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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ NASDAQ ยท Basic Materials ยท Other Industrial Metals & Mining

IPX beta and relative strength

IperionX Limited American Depositary Share

IPX is weakening below benchmark with very high sensitivity to QQQ.

Week ending Latest completed weekly edition
Next update 15:40 UK ยท after Stage Analysis
One-year beta 2.52Very high sensitivity ยท Stable
Movement explained 24%49% weekly correlation
Relative strength-46.46Weakening below benchmark
Downside beta 3.06Upside beta 2.41
One-year excess return-71.4%-46.2% stock ยท 25.2% benchmark
Directional participation

IPX in rising and falling QQQ weeks

These percentages count what actually happened in completed weeks. They describe historical participation, not certainty about the next move.

Latest 52-week reading Directional participation is mixed

The stock sometimes follows the benchmark, but neither direction has been consistently dependable.

67% of directional weeks moved the same way.
When QQQ rose62%

IPX also rose in 62% of 29 rising benchmark weeks.

When QQQ fell74%

IPX also fell in 74% of 23 falling benchmark weeks.

Market state now Range-bound market with active movement
-0.5% over 13 weeks21.8% volatility

After 17 earlier matches by direction and movement level, usually moves with the benchmark both ways.

Joined rising weeks69%
Joined falling weeks75%
Limited sample ยท 71% same-direction rate ยท 0.71 beta
Benchmark fit

IPX sensitivity to QQQ

The benchmark relationship is partial and explains 24% of weekly movement over the latest year. Current beta is 2.52 and is stable.

Likely beta range1.29 to 3.75

A wider range means the beta estimate is less precise.

Beta stability9/100

How consistently rolling beta has held its level and direction.

Annualised alpha-78.4%

The weekly regression intercept annualised; it is historical, not expected return.

Tracking error85.5%

Annualised volatility of returns above or below the benchmark.

Relationship directionRelationship forming

+29.7 point change in movement explained across two distinct 26-week windows.

Beta and benchmark fitBeta is useful with context
Weaker benchmark fitStronger benchmark fitLower sensitivityHigher sensitivity

The estimate carries information, but direction, stability or the likely range should be checked before relying on it.

Historical one-week sensitivity
If QQQ rises 1%+2.41%historically associated IPX move
If QQQ falls 1%-3.06%historically associated IPX move
Likely beta range 1.29 to 3.75 ยท width 2.46
Can the beta be trusted?Partial relationship
Movement explained24%
Stability9%
Directional agreement67%

Rolling beta

26-week estimates show whether market sensitivity is rising or falling.

Move across the chart to inspect a completed week.
Rolling betaMarket-like beta 1.00

Rolling relationship strength

Correlation shows direction; explained movement shows how useful the relationship has been.

Move across the chart to inspect a completed week.
CorrelationMovement explained
PeriodBetaCorrelationMovement explainedAlphaExcess returnTracking error
6 months2.8862%38%-169.7%-64.1%89.7%
1 year2.5249%24%-78.4%-71.4%85.5%
2 years1.5237%14%+19.7%-7.8%79.9%
3 years1.2632%10%+36.5%+117.3%72.7%
Relative strength

IPX relative strength against QQQ

The score compares the stock/benchmark ratio with its trailing 52-week average. Above zero means the ratio is above trend; direction shows whether that advantage is building or fading.

Relative-strength trend

Current score -46.46 ยท 13-week change -28.10

Move across the chart to inspect a completed week.
Relative strengthZero baseline

Stock, benchmark and worthwhile peers

Each path starts at 100. Sector and industry appear only when their Market Structure indexes have enough constituents.

Move across the chart to inspect a completed week.
Sector ยท Basic Materials-39.9 points

versus sector over 13 weeks ยท 224 constituents ยท 73% correlation

Industry ยท Other Industrial Metals & Mining-28.4 points

versus industry over 13 weeks ยท 40 constituents ยท 78% correlation

Sensitivity to Basic Materials2.62 beta

53% of weekly movement explained by the sector over one year.

Sensitivity to Other Industrial Metals & Mining1.57 beta

61% of weekly movement explained by the industry over one year.

Return components

13-week and 52-week returns relative to QQQ

This is a return bridge, not a claim of cause. It starts with the benchmark return, then shows the difference added at sector, industry and ticker level.

Last 13 weeks-39.7 points vs benchmark
Broad market-0.5%
Sector difference+0.1%
Industry difference-11.5%
Ticker difference-28.4%

The largest source of relative weakness was the ticker difference. IPX returned -40.2%; QQQ returned -0.5%.

Last 52 weeks-71.4 points vs benchmark
Broad market+25.2%
Sector difference+0.5%
Industry difference-3.8%
Ticker difference-68.1%

The largest source of relative weakness was the ticker difference. IPX returned -46.2%; QQQ returned 25.2%.

Market conditions

IPX in rising and falling benchmark weeks

Downside beta is higher than upside beta, so weak benchmark weeks have carried more sensitivity.

Upside beta2.41181% upside capture
Downside beta3.06325% downside capture
Current splitMore exposed in falling markets-0.65 beta gap
ConditionWeeksIPX averageQQQ averageBetaBeat benchmark
Benchmark up29+4.15%+2.29%2.4155%
Benchmark down23-5.99%-1.84%3.0635%
Strongest benchmark weeks10+9.06%+4.05%5.4570%
Weakest benchmark weeks10-12.31%-3.12%-1.1520%
Quieter benchmark weeks26+1.18%+0.23%1.3850%
Historical extremes

Strongest and weakest 13-week relative periods

Distinct 13-week windows prevent one long move from filling the list with overlapping dates.

Strongest relative periods

2025-04-18 to 2025-07-11+103.0 pts

IPX 125.1% ยท QQQ 22.1%

The return pattern shows that the industry added to the move, and the ticker moved beyond its peer backdrop.
2024-08-30 to 2024-11-22+77.1 pts

IPX 82.6% ยท QQQ 5.5%

The return pattern shows that the industry added to the move, and the ticker moved beyond its peer backdrop.
2025-07-18 to 2025-10-10+58.5 pts

IPX 65.0% ยท QQQ 6.5%

The return pattern shows that the sector moved the same way, and the industry added to the move, and the ticker moved beyond its peer backdrop.

Weakest relative periods

2026-01-30 to 2026-04-24-57.7 pts

IPX -51.0% ยท QQQ 6.6%

The return pattern shows that the sector moved the same way, and the industry added to the move, and the ticker moved beyond its peer backdrop.
2025-01-17 to 2025-04-11-43.6 pts

IPX -53.9% ยท QQQ -10.3%

The return pattern shows that the industry added to the move, and the ticker moved beyond its peer backdrop.
2026-05-15 to 2026-08-07-40.9 pts

IPX -39.1% ยท QQQ 1.8%

The return pattern shows that the sector moved the same way, and the industry added to the move, and the ticker moved beyond its peer backdrop.
Pressure and timing

Drawdowns and lead/lag relationship

The strongest link is in the same week. Lead/lag evidence is treated as secondary because timing relationships can change quickly.

Drawdown from each rolling high

Worst available drawdown: IPX -65.5% ยท QQQ -21.3%

Move across the chart to inspect a completed week.
IPX drawdownQQQ drawdown
Ticker leads 2w
2%
Ticker leads 1w
11%
Same week
32%
Benchmark leads 1w
8%
Benchmark leads 2w
3%
Observable signals

Signals that would confirm or change the reading

These are conditions to monitor, not price targets or forecasts.

Relative strengthBelow the zero baseline

A sustained move above zero would mark a meaningful repair in the stock/benchmark ratio.

Up/down beta-0.65 upside-minus-downside gap

Downside beta is higher than upside beta. A narrowing gap would be the first sign of better asymmetry.

Exposure trendBeta is stable

Rising beta means broad-market moves are carrying more weight; falling beta means ticker-specific forces are carrying more weight.

Peer confirmation-28.4 points versus Other Industrial Metals & Mining over 13 weeks

Strength shared by the peer group is broader; strength confined to the ticker is more company-specific and usually less stable.

Method and limits

Data and interpretation limits

Data
Completed weekly observations from 2022-07-01 to 2026-08-21 ยท 217 aligned weeks.
Current reading
52 weeks; rolling charts use 26 weeks.
Relative strength
Stock/benchmark ratio compared with its trailing 52-week average.
Peer evidence
At least 10 sector constituents and 5 industry constituents. Thin groups are excluded.
Boundary
Historical relationship analysis, not a forecast or a statement of cause. Historical relationships can break without warning.

Evidence context