Ticker Options Intelligence

BSX options intelligence

Boston Scientific Corp options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 35 Market data through 12 Aug 2026 Checked 13 Aug 2026 11:02 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

BSX currently carries mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 4.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 4.4%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.47

Put-side skew

Trend fit 69

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +5.5%

RS -44.0

Expected move 4.4%
Put-call volume 1.47
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 0.26
Max pain 47.50
Underlying 49.31
Nearest expiry 14 Aug 2026
Contracts 834

Research Brief

BSX has a mixed chain read with 35/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 47.16–51.46; The largest call open-interest concentration is 50.00; the largest put concentration is 46.00. The most active strike by current volume is 51.00.

Priced range47.16–51.46
Call concentration50.00
Put concentration46.00
Max pain reference47.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 14 Aug

Options imply 47.16 to 51.46. Max pain at 47.50 sits inside that range, 3.7% below spot.

Spot Max pain
47.1649.31 ± 2.1551.46
Confirmation level

A close beyond 51.46 or below 47.16 at the 14 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 35/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 12/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure12 × 42%
+4.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+8.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement69 × 26%
+18.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility36 × 10%
+3.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score35.5Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 50.00; the largest put concentration is 46.00. The most active strike by current volume is 51.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
703
44.00-10.8%
23
1472
44.50-9.8%
11
2290
45.00-8.7%
282
1013
45.50-7.7%
10
4972
46.00-6.7%
22
2042
46.50-5.7%
164
224
47.00-4.7%
63
169
47.50-3.7%
297
182
48.00-2.7%
1303
81
48.50-1.6%
130
423
49.00-0.6%
282
182
49.500.4%
226
173
50.001.4%
3676
37
51.003.4%
431
4
52.005.5%
1171
2
53.007.5%
767
112
54.009.5%
231
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks · 92% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$28.3MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak50.00+$7.7M
Negative peak40.00-$2.5M
Nearest balance49.50Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
43.00-12.8%
-$17,828
43.50-11.8%
-$2,410
44.00-10.8%
-$23,519
44.50-9.8%
-$28,523
45.00-8.7%
-$365,416
45.50-7.7%
-$28,968
46.00-6.7%
-$145,453
46.50-5.7%
-$137,859
47.00-4.7%
-$452,698
47.50-3.7%
-$1,043
48.00-2.7%
-$38,677
48.50-1.6%
-$123,226
49.00-0.6%
+$1.1M
49.500.4%
-$6,249
50.001.4%
+$7.7M
51.003.4%
+$811,927
52.005.5%
+$1.5M
53.007.5%
+$694,805
54.009.5%
+$66,419
55.0011.5%
+$6.2M
56.0013.6%
+$30,904
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.58× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.26 14 Aug 2d
0.31 21 Aug 9d
0.34 28 Aug 16d
0.38 4 Sep 23d
0.36 11 Sep 30d
0.39 18 Sep 37d
0.37 25 Sep 44d
0.45 20 Nov 100d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

40
40
41
42
43
43
44
45
45
46
47
47
48
49
50
50
51
53
54
56
57
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

6 matured · 3 directional

Across 3 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 33% of the time.

Directional follow-through33%
Moves contained by pricing33%
Average expiry move5.5%
6 Aug Mixed · 30 5.5% through expiry 6.2% priced · v2.0
5 Aug Bearish · 50 5.5% through expiry 3.8% priced · v2.0
4 Aug Bullish · 35 5.5% through expiry 6.4% priced · v2.0
3 Aug Bearish · 68 5.5% through expiry 5.2% priced · v2.0
31 Jul Mixed · 31 5.5% through expiry 4.6% priced · v2.0
30 Jul Mixed · 35 5.6% through expiry 4.5% priced · v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
12 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
834 / 834
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Likely noise

30/100
Primary intent Likely noise

There is useful activity, but aggregate chain data does not isolate participant intent.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Likely noise matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $4.6M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · atm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-12
1W price+5.5%
Call premium75%
Put premium25%
Notional split C 75% / P 25% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 69/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ATM
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 1441 contracts traded, $1.2M estimated gross traded notional, and 25% of visible notional.
$1.2M
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 3868 contracts traded, $1.0M estimated gross traded notional, and 22% of visible notional.
$1.0M
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 336 contracts traded, $548,375 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$548,375
Puts · 91+ days · ATM puts cluster with 544 contracts traded, $354,295 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$354,295
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 88 contracts traded, $160,160 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$160,160

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Activity Anomaly

Quiet tape

3

Activity is muted versus this ticker's stored history.

Baseline: 11 completed sessions

Volume rank9th
Volume/OI rank0th
IV rank0th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close49.31
1W+5.5%
RS-44.0
Fair value-37.5%
Options pressure-12
Speculation41
Volatility36
Trend fit69

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 4.4% near normal
30d avg 5.2% · 11 sessions 36th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
IV 0.26 muted
30d avg 0.52 · 11 sessions 0th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
Put-call 1.47 near normal
30d avg 1.23 · 10 sessions 70th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.02 muted
30d avg 0.06 · 11 sessions 0th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:05 Bullish
Pressure 38
Move 9.9%
30 Jul 10:03 Bullish
Pressure 24
Move 5.7%
31 Jul 10:01 Mixed
Pressure -10
Move 4.5%
3 Aug 06:48 Mixed
Pressure 16
Move 4.6%
3 Aug 23:51 Bullish
Pressure 22
Move 5.7%
4 Aug 01:37 Bearish
Pressure -100
Move 5.2%
4 Aug 16:01 Bearish
Pressure -28
Move 5.7%
4 Aug 22:08 Bullish
Pressure 20
Move 6.4%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 7
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike33.00
Calls · V 10 · OI 25
Puts · V 0 · OI 6
Strike34.00
Calls · V 8 · OI 26
Puts · V 22 · OI 4
Strike35.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 10
Strike36.00
Calls · V 9 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 6
Strike37.00
Calls · V 6 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 13
Strike38.00
Calls · V 7 · OI 8
Puts · V 0 · OI 28
Strike39.00
Calls · V 7 · OI 92
Puts · V 0 · OI 73

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts78
Avg IV0.26
Put-call0.34
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts110
Avg IV0.31
Put-call7.05
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts68
Avg IV0.34
Put-call0.55
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts56
Avg IV0.38
Put-call0.46
Expiry11 Sep 2026
Contracts56
Avg IV0.36
Put-call0.55

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
14 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.40
Put IV0.33
Skew-0.07
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.37
Put IV0.42
Skew0.06
28 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.38
Put IV0.55
Skew0.18
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.40
Put IV0.41
Skew0.02
11 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.37
Put IV0.35
Skew-0.02

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractBSX260821P00047000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike47.00
Volume5531
OI4398
IV0.40
ContractBSX260821P00048000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike48.00
Volume4709
OI2133
IV0.40
ContractBSX270319C00050000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike50.00
Volume1238
OI2837
IV0.44
ContractBSX261218C00065000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike65.00
Volume983
OI8053
IV0.43
ContractBSX260918P00045000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike45.00
Volume842
OI11265
IV0.40
ContractBSX261120C00055000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike55.00
Volume694
OI4526
IV0.43
ContractBSX260821C00051000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike51.00
Volume544
OI1834
IV0.37
ContractBSX270617P00050000
SidePut
Expiry17 Jun 2027
Strike50.00
Volume500
OI2101
IV0.44

Evidence context