Pattern Intelligence · SAO

H1EI34 quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

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Next week 22.9%

Likely lower · avg analogue -0.35%

Moderate conviction

Next 4 weeks 61.2%

Likely higher · avg analogue +2.38%

Moderate conviction

Live chart evidence Chart evidence is mixed

The current setup has both supportive and challenging components.

Quant agreement Timeframe conflict

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close: 152.25
Trend Line: 162.62
Fair value: 141.20

Hover chart for weekly context.

Practical insights

What this is saying

Pattern Lab compares today’s setup with resolved historical setups. The useful question is not “does it look similar?” but “when it looked similar before, did price actually go higher?”

Bias: wait for confirmation A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Supportive

Market Activity: +0.15
Price Cycle: +0.08

Headwinds

Price vs Trend Line: -6.38%
Relative Strength: -0.17

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.

Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -1.86%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +0.96%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +11.98%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line -6.38%

Price is below trend, which keeps pressure on the setup.

Price vs Fair Value +7.83%

Price is close to Fair Value.

Market Dynamics -0.00

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength -0.17

The stock is lagging relative strength.

Market Activity +0.15

This component is supportive.

Price Cycle +0.08

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker	Week	Similarity	Outcome	4W return
Q1RV34 SAO	2026-06-12	0.5314	lower	-1.45%
IDUN-B STO	2026-06-12	0.5155	lower	-8.38%
E1LV34 SAO	2026-06-12	0.5105	higher	+0.29%
N1BI34 SAO	2026-06-12	0.5051	higher	+4.57%
S1SN34 SAO	2026-06-12	0.505	flat	0.00%
ALKOM PAR	2026-06-12	0.5027	flat	0.00%
ESTR4 SAO	2026-06-12	0.5004	lower	-45.75%
P1AY34 SAO	2026-06-12	0.4991	higher	+16.75%
USWE STO	2026-06-12	0.4876	lower	-2.65%
SAPP34 SAO	2026-06-12	0.4864	lower	-1.99%
NRG PAR	2026-06-12	0.4851	lower	-2.84%
VRSN34 SAO	2026-06-12	0.484	lower	-8.13%

Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

Volume pressure -2.71036
Market Activity 0.63785
Sector structure 0.59761
Close location -0.53491

This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.