Pattern Intelligence · HEL

KAMUX quant read

The nearest historical setups point to downside risk, and the live chart evidence supports that caution.

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Next week 38.7%

Likely lower · avg analogue -0.34%

Moderate conviction

Next 4 weeks 38.8%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.14%

Moderate conviction

Live chart evidence Chart evidence challenges the read

5 of the core evidence blocks are acting as headwinds.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

Downside risk is confirmed while price remains below trend and relative strength keeps lagging.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close: 1.54
Trend Line: 1.67
Fair value: 3.14

Hover chart for weekly context.

Practical insights

What this is saying

Pattern Lab compares today’s setup with resolved historical setups. The useful question is not “does it look similar?” but “when it looked similar before, did price actually go higher?”

Bias: downside risk Downside risk is confirmed while price remains below trend and relative strength keeps lagging.

Supportive

No core support block is clearly positive.

Headwinds

Price vs Trend Line: -7.83%
Price vs Fair Value: -50.90%
Relative Strength: -0.25
Market Activity: -0.35
Price Cycle: -0.51

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.

Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -9.41%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue -3.81%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +3.81%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line -7.83%

Price is below trend, which keeps pressure on the setup.

Price vs Fair Value -50.90%

Price is trading below Fair Value, which can create recovery potential if pressure improves.

Market Dynamics +0.01

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength -0.25

The stock is lagging relative strength.

Market Activity -0.35

This component is a drag.

Price Cycle -0.51

This component is a drag.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker	Week	Similarity	Outcome	4W return
DNA MEX	2026-06-05	0.7734	higher	+13.33%
MEP NSI	2026-05-29	0.7338	lower	-19.57%
2001 HKG	2026-06-05	0.711	lower	-6.35%
ADBE34 SAO	2026-06-05	0.7087	lower	-13.01%
MEP NSI	2026-06-05	0.7068	lower	-20.69%
8659 HKG	2026-06-05	0.7037	lower	-20.16%
DNUT MEX	2026-06-05	0.6941	higher	+2.48%
LYKO-A STO	2026-05-29	0.6941	lower	-2.48%
FING-B STO	2026-05-29	0.6925	higher	+30.03%
LLC ASX	2026-06-05	0.6887	higher	+26.42%
1176 HKG	2026-06-05	0.6847	lower	-40.00%
BL NASDAQ	2026-06-05	0.6839	higher	+4.26%

Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

Sector structure 3.79319
Volume pressure 0.69933
Price Cycle -0.65569
Price vs Fair Value -0.63776

This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.