Company valuation ยท Consumer Cyclical

SBH: Hold + Reduce with a $14.02 price target

Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. Quarterly sales are growing, but year-to-date profit is lower.

Model target ยท USD
$14.02
For 2027-09-17
Model rating
Hold + Reduce
Reviewed 2026-09-17
Reference weekly close
$15.96
2026-09-11 ยท USD
Editorial illustration of Sally Beauty Holdings Inc, Specialty Retail.
Generated editorial illustration for Sharemaestro. It does not depict verified company premises or events.

Investment view

Quarterly sales are growing, but year-to-date profit is lower.

Target and reference price

Target for 2027-09-17: $14.02 USD, -12.2% versus the $15.96 weekly close on 2026-09-11. Price return only; dividends, fees and tax excluded.

Price and earnings

Over 1 year (2025-09-12 to 2026-09-11), price changed +6.4% and trailing EPS changed +8.6%. A wider gap changes the earnings multiple; it does not establish fair value.

Supporting evidence

Revenue changed +0.2% from the same quarter last year, through 2026-06-30. The previous quarterโ€™s year-on-year change was +2.3%.

Net income was 54.1m, compared with 45.7m in the same quarter last year. Amounts are in USD.

Risks to the case

Across 3 completed quarters since 2025-09-30, net income was 142.3m versus 145.9m in the matching prior-year periods (USD). Check whether the latest quarter changes that direction.

Net debt / EBITDA: 3.2ร— for SBH, against 2.8ร— across 12 comparable peers.

What to monitor

The latest quarterly margin changed +0.9 percentage points from a year earlier. Check sales volumes, pricing and unusual gains in the next filing.

Recheck the valuation gap alongside profitability and growth after new results. A discount alone does not establish value.

Compare the stock and the market fund over the same dates. Look for a change in relative performance as results arrive.

Valuation assumptions

Starting annual sales growth: 0.93%.

Net profit margin: 5.05%.

About this assessment

Review recorded on 2026-09-17. This is a dated summary of an automated company valuation. The full report includes the financial evidence, alternative scenarios and review history. Consult the latest report before using an earlier target. Automated model research, not personal investment advice. Targets depend on assumptions; returns are not guaranteed.

Evidence context