Unclear ยท avg analogue +0.22%
Low convictionPattern Intelligence ยท OSL
BOR quant read
The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.
Likely lower ยท avg analogue -2.50%
Moderate conviction3 of the core evidence blocks are supportive.
A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.
Current weekly tape
Price, trend line, and fair value
Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.
- Close
- 17.20
- Trend Line
- 16.60
- Fair value
- 15.68
Signal stack
What changed underneath price?
Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.
Historical memory
Nearest 4-week analogue returns
Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.
Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues
This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.
What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.
The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.
What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.
Why the model sees this setup
These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.
Price is close to trend, so direction still needs confirmation.
Price is close to Fair Value.
Market Dynamics are neutral.
The stock is lagging relative strength.
This component is supportive.
This component is supportive.
Closest resolved setups
The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.
| Ticker | Week | Similarity | Outcome | 4W return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMP NYSE |
2022-07-08 | 0.6213 | higher | +3.33% |
| 6721 JPX |
2021-12-17 | 0.5986 | higher | +2.65% |
| 688076 SHH |
2026-06-05 | 0.5957 | higher | +2.95% |
| 6059 JPX |
2023-03-03 | 0.5921 | lower | -1.09% |
| BOQ ASX |
2023-08-18 | 0.5686 | flat | 0.00% |
| SAVE PAR |
2022-02-18 | 0.5667 | lower | -7.29% |
| 8715 JPX |
2021-10-01 | 0.5664 | lower | -3.70% |
| 2250 SAU |
2024-11-29 | 0.5642 | lower | -2.91% |
| IPI NYSE |
2023-04-07 | 0.5587 | lower | -20.85% |
| FCPT NYSE |
2025-12-05 | 0.5583 | higher | +2.29% |
| 600917 SHH |
2023-08-11 | 0.5545 | lower | -0.58% |
| CLX NYSE |
2025-08-29 | 0.5525 | higher | +5.24% |
What made this setup unusual
These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.
- Sector structure -5.1581
- Close location -0.43039
- Trend Signal -0.42302
- Market Activity -0.21513