Company valuation ยท Consumer Defensive

POST: Hold with a $237.80 price target

Post Holdings Inc. More cash remains for each dollar of profit, but the profit margin narrowed.

Model target ยท USD
$237.80
For 2027-09-16
Model rating
Hold
Reviewed 2026-09-16
Reference weekly close
$80.19
2026-09-11 ยท USD
Editorial illustration of Post Holdings Inc, Packaged Foods.
Generated editorial illustration for Sharemaestro. It does not depict verified company premises or events.

Investment view

More cash remains for each dollar of profit, but the profit margin narrowed.

Target and reference price

Target for 2027-09-16: $237.80 USD, +196.6% versus the $80.19 weekly close on 2026-09-11. Price return only; dividends, fees and tax excluded.

Price and earnings

Over 1 year (2025-09-12 to 2026-09-11), price changed -23.6% and trailing EPS changed +18.5%. A wider gap changes the earnings multiple; it does not establish fair value.

Supporting evidence

Cash after capital spending / profit: 1.9ร— for POST, against 1.4ร— across 10 comparable peers.

Over the latest four quarters, operating cash was 3.39 times net income. Review receivables, inventory and non-cash charges before judging the gap.

Risks to the case

The latest quarterly operating margin was 9.7%, -2.1 percentage points from a year earlier. The full report separates sales growth from margin changes.

Across 3 completed quarters since 2025-09-30, net income was 242.1m versus 284.7m in the matching prior-year periods (USD). Check whether the latest quarter changes that direction.

What to monitor

The latest quarterly margin changed -2.1 percentage points from a year earlier. Check sales volumes, pricing and unusual gains in the next filing.

Recheck the valuation gap alongside profitability and growth after new results. A discount alone does not establish value.

Compare the stock and the market fund over the same dates. Look for a change in relative performance as results arrive.

Valuation assumptions

Starting annual sales growth: 7.39%.

Long-term operating margin: 9.7%.

About this assessment

Review recorded on 2026-09-16. This is a dated summary of an automated company valuation. The full report includes the financial evidence, alternative scenarios and review history. Consult the latest report before using an earlier target. Automated model research, not personal investment advice. Targets depend on assumptions; returns are not guaranteed.

Evidence context