Company valuation ยท Consumer Cyclical
BURL: Hold with a $352.52 price target
Burlington Stores Inc. Year-to-date profit has improved, but capital spending changes the cash picture.
- Model target ยท USD
- $352.52 For 2027-09-15
- Model rating
- Hold Reviewed 2026-09-16
- Reference weekly close
- $239.04 2026-09-11 ยท USD

Investment view
Year-to-date profit has improved, but capital spending changes the cash picture.
Target and reference price
Target for 2027-09-15: $352.52 USD, +47.5% versus the $239.04 weekly close on 2026-09-11. Price return only; dividends, fees and tax excluded.
Price and earnings
Over 1 year (2025-09-12 to 2026-09-11), price changed -10.4% and trailing EPS changed +37.2%. A wider gap changes the earnings multiple; it does not establish fair value.
Supporting evidence
Across 2 completed quarters since 2026-01-31, net income was 299.0m versus 195.0m in the matching prior-year periods (USD). Check whether the latest quarter changes that direction.
The latest quarterly operating margin was 8.4%, +3.2 percentage points from a year earlier. The full report separates sales growth from margin changes.
Risks to the case
Operating cash covers 1.98 times profit, but cash after capital spending covers 0.58 times. Cash generation is stronger before the investment bill is paid.
The estimate for the period ending 2027-01-31 changed -0.1% over 30 days. Coverage is 17 analysts.
What to monitor
Watch whether cash after capital spending closes the gap with profit. It currently covers 0.58 times profit over four quarters.
The latest quarterly margin changed +3.2 percentage points from a year earlier. Check sales volumes, pricing and unusual gains in the next filing.
Recheck the valuation gap alongside profitability and growth after new results. A discount alone does not establish value.
Valuation assumptions
Starting annual sales growth: 11.15%.
Net profit margin: 4.68%.
About this assessment
Review recorded on 2026-09-16. This is a dated summary of an automated company valuation. The full report includes the financial evidence, alternative scenarios and review history. Consult the latest report before using an earlier target. Automated model research, not personal investment advice. Targets depend on assumptions; returns are not guaranteed.