Ticker Options Intelligence

MTD options intelligence

Mettler-Toledo International Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 30 Market data through 12 Aug 2026 Checked 13 Aug 2026 11:42 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

MTD currently carries mixed options pressure with a 30/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 3.6%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 3.6%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.46

Put-side skew

Trend fit 74

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +0.9%

RS -3.2

Expected move 3.6%
Put-call volume 1.46
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.27
Max pain 1360.00
Underlying 1429.46
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 1302

Research Brief

MTD has a mixed chain read with 30/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 1377.51–1481.41; The largest call open-interest concentration is 1440.00; the largest put concentration is 1250.00. The most active strike by current volume is 1420.00.

Priced range1377.51–1481.41
Call concentration1440.00
Put concentration1250.00
Max pain reference1360.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 1377.51 to 1481.41. Max pain at 1360.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
1377.511429.46 ± 51.951481.41
Confirmation level

A close beyond 1481.41 or below 1377.51 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 30/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 9/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure9 × 42%
+3.7

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation16 × 22%
+3.6

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement74 × 26%
+19.2

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility33 × 10%
+3.3

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score29.7Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 1440.00; the largest put concentration is 1250.00. The most active strike by current volume is 1420.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
2
1180.00-17.5%
0
25
1230.00-14.0%
1
28
1250.00-12.6%
0
3
1300.00-9.1%
1
2
1320.00-7.7%
3
3
1340.00-6.3%
6
8
1360.00-4.9%
2
7
1380.00-3.5%
10
0
1400.00-2.1%
3
1
1420.00-0.7%
6
0
1440.000.7%
30
0
1460.002.1%
12
0
1480.003.5%
5
0
1500.004.9%
4
0
1520.006.3%
7
0
1540.007.7%
12
0
1560.009.1%
10
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks · 99% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$7.3MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak1500.00+$985,940
Negative peak1430.00-$33,920
Nearest balance1430.37Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
1310.00-8.4%
+$3,147
1320.00-7.7%
+$88,150
1330.00-7.0%
-$25,460
1340.00-6.3%
+$208,668
1350.00-5.6%
+$11,708
1360.00-4.9%
+$167,657
1370.00-4.2%
+$4,107
1380.00-3.5%
+$35,227
1390.00-2.8%
+$22,886
1400.00-2.1%
+$165,226
1410.00-1.4%
-$4,802
1420.00-0.7%
+$59,135
1430.000.0%
-$33,920
1440.000.7%
+$892,334
1450.001.4%
+$21,578
1460.002.1%
+$572,528
1480.003.5%
+$100,002
1490.004.2%
+$16,367
1500.004.9%
+$985,940
1520.006.3%
+$196,121
1540.007.7%
+$295,326
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.86× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.27 21 Aug 9d
0.25 18 Sep 37d
0.26 16 Oct 65d
0.30 20 Nov 100d
0.29 15 Jan 156d
0.30 21 May 282d
0.31 20 Aug 373d
0.31 19 Nov 464d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

1150
1170
1180
1200
1210
1230
1240
1260
1270
1290
1320
1340
1380
1400
1440
1460
1500
1520
1560
1580
1620
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
12 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
1302 / 1302
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

63/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $60,492 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · itm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-9
1W price+0.9%
Call premium90%
Put premium10%
Notional split C 90% / P 10% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 74/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ITM
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 2 contracts traded, $20,640 estimated gross traded notional, and 34% of visible notional.
$20,640
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 5 contracts traded, $18,520 estimated gross traded notional, and 31% of visible notional.
$18,520
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 5 contracts traded, $15,210 estimated gross traded notional, and 25% of visible notional.
$15,210
Puts · 22-45 days · OTM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $3,060 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$3,060
Puts · 8-21 days · ATM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $1,625 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$1,625

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Activity Anomaly

Quiet tape

21

Activity is muted versus this ticker's stored history.

Baseline: 11 completed sessions

Volume rank27th
Volume/OI rank27th
IV rank9th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close1429.46
1W+0.9%
RS-3.2
Fair value+12.6%
Options pressure-9
Speculation16
Volatility33
Trend fit74

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 3.6% muted
30d avg 5.9% · 11 sessions 0th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
IV 0.27 muted
30d avg 0.31 · 11 sessions 9th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
Put-call 1.46 elevated
30d avg 0.47 · 11 sessions 91th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 near normal
30d avg 0.03 · 11 sessions 27th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:16 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 9.7%
30 Jul 10:12 Bullish
Pressure 74
Move 9.6%
30 Jul 16:31 Bullish
Pressure 78
Move 8.8%
30 Jul 16:59 Bullish
Pressure 78
Move 8.7%
30 Jul 17:45 Bullish
Pressure 79
Move 8.6%
30 Jul 19:35 Bullish
Pressure 80
Move 8.8%
31 Jul 03:08 Bullish
Pressure 41
Move 9.5%
3 Aug 09:05 Bullish
Pressure 55
Move 5.2%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike870.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike880.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike890.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike900.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike910.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike920.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike930.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike940.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts118
Avg IV0.27
Put-call0.13
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts110
Avg IV0.25
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts190
Avg IV0.26
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts160
Avg IV0.30
Put-call1.50
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts170
Avg IV0.29
Put-call3.00

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.27
Put IV0.28
Skew0.01
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.27
Skew0.04
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.24
Put IV0.29
Skew0.05
20 Nov 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.27
Put IV0.33
Skew0.06
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.26
Put IV0.31
Skew0.05

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractMTD261120C01540000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike1540.00
Volume3
OI47
IV0.29
ContractMTD260821C01420000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike1420.00
Volume3
OI6
IV0.28
ContractMTD261016P00640000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike640.00
Volume3
OI-
IV0.54
ContractMTD260821C01440000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike1440.00
Volume2
OI30
IV0.25
ContractMTD260821C01340000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike1340.00
Volume2
OI6
IV0.35
ContractMTD261120P00660000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike660.00
Volume2
OI1
IV0.42
ContractMTD261120P00640000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike640.00
Volume2
OI1
IV0.44
ContractMTD260918P01350000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike1350.00
Volume2
OI-
IV0.28

Evidence context