Pattern Intelligence · OSL

BIEN quant read

The nearest historical setups lean lower, but the live chart evidence is not confirming that read yet.

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Next week 29.7%

Likely lower · avg analogue -0.29%

Moderate conviction

Next 4 weeks 43.6%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.09%

Low conviction

Live chart evidence Chart evidence is mixed

The current setup has both supportive and challenging components.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

Evidence improves only if price stabilises and relative strength stops lagging.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close: 149.00
Trend Line: 148.50
Fair value: 116.22

Hover chart for weekly context.

Practical insights

What this is saying

Pattern Lab compares today’s setup with resolved historical setups. The useful question is not “does it look similar?” but “when it looked similar before, did price actually go higher?”

Bias: downside risk, wait for confirmation Evidence improves only if price stabilises and relative strength stops lagging.

Supportive

Price vs Fair Value: +28.21%
Price Cycle: +0.28

Headwinds

Relative Strength: -0.10

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.

Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -2.21%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue 0.00%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +2.07%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line +0.33%

Price is close to trend, so direction still needs confirmation.

Price vs Fair Value +28.21%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics -0.01

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength -0.10

The stock is lagging relative strength.

Market Activity -0.04

This component is neutral.

Price Cycle +0.28

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker	Week	Similarity	Outcome	4W return
W1SO34 SAO	2025-01-24	0.6841	lower	-2.31%
P2AX34 SAO	2026-02-06	0.6755	lower	-13.78%
ADPR34 SAO	2022-02-04	0.6484	lower	-11.40%
BCSN MEX	2021-11-19	0.6445	flat	0.00%
USBC VIE	2026-03-06	0.6427	higher	+3.45%
TMN MEX	2021-09-10	0.6387	lower	-4.12%
KKRC MEX	2021-03-05	0.6262	higher	+4.92%
K1TC34 SAO	2024-10-04	0.6225	higher	+7.28%
ADN MEX	2022-04-22	0.6191	flat	0.00%
PHMO34 SAO	2021-03-05	0.6141	higher	+4.45%
SCHW VIE	2026-02-06	0.6126	lower	-7.41%
CABKN MEX	2026-01-09	0.6121	flat	0.00%

Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

Volume pressure 1.03811
Trend Signal -0.42302
Close location -0.37483
Price vs Fair Value 0.20255

This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.