Ticker Options Intelligence

AIFU options intelligence

Fanhua Inc. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 23 Market data through 12 Aug 2026 Checked 13 Aug 2026 12:21 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

AIFU currently carries bullish options pressure with a 23/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 0.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.15.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 0.0%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.15

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.43

Call-side skew

Trend fit 23

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +7.6%

RS -45.4

Expected move 0.0%
Put-call volume 0.43
Volume / OI 0.15
Reference IV 0.00
Max pain 5.00
Underlying 37.35
Nearest expiry 16 Oct 2026
Contracts 5

Research Brief

AIFU has a bullish chain read with 23/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 37.35–37.35; The largest call open-interest concentration is 7.50; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 7.50.

Priced range37.35–37.35
Call concentration7.50
Put concentration5.00
Max pain reference5.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 16 Oct

Options imply 37.35 to 37.35. Max pain at 5.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
37.3537.35 ± 0.0037.35
Confirmation level

A close beyond 37.35 or below 37.35 at the 16 Oct expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 23/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 34/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure34 × 42%
+14.4

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation11 × 22%
+2.5

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement23 × 26%
+5.9

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility0 × 10%
+0.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score22.8Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 7.50; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 7.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
5.00-86.6%
1
0
7.50-79.9%
16
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Negative gamma proxy

Model-estimated Greeks · 20% coverage

Put-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the call-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile-$0Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak-No positive strike
Negative peak2.50-$0
Nearest balance-Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
2.50-93.3%
-$0
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.00× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.00 16 Oct 65d
0.17 15 Jan 156d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

Comparable strike volatility is unavailable.

Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 16 Oct 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A92/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
12 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
5 / 5
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Likely noise

23/100
Primary intent Likely noise

Visible options activity is too thin or mixed to support a strong intent classification.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Likely noise matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $615 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+34
1W price+7.6%
Call premium48%
Put premium52%
Notional split C 48% / P 52% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.15 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 23/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · OTM
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 3 contracts traded, $321 estimated gross traded notional, and 52% of visible notional.
$321
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $210 estimated gross traded notional, and 34% of visible notional.
$210
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 3 contracts traded, $84 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$84

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

9 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 9 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close37.35
1W+7.6%
RS-45.4
Fair value-44.7%
Options pressure34
Speculation11
Volatility0
Trend fit23

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 0.0% history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
IV 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.43 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.15 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:38 Bullish
Pressure 34
Move 0.0%
31 Jul 07:14 Bullish
Pressure 34
Move 0.0%
1 Aug 01:17 Bullish
Pressure 34
Move 0.0%
2 Aug 16:35 Bullish
Pressure 34
Move 0.0%
4 Aug 10:35 Bullish
Pressure 34
Move 0.0%
5 Aug 11:06 Bullish
Pressure 34
Move 0.0%
6 Aug 11:13 Bullish
Pressure 34
Move 0.0%
10 Aug 11:03 Bullish
Pressure 34
Move 0.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls · V 3 · OI 16
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts2
Avg IV0.00
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts3
Avg IV0.17
Put-call0.75

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
16 Oct 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV-
Put IV-
Skew-
15 Jan 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV-
Put IV0.50
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractAIFU261016C00005000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.00
ContractAIFU270115P00002500
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike2.50
Volume3
OI40
IV0.50
ContractAIFU261016C00007500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike7.50
Volume3
OI16
IV0.00
ContractAIFU270115C00002500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike2.50
Volume2
OI8
IV0.00
ContractAIFU270115C00005000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike5.00
Volume2
OI2
IV0.00

Evidence context