Pattern Intelligence · PAR

PARP quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

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Next week 46.9%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.45%

Low conviction

Next 4 weeks 40.2%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.18%

Low conviction

Live chart evidence Chart evidence is mixed

The current setup has both supportive and challenging components.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close: 17.70
Trend Line: 17.30
Fair value: 17.76

Hover chart for weekly context.

Practical insights

What this is saying

Pattern Lab compares today’s setup with resolved historical setups. The useful question is not “does it look similar?” but “when it looked similar before, did price actually go higher?”

Bias: wait for confirmation A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Supportive

Market Activity: +0.14

Headwinds

No core headwind block is clearly negative.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.

Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -1.90%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +0.15%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +4.69%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line +2.32%

Price is close to trend, so direction still needs confirmation.

Price vs Fair Value -0.34%

Price is close to Fair Value.

Market Dynamics -0.00

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength -0.00

Relative strength is not giving a clear edge.

Market Activity +0.14

This component is supportive.

Price Cycle -0.00

This component is neutral.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker	Week	Similarity	Outcome	4W return
AIA ASX	2023-01-06	0.6461	higher	+6.33%
ORNBV HEL	2024-02-09	0.6451	lower	-15.81%
QHHRREIT SET	2022-10-14	0.642	higher	+5.61%
1830 SAU	2023-04-14	0.6399	higher	+7.62%
CCP ASX	2024-12-06	0.6332	lower	-9.39%
6381 JPX	2022-07-08	0.632	higher	+8.23%
0069 HKG	2024-05-17	0.6274	lower	-6.43%
IREN EBS	2024-02-09	0.6196	lower	-2.46%
MAHSCOOTER NSI	2022-09-02	0.6194	higher	+22.57%
0001 HKG	2021-01-01	0.6179	lower	-1.47%
0384 HKG	2025-04-25	0.6119	higher	+3.62%
ACOMO AMS	2023-04-14	0.6101	higher	+2.74%

Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

Trend Signal 0.57698
Close location 0.51406
Volume pressure 0.48756
Market Activity 0.47592

This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.