Pattern Intelligence · SAO

D1VN34 quant read

The nearest historical setups point to a better-than-even chance of higher prices, and the live chart evidence supports it.

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Next week 56.8%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.92%

Low conviction

Next 4 weeks 67.2%

Likely higher · avg analogue +1.63%

Moderate conviction

Live chart evidence Chart evidence supports the read

5 of the core evidence blocks are supportive.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

Confirmation is present while price holds above trend and relative strength remains firm.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close: 246.00
Trend Line: 234.64
Fair value: 214.14

Hover chart for weekly context.

Practical insights

What this is saying

Pattern Lab compares today’s setup with resolved historical setups. The useful question is not “does it look similar?” but “when it looked similar before, did price actually go higher?”

Bias: upside follow-through Confirmation is present while price holds above trend and relative strength remains firm.

Supportive

Price vs Trend Line: +4.84%
Price vs Fair Value: +14.88%
Relative Strength: +0.10
Market Activity: +0.13
Price Cycle: +0.15

Headwinds

No core headwind block is clearly negative.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.

Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -3.93%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +1.50%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +6.78%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line +4.84%

Price is close to trend, so direction still needs confirmation.

Price vs Fair Value +14.88%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics +0.00

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength +0.10

The stock is showing relative leadership.

Market Activity +0.13

This component is supportive.

Price Cycle +0.15

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker	Week	Similarity	Outcome	4W return
MORN NASDAQ	2025-03-14	0.6882	lower	-4.57%
BKW EBS	2022-02-25	0.664	higher	+2.52%
001270 KSC	2021-10-01	0.6626	higher	+1.44%
S56 SES	2025-12-19	0.6601	higher	+11.00%
002960 KSC	2021-10-01	0.659	higher	+0.18%
TRP NYSE	2025-03-14	0.6546	higher	+2.01%
ETSY MEX	2021-05-28	0.653	higher	+11.47%
ROMER OSL	2025-10-10	0.6505	lower	-2.11%
VMI NYSE	2025-03-14	0.6503	lower	-13.26%
MORG OSL	2022-05-20	0.6472	lower	-2.40%
ALC NYSE	2021-05-28	0.647	higher	+1.29%
TIMA GER	2023-09-08	0.6469	lower	-2.64%

Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

Volume pressure -2.52832
Sector structure 1.93712
Close location 0.51406
Trend Signal -0.42302

This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.