Pattern Intelligence · OSL

CAMBI quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

Next week 46.5%

Unclear · avg analogue -0.14%

Low conviction
Next 4 weeks 55.1%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.70%

Low conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence supports the read

4 of the core evidence blocks are supportive.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
20.70
Trend Line
19.00
Fair value
15.94
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -2.83%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +0.05%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +5.89%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line +8.94%

Price is comfortably above its medium-term trend.

Price vs Fair Value +29.90%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics +0.01

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength +0.01

Relative strength is not giving a clear edge.

Market Activity +0.32

This component is supportive.

Price Cycle +0.30

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
ALUP3
SAO
2025-07-18 0.7173 lower -2.90%
CLSC4
SAO
2023-09-29 0.7084 lower -2.99%
SUZB3
SAO
2025-01-31 0.6935 lower -9.72%
TSFINV
NSI
2023-10-06 0.6894 higher +20.76%
7004
JPX
2024-04-12 0.6884 lower -4.72%
8544
JPX
2023-12-15 0.6874 higher +1.46%
8550
JPX
2023-12-15 0.6836 lower -0.33%
2120
SAU
2024-05-24 0.682 higher +3.60%
7868
JPX
2021-05-21 0.679 lower -25.49%
KOLTEPATIL
NSI
2023-09-22 0.6703 higher +7.32%
EPI-B
STO
2024-07-05 0.6685 lower -10.69%
VIRT
NYSE
2022-03-25 0.6676 lower -7.94%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Volume pressure -1.94367
  • Sector structure -1.03296
  • Trend Signal 0.57698
  • Close location -0.37483
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.