Pattern Intelligence ยท SHZ

300433 quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

Next week 56.5%

Unclear ยท avg analogue +1.69%

Low conviction
Next 4 weeks 52.5%

Unclear ยท avg analogue +2.42%

Low conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence supports the read

3 of the core evidence blocks are supportive.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
35.14
Trend Line
36.04
Fair value
23.32
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -11.68%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +1.26%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +13.40%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line -2.51%

Price is close to trend, so direction still needs confirmation.

Price vs Fair Value +50.66%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics -0.00

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength +0.08

The stock is showing relative leadership.

Market Activity +0.03

This component is neutral.

Price Cycle +0.51

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
FTG
TOR
2026-03-13 0.7491 higher +5.12%
CLS
NYSE
2024-11-29 0.7016 higher +11.57%
GOLTS
IST
2024-04-05 0.6907 higher +27.77%
002126
SHZ
2026-03-06 0.6797 lower -23.22%
DXPE
NASDAQ
2026-03-06 0.6719 higher +5.91%
GANESHHOU
NSI
2024-11-22 0.6673 lower -0.66%
NRG
NYSE
2025-07-11 0.6656 higher +1.50%
2216
JPX
2025-06-20 0.6581 higher +4.24%
LOKESHMACH
NSI
2022-09-23 0.6578 higher +4.55%
ANLT
TLV
2026-01-02 0.6564 lower -13.23%
7990
JPX
2021-08-27 0.6532 higher +39.20%
SARDAEN
NSI
2022-04-29 0.6513 lower -26.13%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Sector structure -3.33193
  • Price vs Fair Value 0.91324
  • Price Cycle 0.90674
  • Market Activity 0.89731
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.

Evidence context