Company valuation ยท Utilities

SPH: Hold with a $19.11 price target

Suburban Propane Partners LP. More cash remains for each dollar of profit, but capital spending changes the cash picture.

Model target ยท USD
$19.11
For 2027-09-17
Model rating
Hold
Reviewed 2026-09-17
Reference weekly close
$17.07
2026-09-11 ยท USD
Editorial illustration of Suburban Propane Partners LP, Utilities - Regulated Gas.
Generated editorial illustration for Sharemaestro. It does not depict verified company premises or events.

Investment view

More cash remains for each dollar of profit, but capital spending changes the cash picture.

Target and reference price

Target for 2027-09-17: $19.11 USD, +12.0% versus the $17.07 weekly close on 2026-09-11. Price return only; dividends, fees and tax excluded.

Price and earnings

Over 1 year (2025-09-12 to 2026-09-11), price changed -7.6% and trailing EPS changed +3.7%. A wider gap changes the earnings multiple; it does not establish fair value.

Supporting evidence

Cash after capital spending / profit: 0.8ร— for SPH, against -0.6ร— across 11 comparable peers.

Over one year, the stock changed -7.6% against -50.4% for Utilities (XLU). The gap is +42.8 percentage points. These are price returns, before dividends.

Risks to the case

Operating cash covers 1.39 times profit, but cash after capital spending covers 0.78 times. Cash generation is stronger before the investment bill is paid.

Net income was -17.5m, compared with -14.8m in the same quarter last year. Amounts are in USD.

What to monitor

Watch whether cash after capital spending closes the gap with profit. It currently covers 0.78 times profit over four quarters.

The latest quarterly margin changed -1.3 percentage points from a year earlier. Check sales volumes, pricing and unusual gains in the next filing.

Recheck the valuation gap alongside profitability and growth after new results. A discount alone does not establish value.

Valuation assumptions

Starting annual sales growth: -0.16%.

Net profit margin: 9.01%.

About this assessment

Review recorded on 2026-09-17. This is a dated summary of an automated company valuation. The full report includes the financial evidence, alternative scenarios and review history. Consult the latest report before using an earlier target. Automated model research, not personal investment advice. Targets depend on assumptions; returns are not guaranteed.

Evidence context