Company valuation ยท Energy

SND: Hold + Reduce with a $3.19 price target

Smart Sand Inc. Year-to-date profit has improved, but quarterly profit fell.

Model target ยท USD
$3.19
For 2027-09-18
Model rating
Hold + Reduce
Reviewed 2026-09-18
Reference weekly close
$5.21
2026-09-11 ยท USD
Editorial illustration of Smart Sand Inc, Oil & Gas Equipment & Services.
Generated editorial illustration for Sharemaestro. It does not depict verified company premises or events.

Investment view

Year-to-date profit has improved, but quarterly profit fell.

Target and reference price

Target for 2027-09-18: $3.19 USD, -38.8% versus the $5.21 weekly close on 2026-09-11. Price return only; dividends, fees and tax excluded.

Price and earnings

Over 1 year (2025-09-12 to 2026-09-11), price changed +175.7% and trailing EPS changed +1102.8%. A wider gap changes the earnings multiple; it does not establish fair value.

Supporting evidence

Across 2 completed quarters since 2025-12-31, net income was 6.3m versus -2.8m in the matching prior-year periods (USD). Check whether the latest quarter changes that direction.

Cash after capital spending / profit: 3.3ร— for SND, against 1.5ร— across 8 comparable peers.

Risks to the case

Net income was 10.2m, compared with 21.4m in the same quarter last year. Amounts are in USD.

Of the latest 3 comparable quarters, 1 beat the estimate and 2 missed it. Check how price responded; a beat alone is not a reason to buy.

What to monitor

Compare the next results with the trailing margin of 2.0% and the annual-history median of -1.2%. A historical median is context, not a forecast.

The latest quarterly margin changed +8.8 percentage points from a year earlier. Check sales volumes, pricing and unusual gains in the next filing.

Recheck the valuation gap alongside profitability and growth after new results. A discount alone does not establish value.

Valuation assumptions

Starting annual sales growth: 30%.

Net profit margin: 1.56%.

About this assessment

Review recorded on 2026-09-18. This is a dated summary of an automated company valuation. The full report includes the financial evidence, alternative scenarios and review history. Consult the latest report before using an earlier target. Automated model research, not personal investment advice. Targets depend on assumptions; returns are not guaranteed.

Evidence context