7%
5 years1.3650%25%+0.3%-27.5%38.4%
Relative strength

VSH relative strength against SPY

The score compares the stock/benchmark ratio with its trailing 52-week average. Above zero means the ratio is above trend; direction shows whether that advantage is building or fading.

Relative-strength trend

Current score 14.30 ยท 13-week change -118.67

Move across the chart to inspect a completed week.
Relative strengthZero baseline

Stock, benchmark and worthwhile peers

Each path starts at 100. Sector and industry appear only when their Market Structure indexes have enough constituents.

Move across the chart to inspect a completed week.
Sector ยท Technology-28.5 points

versus sector over 13 weeks ยท 707 constituents ยท 48% correlation

Industry ยท Semiconductors-11.9 points

versus industry over 13 weeks ยท 70 constituents ยท 75% correlation

Sensitivity to Technology1.36 beta

23% of weekly movement explained by the sector over one year.

Sensitivity to Semiconductors1.30 beta

56% of weekly movement explained by the industry over one year.

Return components

13-week and 52-week returns relative to SPY

This is a return bridge, not a claim of cause. It starts with the benchmark return, then shows the difference added at sector, industry and ticker level.

Last 13 weeks-35.9 points vs benchmark
Broad market+3.0%
Sector difference-7.4%
Industry difference-16.6%
Ticker difference-11.9%

The largest source of relative weakness was the industry difference. VSH returned -33.0%; SPY returned 3.0%.

Last 52 weeks+87.2 points vs benchmark
Broad market+20.0%
Sector difference-20.5%
Industry difference+51.9%
Ticker difference+55.9%

The largest source of relative strength was the ticker difference. VSH returned 107.2%; SPY returned 20.0%.

Market conditions

VSH in rising and falling benchmark weeks

Downside beta is higher than upside beta, so weak benchmark weeks have carried more sensitivity.

Upside beta2.09348% upside capture
Downside beta3.06239% downside capture
Current splitMore exposed in falling markets-0.97 beta gap
ConditionWeeksVSH averageSPY averageBetaBeat benchmark
Benchmark up31+5.11%+1.47%2.0968%
Benchmark down21-3.01%-1.26%3.0638%
Strongest benchmark weeks10+7.60%+2.85%4.1580%
Weakest benchmark weeks10-5.69%-1.99%-6.5030%
Quieter benchmark weeks26+3.24%+0.28%2.7365%
Historical extremes

Strongest and weakest 13-week relative periods

Distinct 13-week windows prevent one long move from filling the list with overlapping dates.

Strongest relative periods

2026-03-27 to 2026-06-19+275.0 pts

VSH 290.4% ยท SPY 15.4%

The return pattern shows that the sector moved the same way, and the industry added to the move, and the ticker moved beyond its peer backdrop.
2025-11-28 to 2026-02-20+53.4 pts

VSH 58.3% ยท SPY 4.9%

The return pattern shows that the industry added to the move, and the ticker moved beyond its peer backdrop.
2025-04-18 to 2025-07-11+43.8 pts

VSH 61.0% ยท SPY 17.1%

The return pattern shows that the sector moved the same way, and the industry added to the move, and the ticker moved beyond its peer backdrop.

Weakest relative periods

2026-05-29 to 2026-08-21-35.9 pts

VSH -33.0% ยท SPY 3.0%

The return pattern shows that the sector moved the same way, and the industry added to the move, and the ticker moved beyond its peer backdrop.
2024-08-02 to 2024-10-25-32.2 pts

VSH -25.5% ยท SPY 6.7%

The return pattern shows that the sector moved the same way, and the industry added to the move, and the ticker moved beyond its peer backdrop.
2025-01-17 to 2025-04-11-23.6 pts

VSH -31.4% ยท SPY -7.7%

The return pattern shows that the sector moved the same way, and the industry added to the move, and the ticker moved beyond its peer backdrop.
Pressure and timing

Drawdowns and lead/lag relationship

The strongest link is in the same week. Lead/lag evidence is treated as secondary because timing relationships can change quickly.

Drawdown from each rolling high

Worst available drawdown: VSH -60.7% ยท SPY -23.9%

Move across the chart to inspect a completed week.
VSH drawdownSPY drawdown
Ticker leads 2w
2%
Ticker leads 1w
-11%
Same week
52%
Benchmark leads 1w
10%
Benchmark leads 2w
1%
Observable signals

Signals that would confirm or change the reading

These are conditions to monitor, not price targets or forecasts.

Relative strengthAbove the zero baseline

A fall through zero would show that the stock/benchmark ratio has moved below its trailing one-year average.

Up/down beta-0.97 upside-minus-downside gap

Downside beta is higher than upside beta. A narrowing gap would be the first sign of better asymmetry.

Exposure trendBeta is falling

Rising beta means broad-market moves are carrying more weight; falling beta means ticker-specific forces are carrying more weight.

Peer confirmation-11.9 points versus Semiconductors over 13 weeks

Strength shared by the peer group is broader; strength confined to the ticker is more company-specific and usually less stable.

Method and limits

Data and interpretation limits

Data
Completed weekly observations from 2020-09-04 to 2026-08-21 ยท 312 aligned weeks.
Current reading
52 weeks; rolling charts use 26 weeks.
Relative strength
Stock/benchmark ratio compared with its trailing 52-week average.
Peer evidence
At least 10 sector constituents and 5 industry constituents. Thin groups are excluded.
Boundary
Historical relationship analysis, not a forecast or a statement of cause. Historical relationships can break without warning.

Evidence context