Company valuation ยท Technology
PAYX: Hold with a $121.64 price target
Paychex Inc. Quarterly sales are growing, but earnings forecasts have fallen.
- Model target ยท USD
- $121.64 For 2027-09-11
- Model rating
- Hold Reviewed 2026-09-16
- Reference weekly close
- $115.80 2026-09-11 ยท USD

Investment view
Quarterly sales are growing, but earnings forecasts have fallen.
Target and reference price
Target for 2027-09-11: $121.64 USD, +5.0% versus the $115.80 weekly close on 2026-09-11. Price return only; dividends, fees and tax excluded.
Price and earnings
Over 1 year (2025-09-12 to 2026-09-11), price changed -14.3% and trailing EPS changed +10.6%. A wider gap changes the earnings multiple; it does not establish fair value.
Supporting evidence
Revenue changed +12.4% from the same quarter last year, through 2026-05-31. The previous quarterโs year-on-year change was +19.5%.
Over one year, the stock changed -14.3% against -30.7% for Technology (XLK). The gap is +16.4 percentage points. These are price returns, before dividends.
Risks to the case
The estimate for the period ending 2027-05-31 changed -0.1% over 30 days. Coverage is 19 analysts.
What to monitor
The latest quarterly margin changed +7.7 percentage points from a year earlier. Check sales volumes, pricing and unusual gains in the next filing.
Recheck the valuation gap alongside profitability and growth after new results. A discount alone does not establish value.
Compare the stock and the market fund over the same dates. Look for a change in relative performance as results arrive.
Valuation assumptions
Starting annual sales growth: 15%.
Long-term operating margin: 40.61%.
About this assessment
Review recorded on 2026-09-16. This is a dated summary of an automated company valuation. The full report includes the financial evidence, alternative scenarios and review history. Consult the latest report before using an earlier target. Automated model research, not personal investment advice. Targets depend on assumptions; returns are not guaranteed.